TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,546
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,555

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,546 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x73e8…cd6fbacked No55c1,979$1,094 inWon+$885.7739265.1%255 W · 137 L+31.0wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7200…9299backed No54c1,203$649 inWon+$553.7236954.7%202 W · 167 L+28.0wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+18.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Yes44c999.99$440 inLost-$44084342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa804…bdc1backed Yes45c865$392 inLost-$391.957237.5%27 W · 45 L-7.6wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-20.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Yes46c499.99$230 inLost-$23027746.6%129 W · 148 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f83…3af9backed Yes45c370.73$167 inLost-$166.832025%5 W · 15 L-4.0wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-45.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Yes45c345.99$155 inLost-$154.9320558.5%120 W · 85 L+19.6wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+26.3%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed No50c319$160 inWon+$159.1256050.4%282 W · 278 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked Yes48c206.53$100 inLost-$10018748.1%90 W · 97 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked No56c201.98$113 inWon+$89.3792058%534 W · 386 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9608…8cf3backed Yes45c133.71$60 inLost-$601540%6 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe1…1e90backed Yes46c130.12$60 inLost-$60333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7efd…caedbacked No52c100$52 inWon+$489975.8%75 W · 24 L+16.3wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+28%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xf8c3…0472backed Yes50c99.65$50 inLost-$50955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7677…37c0backed No59c97.56$58 inWon+$4014148.2%68 W · 73 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x494b…f295backed Yes41c97.56$40 inLost-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa34b…9d48backed Yes46c86.96$40 inLost-$40580%4 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.36per pick44cpaid+84.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed No56c65$36 inWon+$28.7196956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9caf…e8bdbacked Yes42c49$21 inLost-$20.5833049.1%162 W · 168 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes44c45.76$20 inLost-$20.131,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1a7…40f7backed No55c38.28$21 inWon+$17.233770.3%26 W · 11 L+7.0wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+40.8%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x096d…38dfbacked Yes45c33.33$15 inLost-$151030%3 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-40.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3c69…e671backed No60c31.5$19 inWon+$12.626051.7%31 W · 29 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed No57c30$17 inWon+$12.7533556.7%190 W · 145 L+26.4wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No60c29.1$17 inWon+$11.641,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8087…6d7abacked Yes45c24.5$11 inLost-$114337.2%16 W · 27 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x110d…cd01backed Yes49c22.27$11 inLost-$1134556.2%194 W · 151 L+17.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.