TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xff26…de84

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
41
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NBA, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 53 out of 100; worst Olympics at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$11.32
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$18.33
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 5.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$8.08
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 6.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$12
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 26.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Spread: Thunder (-10.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$19.88
Lakers vs. Heatbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+121.3%+$19.41
Clippers vs. Pelicansbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Pistons vs. Raptorsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Rockets vs. Heatbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Spread: Spurs (-13.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+143.9%+$15.83
All 19 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-64.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Tomas Machac vs Zizou Bergsbacked Tomas Machac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Hamburg European Open, Qualification: Henri Squire vs Cristian Garinbacked Henri Squire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+50%+$12.39
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+80.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+80.5%+$15.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Final - Canada vs. USAbacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$13
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.