TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$195,412
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$194,026

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $195,412 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 167 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9495…9a27backed Over47c43,509$20,404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,105.2569848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under54c39,697$21,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,315.81,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Under54c22,216$11,996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,996.0820545.9%94 W · 111 L-12.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over46c12,488$5,782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,706.3564948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over46c11,531$5,329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,202.184,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33fb…6201backed Under51c7,923$4,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,040.71955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over47c7,554$3,573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,981.0963746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Under50c7,400$3,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,70016547.3%78 W · 87 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+56.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over46c6,460$2,984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,475.7455251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over41c4,705$1,909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,796.2930551.5%157 W · 148 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Under53c4,402$2,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,333.1521943.4%95 W · 124 L-12.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Under50c4,268$2,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,131.91,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Under46c4,000$1,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,839.9932846.6%153 W · 175 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ca9…ea67backed Over47c3,774$1,762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,011.863636.1%13 W · 23 L-3.9wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-25.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0fde…abcebacked Under53c3,774$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0003641.7%15 W · 21 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over51c3,479$1,761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,717.718,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed Under33c3,437$1,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,148.520856.7%118 W · 90 L+13.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+12.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over56c3,178$1,783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,395.592,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Under53c3,010$1,595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,595.229447.9%45 W · 49 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under29c2,817$821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$821.392,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bf8…03b2backed Under55c2,727$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50027549.5%136 W · 139 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Over47c2,642$1,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,400.0965045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Under1c2,250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30802.5%2 W · 78 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-88.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f2d…318bbacked Under1c2,250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30437%3 W · 40 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick4cpaid-24.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over64c2,170$1,391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$778.231,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under53c2,139$1,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,135.3452150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under30c2,095$626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626.362,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7c0…24eebacked Over46c2,000$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0808451.2%43 W · 41 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under53c1,700$901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90164651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under54c1,637$883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$882.6542842.5%182 W · 246 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under41c1,606$663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663.032,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Under1c1,500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201236.5%8 W · 115 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-89.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under53c1,280$679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.6862051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Under44c1,182$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.0761638.5%237 W · 379 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bbd…5c97backed Over46c1,141$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$616.33256.3%18 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under49c1,018$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.32,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Under53c1,000$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.2256043.9%246 W · 314 L-31.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under53c901.76$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.156,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Over56c892.85$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.8552861.9%327 W · 201 L+32.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Over56c803.57$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.5746959.1%277 W · 192 L+28.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under28c800.2$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.081,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc63b…6e4ebacked Under3c750$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.531238.5%120 W · 192 L+15.3wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+5.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x98af…b216backed Under3c750$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.56524.6%16 W · 49 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Under40c750$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30052951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under3c750$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.578639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Under45c649.89$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29189444.4%397 W · 497 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b4c…1715backed Under5c600$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3016429.9%49 W · 115 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+24.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0def…4ddbbacked Over48c590$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.82548%12 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa163…3ccbbacked Under3c549$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4713036.2%47 W · 83 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3085…7568backed Under3c549$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4711329.2%33 W · 80 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-25.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over55c511.91$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.1653842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over47c506.31$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.351,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Over51c485.68$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.6852461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc5b…3f6abacked Over71c476.7$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.2411946.2%55 W · 64 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d63…2e49backed Under14c442$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.3210146.5%47 W · 54 L+7.9wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+217.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed Under31c425.84$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.0118557.3%106 W · 79 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Under54c415.3$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.891,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb51b…78a9backed Under50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20030%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over54c388.34$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.641,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over69c382$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.421,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x49f7…4871backed Under36c305.31$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.976055%33 W · 27 L+7.5wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+17%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Over50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15031222.1%69 W · 243 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+79.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over56c292.41$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.260250.5%304 W · 298 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c16…66cebacked Over59c258.49$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.7221953.4%117 W · 102 L+0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under44c249.44$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.5268838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Under32c246.98$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.0336051.7%186 W · 174 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over56c245$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.1945445.2%205 W · 249 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8db…2dc7backed Over46c226.09$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.09366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+39.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c08…b0d4backed Over47c225.65$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.65250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x303c…1bacbacked Over47c217.02$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.023100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+85.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4c03…f8bebacked Under52c208.33$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.335339.6%21 W · 32 L-6.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-26.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7c56…0615backed Under49c202.04$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018242.9%78 W · 104 L-10.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2366…580fbacked Under52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10411347.8%54 W · 59 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9100…94d8backed Over46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1081100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Under53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007643.4%33 W · 43 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x26f2…1761backed Under53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007857.7%45 W · 33 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over59c174$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.791,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Under55c171$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.4747349%232 W · 241 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Over59c152.07$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.4259255.4%328 W · 264 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf58…2bf4backed Over51c147.04$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.2719445.9%89 W · 105 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd68b…c39cbacked Over48c146.77$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.321050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x70b0…b71fbacked Over47c141.96$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.613831.2%43 W · 95 L-12.3wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-30.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Over52c136.92$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.3925554.5%139 W · 116 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Over64c135.39$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.2261151.4%314 W · 297 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2b8…141dbacked Under40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70fc…ab12backed Under49c119.37$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.7322143.4%96 W · 125 L-12.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd621…11efbacked Over72c107$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Over47c106$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.1862049%304 W · 316 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe743…ce0fbacked Over48c105.08$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.095234.6%18 W · 34 L-8.5wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-33.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x7f1c…390dbacked Over49c100.85$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.732040%8 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-25.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3048…057fbacked Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011850.8%60 W · 58 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e45…39dabacked Over47c99.95$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.9710746.7%50 W · 57 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5b3…4756backed Over47c99.95$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.9710743.9%47 W · 60 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x389d…995fbacked Over47c99.95$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.978843.2%38 W · 50 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd82d…7882backed Over51c97.83$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.262821.4%6 W · 22 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-47%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7268…78abbacked Over36c96.43$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.721553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over54c93.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.8389048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb74f…d843backed Under54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506250%31 W · 31 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Over46c90.23$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.487049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e16…4698backed Over48c81.25$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.253141.9%13 W · 18 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-19.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.