NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x88b54c3da37dff1d6b37caf8e4fc8aa601c784faffa207d4e94b0b41e779e77d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $502,174
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $516,448
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $502,174 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 369 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Under | 51c | 130,397$66,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66,267.69 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Over | 49c | 120,158$58,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61,182.13 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Under | 52c | 99,999$52,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,999.73 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | -12.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 48c | 33,257$16,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,247.69 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6e…5cfdbacked Under | 50c | 27,154$13,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,577.06 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Over | 48c | 20,648$9,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,736.87 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc408…c1efbacked Over | 50c | 19,630$9,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,814.77 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75d…8fd4backed Over | 50c | 15,772$7,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,886.05 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Over | 48c | 15,000$7,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,800 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 54c | 10,394$5,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,775.63 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Under | 51c | 9,838$5,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,017.34 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 48c | 8,981$4,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,630.37 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Over | 9c | 8,664$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,884.13 | 208 | 37.5%78 W · 130 L | +38.2wins | +0.18per pick | 19cpaid | +115.2%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 58c | 7,100$4,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,016.8 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Under | 50c | 7,099$3,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,549.48 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -5.6wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Over | 50c | 7,000$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,500 | 207 | 44.9%93 W · 114 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 50c | 6,836$3,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,433.12 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd51…1041backed Over | 50c | 5,790$2,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,895 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 32c | 5,432$1,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,764.38 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 50c | 5,180$2,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,605.99 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…c02abacked Over | 18c | 4,708$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,860.42 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Under | 49c | 4,239$2,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,077.13 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d96…7c16backed Under | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 50cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x48e0…826dbacked Over | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 63c | 3,958$2,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,479.94 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 50c | 3,200$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 52c | 3,181$1,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,654.42 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Under | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Over | 74c | 2,987$2,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.36 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Over | 48c | 2,953$1,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,535.52 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14d4…c4bfbacked Over | 48c | 2,675$1,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,390.86 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 51c | 2,485$1,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,267.47 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Over | 41c | 2,323$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,367.29 | 116 | 39.7%46 W · 70 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 50c | 2,316$1,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,166.68 | 304 | 48.4%147 W · 157 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 30c | 2,289$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,612.48 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 55c | 2,252$1,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.82 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Under | 51c | 2,222$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.22 | 220 | 41.4%91 W · 129 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Over | 49c | 2,188$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,115.67 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 39c | 2,137$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,296.48 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fb…610cbacked Over | 48c | 2,071$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070.86 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd714…9a62backed Over | 49c | 2,062$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,051.63 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf8…03b2backed Under | 50c | 2,060$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030 | 275 | 49.5%136 W · 139 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb56…2492backed Over | 51c | 2,022$1,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990.57 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +4.4wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Over | 29c | 2,001$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,420.69 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…24eebacked Over | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f19…6aabbacked Over | 50c | 1,951$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.61 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 48c | 1,845$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876.68 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Under | 49c | 1,800$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.99 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Over | 51c | 1,747$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.83 | 170 | 52.4%89 W · 81 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 51c | 1,705$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.14 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc920…7914backed Under | 49c | 1,633$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf9…73bbbacked Under | 50c | 1,547$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Under | 42c | 1,501$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 48c | 1,458$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.16 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Under | 50c | 1,208$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.16 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Under | 51c | 1,177$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dad…4855backed Under | 52c | 1,100$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca28…49debacked Over | 50c | 1,061$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.26 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ed…1ea1backed Over | 48c | 1,031$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.25 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 48c | 1,000$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.73 | 503 | 46.5%234 W · 269 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Under | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 629 | 48.6%306 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 443 | 45.1%200 W · 243 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe22a…cb75backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Over | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Under | 51c | 999.99$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 45c | 999.97$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.98 | 560 | 43.9%246 W · 314 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73da…b7acbacked Over | 49c | 984.07$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.88 | 200 | 57%114 W · 86 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5b…5443backed Over | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 125 | 42.4%53 W · 72 L | -11.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Under | 46c | 978.26$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 469 | 59.1%277 W · 192 L | +28.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 47c | 976.6$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.6 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fac…b89abacked Over | 51c | 962.75$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.75 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 51c | 955.51$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.31 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 49c | 947.41$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.2 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b45…d196backed Over | 49c | 918.37$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.37 | 125 | 40.8%51 W · 74 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6303…9556backed Over | 77c | 909.19$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.19 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 47c | 813.58$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.61 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Over | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Under | 51c | 800$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 329 | 57.4%189 W · 140 L | +18.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b62…728abacked Under | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 115 | 56.5%65 W · 50 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58a6…b9debacked Over | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Over | 51c | 784.31$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.31 | 296 | 35.8%106 W · 190 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Over | 54c | 742.08$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.08 | 524 | 61.6%323 W · 201 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Under | 28c | 711.07$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.1 | 185 | 57.3%106 W · 79 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 28c | 704.14$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.28 | 360 | 51.7%186 W · 174 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Under | 46c | 658.16$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.75 | 528 | 61.9%327 W · 201 L | +32.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 35c | 653.83$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.14 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Over | 48c | 625$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 251 | 55%138 W · 113 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Over | 49c | 620$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.19 | 498 | 52.6%262 W · 236 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Under | 28c | 618.68$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.36 | 251 | 50.6%127 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Over | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 241 | 59.8%144 W · 97 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x291d…2f8bbacked Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Over | 51c | 600$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 306 | 41.8%128 W · 178 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d63…2e49backed Under | 42c | 565.98$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.51 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +217.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0af5…154cbacked Over | 50c | 552.58$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.29 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +5.3wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 38c | 526$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.22 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Over | 51c | 478.54$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.39 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Spurs won
- Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 26.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jaden McDaniels: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Jaden McDaniels: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Julius Randle: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-10.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-11.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-14.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-17.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-20.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-8.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-9.5)Spurs won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Timberwolves vs. SpursSpurs won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 105.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 106.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 228.5Under won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.