TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,066
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,038

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,066 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe768…b331backed No61c597.18$362 inWon+$235.1839864.3%256 W · 142 L+33.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+12.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Yes38c521.58$198 inLost-$198.284342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Yes40c349.24$140 inLost-$14027746.6%129 W · 148 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x906b…9805backed Yes47c211.88$100 inLost-$1002842.9%12 W · 16 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-22%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xab8c…85fbbacked No62c161.95$100 inWon+$61.952254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No52c131.88$69 inWon+$63.32,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53cd…11b3backed Yes39c130$51 inLost-$50.79139.6%36 W · 55 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Yes44c113.78$50 inLost-$5034849.7%173 W · 175 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No54c111.89$60 inWon+$51.4790863.9%580 W · 328 L+80.6wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+20.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked No56c101.09$57 inWon+$44.585449.4%422 W · 432 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No55c81.02$45 inWon+$36.0953842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed No61c79$48 inWon+$30.8126755.1%147 W · 120 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked No59c67.94$40 inWon+$27.5462047.3%293 W · 327 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Yes39c65$25 inLost-$25.3596956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c94…f9f4backed Yes45c62.15$28 inLost-$27.988043.8%35 W · 45 L-9.9wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-23%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd6cf…1025backed Yes44c57.11$25 inLost-$254744.7%21 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x579a…d402backed Yes40c50$20 inLost-$201346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3368…2079backed Yes39c30$12 inLost-$11.72326.1%6 W · 17 L-4.4wins-0.19per pick45cpaid-32.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3066…98d9backed No60c24.7$15 inWon+$9.785251.9%27 W · 25 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4651…8da8backed No55c22.94$13 inWon+$10.327230.6%22 W · 50 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick31cpaid+6.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfe93…8d0ebacked No61c19.91$12 inWon+$7.7132866.5%218 W · 110 L+15.4wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.