Euroleague · resolved market
Monaco vs. Saski Baskonia
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e27f1294a9d7b437c36b6c4bf8f059964e5e5e02ec1a1206c57fb2400dcb3b8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Monacoof Monaco, Saski Baskonia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,694
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,919
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,694 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1154…0d31backed Monaco | 66c | 960.41$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.05 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Saski Baskonia | 32c | 915$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.7 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Saski Baskonia | 31c | 881.63$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.64 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Saski Baskonia | 32c | 765$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.46 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cde…6040backed Monaco | 72c | 555.65$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.65 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dee…3d1bbacked Monaco | 76c | 524.05$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.05 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Monaco | 78c | 471.99$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.84 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Saski Baskonia | 26c | 390.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.12 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Saski Baskonia | 22c | 377.25$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.99 | 120 | 40.8%49 W · 71 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Monaco | 69c | 349.7$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.81 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Saski Baskonia | 29c | 274.19$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.33 | 124 | 54%67 W · 57 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Monaco | 77c | 274.09$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.04 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Monaco | 72c | 269$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.07 | 370 | 52.7%195 W · 175 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Saski Baskonia | 40c | 244$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.14 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Monaco | 72c | 233.88$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.33 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Saski Baskonia | 23c | 202$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.16 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Saski Baskonia | 22c | 181.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…7a4ebacked Saski Baskonia | 22c | 163.64$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Saski Baskonia | 24c | 140.27$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.16 | 265 | 44.5%118 W · 147 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Monaco | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Saski Baskonia | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 273 | 38.1%104 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Saski Baskonia | 44c | 99.87$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 316 | 51.6%163 W · 153 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d8…e72dbacked Monaco | 56c | 87.25$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.39 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5700…a854backed Saski Baskonia | 35c | 85.34$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd824…8d96backed Monaco | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Saski Baskonia | 35c | 77$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.24 | 181 | 44.2%80 W · 101 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Monaco | 69c | 70.02$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.83 | 145 | 42.1%61 W · 84 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Saski Baskonia | 22c | 64.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Saski Baskonia | 24c | 56.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 255 | 17.6%45 W · 210 L | -29.4wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x138a…8197backed Monaco | 76c | 52.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a54…e581backed Monaco | 78c | 44.87$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff26…de84backed Saski Baskonia | 38c | 36.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Monaco | 77c | 28.96$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc25a…f243backed Monaco | 79c | 27.76$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked Monaco | 69c | 27.45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Monaco | 75c | 27.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.83 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -7.9wins | -0.16per pick | 62cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6668…372bbacked Monaco | 77c | 26.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Monaco | 74c | 15.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.97 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.