NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb865a4a9d49f5892a04e2dfe8bb879913d19fdecc38c2743313ec0d16678e694
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $404,205
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $403,664
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $404,205 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 197 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Under | 49c | 100,492$49,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,036.38 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 51c | 69,206$34,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,207.87 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0325…01bcbacked Over | 68c | 65,908$44,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,090.57 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Under | 49c | 29,185$14,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,300.65 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Over | 51c | 29,114$14,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,265.97 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 46c | 22,267$10,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,024.21 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0a…a9bebacked Over | 52c | 22,000$11,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,560 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Over | 52c | 15,907$8,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,635.39 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 47c | 15,643$7,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,369.84 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Under | 47c | 15,000$7,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,049.97 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…f462backed Over | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,599.99 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3c…2f57backed Over | 53c | 9,245$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,345.28 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 31c | 8,250$2,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,590.6 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4842…4024backed Under | 47c | 8,142$3,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,826.94 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1543…a222backed Over | 50c | 7,786$3,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,892.9 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 32c | 7,656$2,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,474.58 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 32c | 7,270$2,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,326.27 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 53c | 5,819$3,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,738.54 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Over | 53c | 4,323$2,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,031.57 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5b…3f6abacked Under | 22c | 3,817$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.88 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Under | 32c | 3,781$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,210 | 209 | 46.9%98 W · 111 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 52c | 3,669$1,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,761.75 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 71c | 3,336$2,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.07 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1b…de56backed Under | 48c | 3,271$1,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,570 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 46c | 3,141$1,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,444.98 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa6…6c6cbacked Over | 53c | 2,831$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330.57 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6e…99eabacked Under | 50c | 2,326$1,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,162.8 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6043…84afbacked Under | 47c | 2,151$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.61 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 48c | 2,090$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.67 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…c02abacked Under | 43c | 2,081$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.7 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…4b0dbacked Over | 54c | 2,037$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$937.04 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 48c | 1,960$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.5 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Over | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.08 | 241 | 59.8%144 W · 97 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08c4…e6a5backed Over | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.08 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd52…df69backed Under | 17c | 1,852$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.88 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 48c | 1,623$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.03 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Under | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 42c | 1,499$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.58 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Under | 32c | 1,483$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.55 | 185 | 57.3%106 W · 79 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 51c | 1,399$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.51 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dfb…0b3dbacked Under | 48c | 1,250$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3464…8112backed Under | 49c | 1,101$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.39 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Under | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.92 | 146 | 40.4%59 W · 87 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb8…2f90backed Under | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 54c | 1,033$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.1 | 304 | 48.4%147 W · 157 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…2b75backed Under | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2f…0ddabacked Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa2…c75fbacked Under | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…5c97backed Over | 51c | 974.51$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.51 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Over | 54c | 929.34$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.34 | 524 | 61.6%323 W · 201 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Under | 32c | 919.19$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.14 | 251 | 50.6%127 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Over | 52c | 892.84$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.56 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 32c | 755$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.79 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Over | 54c | 750.81$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.37 | 272 | 46.7%127 W · 145 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 46c | 732.2$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.81 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Over | 52c | 700$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 125 | 36%45 W · 80 L | -13.0wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfb56…2492backed Over | 53c | 635.13$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.59 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +4.4wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 32c | 612.97$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.15 | 360 | 51.7%186 W · 174 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…e8b5backed Over | 54c | 600$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Under | 49c | 583.11$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.49 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Under | 48c | 507.75$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.72 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 51c | 503$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.47 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Over | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 362 | 43.9%159 W · 203 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…5130backed Over | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a2…6fc8backed Under | 49c | 479.6$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Under | 46c | 464.04$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.46 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Under | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d63…2e49backed Under | 39c | 391.99$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.88 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +217.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Under | 32c | 383.08$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.97 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Under | 32c | 375.3$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.46 | 592 | 55.4%328 W · 264 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf42…0997backed Over | 52c | 371.25$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.2 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 49cpaid | +82.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Under | 48c | 329.17$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 228 | 44.7%102 W · 126 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 48c | 322.87$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.63 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 312 | 22.1%69 W · 243 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Over | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 255 | 59.2%151 W · 104 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b01…dee1backed Over | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2374…a426backed Over | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.02 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 469 | 59.1%277 W · 192 L | +28.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Under | 47c | 276.6$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 52c | 268.32$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.97 | 255 | 54.5%139 W · 116 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1de2…970ebacked Over | 56c | 267.87$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.55 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 32c | 260$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.2 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf58…2bf4backed Over | 51c | 250.7$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.17 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Under | 47c | 248.94$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 52c | 220$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.6 | 348 | 50.9%177 W · 171 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Under | 47c | 212$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.64 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ff…6668backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa5…fa07backed Over | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddc4…0270backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 277 | 45.8%127 W · 150 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x135d…56c0backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe981…e6c1backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 54c | 186$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.56 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe05…b5a5backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 332 | 46.1%153 W · 179 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd12…0f12backed Over | 53c | 181.13$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Under | 47c | 180$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.6 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Under | 32c | 166.9$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.03 | 259 | 58.3%151 W · 108 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x545c…7816backed Over | 53c | 162.26$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61d3…189abacked Under | 29c | 146.07$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.36 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Spurs won
- Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 26.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jaden McDaniels: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Jaden McDaniels: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Julius Randle: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-10.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-11.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-14.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-17.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-20.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-8.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-9.5)Spurs won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Timberwolves vs. SpursSpurs won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 105.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 106.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 228.5Under won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.