TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,640
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,032

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,640 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb502…9d8bbacked Yes56c446.83$250 inWon+$196.8330055.7%167 W · 133 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd38…99d4backed Yes54c438.96$239 inWon+$200.1425657%146 W · 110 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No44c314$138 inLost-$138.1642842.5%182 W · 246 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1495…d3f9backed Yes50c291.92$147 inWon+$145.2215048%72 W · 78 L+8.8wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+25.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed No47c253.5$119 inLost-$1191,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9caf…e8bdbacked No48c251.73$121 inLost-$120.8333049.1%162 W · 168 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7677…37c0backed No44c248.76$110 inLost-$109.9414148.2%68 W · 73 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2baf…8023backed No48c200$96 inLost-$95.843752.6%230 W · 207 L+18.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No49c199.1$98 inLost-$97.562,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0b…4e72backed Yes51c197.18$100 inWon+$97.18333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-34.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked No44c148.31$65 inLost-$65.2685449.4%422 W · 432 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40a4…c6a9backed Yes50c77.04$39 inWon+$38.5210246.1%47 W · 55 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No48c72.14$35 inLost-$34.553842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5345…666abacked No52c61.84$32 inLost-$326942%29 W · 40 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+30.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15db…1da8backed No51c58.82$30 inLost-$3011648.3%56 W · 60 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed No51c49.12$25 inLost-$2566046.8%309 W · 351 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dbf…10d9backed Yes56c35.9$20 inWon+$15.9944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick37cpaid-8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd43…f481backed No51c29.41$15 inLost-$15850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9422…f273backed No51c29.41$15 inLost-$14.9619555.4%108 W · 87 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Yes55c28$15 inWon+$12.6726755.1%147 W · 120 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Yes49c27.45$13 inWon+$1444747%210 W · 237 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03c8…becfbacked Yes56c26.79$15 inWon+$11.793458.8%20 W · 14 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No47c26.37$12 inLost-$12.2733356.2%187 W · 146 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x118a…457ebacked Yes54c25.99$14 inWon+$12.01933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-39.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xff26…de84backed Yes50c20$10 inWon+$101957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.