NBA · resolved market
Spread: Spurs (-17.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaba05a986740d5d7bd1c0136e535cd244192e8e96c7e755d1c3ffecf1d5f8da6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Spurs, Timberwolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,398
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,290
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,398 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Timberwolves | 52c | 6,175$3,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,234.24 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Spurs | 44c | 3,183$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,773.04 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Spurs | 46c | 3,096$1,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,669.29 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Timberwolves | 45c | 1,988$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.39 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Spurs | 47c | 1,042$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.09 | 528 | 61.9%327 W · 201 L | +32.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4068…aeb1backed Timberwolves | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Timberwolves | 3c | 999.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 362 | 43.9%159 W · 203 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Spurs | 47c | 945.49$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.03 | 469 | 59.1%277 W · 192 L | +28.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Timberwolves | 54c | 919.84$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.58 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf284…b9f9backed Spurs | 47c | 800$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424 | 186 | 51.1%95 W · 91 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Spurs | 44c | 680.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.63 | 251 | 50.6%127 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Spurs | 44c | 614.9$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.55 | 185 | 57.3%106 W · 79 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Timberwolves | 48c | 604.27$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Spurs | 44c | 516$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.09 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked Timberwolves | 79c | 506.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 271 | 63.5%172 W · 99 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…a330backed Timberwolves | 69c | 438.34$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -5.8wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -28%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Timberwolves | 55c | 413.07$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.26 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Spurs | 27c | 379.55$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.07 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Spurs | 55c | 362.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.14 | 524 | 61.6%323 W · 201 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Spurs | 52c | 300$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.3 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb442…bed7backed Timberwolves | 65c | 276.92$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…4f6dbacked Spurs | 44c | 243.43$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.32 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8a…a5bcbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 241.68$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Timberwolves | 23c | 221$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.29 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Timberwolves | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 384 | 32.6%125 W · 259 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca85…7453backed Spurs | 31c | 206.77$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.85 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaac…ff10backed Timberwolves | 73c | 200$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Spurs | 44c | 156.68$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.74 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53f1…35f8backed Timberwolves | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Spurs | 49c | 143.41$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.16 | 592 | 55.4%328 W · 264 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Timberwolves | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afb…a253backed Timberwolves | 55c | 127.87$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…95e3backed Spurs | 42c | 127.62$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.6 | 210 | 46.2%97 W · 113 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…3ccbbacked Timberwolves | 14c | 122$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.08 | 130 | 36.2%47 W · 83 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Timberwolves | 14c | 122$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.08 | 113 | 29.2%33 W · 80 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61d3…189abacked Spurs | 42c | 114.83$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.6 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Spurs | 42c | 104.43$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.57 | 557 | 51.9%289 W · 268 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7157…7ba4backed Timberwolves | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 232 | 46.1%107 W · 125 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca07…6269backed Timberwolves | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -49%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb829…4f5ebacked Timberwolves | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Spurs | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x993e…57d7backed Spurs | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Spurs | 68c | 97.15$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.56 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x369a…09a5backed Spurs | 50c | 90$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 60cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x085b…ab9fbacked Spurs | 42c | 89.18$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.73 | 99 | 41.4%41 W · 58 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Spurs | 47c | 85.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.14 | 602 | 50.5%304 W · 298 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Timberwolves | 50c | 72.08$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.04 | 255 | 54.5%139 W · 116 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ff…d970backed Timberwolves | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70b0…b71fbacked Timberwolves | 15c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 138 | 31.2%43 W · 95 L | -12.3wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Spurs | 49c | 61.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 259 | 58.3%151 W · 108 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Spurs | 41c | 61.58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.3 | 335 | 56.7%190 W · 145 L | +26.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Spurs | 36c | 60.2$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.23 | 521 | 50.9%265 W · 256 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28ba…d4fbbacked Spurs | 53c | 50.71$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.71 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c2…5509backed Spurs | 42c | 48.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.25 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Timberwolves | 45c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 166 | 40.4%67 W · 99 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Timberwolves | 46c | 43.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf35e…f846backed Timberwolves | 47c | 41.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb27b…5d6ebacked Timberwolves | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Timberwolves | 52c | 41.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.67 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…595dbacked Spurs | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 405 | 48.4%196 W · 209 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95e4…5134backed Timberwolves | 47c | 33.82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Spurs | 43c | 33.1$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.87 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e0…a311backed Timberwolves | 50c | 32.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Spurs | 48c | 30.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 360 | 51.7%186 W · 174 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf58…2bf4backed Timberwolves | 52c | 30.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Timberwolves | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 717 | 52%373 W · 344 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed Timberwolves | 47c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 161 | 50.9%82 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc322…a836backed Timberwolves | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -8.4wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9b…7349backed Timberwolves | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 215 | 74.4%160 W · 55 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Timberwolves | 72c | 24.64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b9…b487backed Timberwolves | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -5.0wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Timberwolves | 72c | 18.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x643c…5bf2backed Timberwolves | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Timberwolves | 70c | 14.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 269 | 57.2%154 W · 115 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Spurs (-17.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Spurs won
- Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 26.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jaden McDaniels: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Jaden McDaniels: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Julius Randle: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-10.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-11.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-14.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-20.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-8.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-9.5)Spurs won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Timberwolves vs. SpursSpurs won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 105.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 106.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 228.5Under won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.