NBA · resolved market
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x62e29a0192af5d6ce3be496bb0e1502f9f12e91ec9eb6597b326c137103525ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,523
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,389
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,523 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Yes | 60c | 3,003$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,203.47 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 41c | 2,130$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.26 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed No | 38c | 808.82$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.26 | 796 | 50.9%405 W · 391 L | +63.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed No | 43c | 509.86$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.66 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed No | 42c | 399.95$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.98 | 560 | 50.4%282 W · 278 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 41c | 382.38$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.78 | 908 | 63.9%580 W · 328 L | +80.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x906b…9805backed Yes | 58c | 345.34$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.34 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed No | 42c | 315.34$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.44 | 131 | 61.8%81 W · 50 L | +13.4wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x70b0…b71fbacked No | 4c | 289.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 138 | 31.2%43 W · 95 L | -12.3wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf137…50b2backed Yes | 59c | 238.45$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.97 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed No | 44c | 227.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.31 | 498 | 52.6%262 W · 236 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbef…0c11backed Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40a4…c6a9backed Yes | 59c | 172.03$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.98 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3066…98d9backed Yes | 59c | 135.1$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x085b…ab9fbacked No | 43c | 115.36$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 99 | 41.4%41 W · 58 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x695d…60d5backed Yes | 58c | 106.51$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.73 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +5.8wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +27%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1495…d3f9backed Yes | 56c | 100.84$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.37 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2573…2726backed Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed No | 41c | 89.65$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.76 | 193 | 52.8%102 W · 91 L | +11.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52f2…5a5dbacked Yes | 57c | 84.02$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.24 | 175 | 47.4%83 W · 92 L | -13.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 56c | 76.11$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.49 | 428 | 42.5%182 W · 246 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed No | 41c | 58.47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.01 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed No | 43c | 58.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 42c | 53.61$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.49 | 237 | 41.4%98 W · 139 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked Yes | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 249 | 55%137 W · 112 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f4…68a4backed Yes | 59c | 51.21$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde74…77abbacked No | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 126 | 42.9%54 W · 72 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x114d…661fbacked Yes | 57c | 49.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb1…0073backed No | 43c | 48.84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0707…4379backed Yes | 58c | 46.66$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab99…5ab4backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6425…66c5backed Yes | 56c | 35.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.64 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92b3…5f51backed No | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 42c | 34.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 620 | 47.3%293 W · 327 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aff…9903backed Yes | 58c | 32.36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.51 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe897…0b3bbacked Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 30 | 80%24 W · 6 L | +4.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 38c | 28.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 538 | 42%226 W · 312 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…eed5backed Yes | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f18…d6cabacked Yes | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 106 | 56.6%60 W · 46 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x110d…cd01backed Yes | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 345 | 56.2%194 W · 151 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe35…6789backed Yes | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed No | 42c | 24.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 294 | 49.7%146 W · 148 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbfb…550cbacked Yes | 54c | 23.78$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked No | 42c | 23.77$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 269 | 57.2%154 W · 115 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b24…70fabacked No | 62c | 22.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 44cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1732…1c15backed Yes | 61c | 20.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe363…0be2backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Spurs won
- Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 26.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jaden McDaniels: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Jaden McDaniels: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Julius Randle: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-10.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-11.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-14.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-17.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-20.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-8.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-9.5)Spurs won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Timberwolves vs. SpursSpurs won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 105.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 106.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 228.5Under won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.