TailMyPicks
Menu
Market

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$141,726
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$143,578

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $141,726 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 167 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9495…9a27backed Under47c16,023$7,592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,591.7169848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161e…6ef0backed Under1c11,847$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.475664.3%36 W · 20 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+3.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Under14c11,108$1,561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,560.856646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under48c9,690$4,637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,637.121,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Over49c8,854$4,348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,505.4811034.5%38 W · 72 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Over52c7,205$3,745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,460.6332846.6%153 W · 175 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over52c5,468$2,834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,634.1747856.7%271 W · 207 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xad7c…6244backed Over53c5,000$2,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3503444.1%15 W · 19 L+4.3wins+0.13per pick32cpaid+21.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Over61c4,281$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,681.0852461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Under17c4,263$734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$733.6419548.2%94 W · 101 L+12.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under72c3,904$2,799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,799.18,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd81e…e3d0backed Under32c2,908$943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$942.656445.3%29 W · 35 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Under30c2,527$758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758.154246.7%253 W · 289 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Under29c2,490$727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$727.2779650.9%405 W · 391 L+63.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under51c2,488$1,257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,257.121,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Over72c2,406$1,726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.7124159.8%144 W · 97 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over68c2,248$1,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$714.8166352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Over77c2,000$1,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46036243.9%159 W · 203 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d93…b34dbacked Over53c2,000$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$939.777146.5%33 W · 38 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under33c1,972$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643.841,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over29c1,863$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,330.31,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over68c1,851$1,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594.864948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under50c1,651$826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$825.62,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under12c1,527$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.71,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56c9…0d9ebacked Over65c1,526$992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.187869.2%54 W · 24 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick70cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96ef…cca4backed Under2c1,452$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.152638.5%10 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Under35c1,400$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49020155.7%112 W · 89 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over11c1,386$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,229.2476653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under45c1,369$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610.9855251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e3a…3246backed Under39c1,357$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.5619954.8%109 W · 90 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcebf…832ebacked Over70c1,309$913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.791283.3%10 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.18per pick65cpaid+30.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Under30c1,072$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.4771547.7%341 W · 374 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Under48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48061638.5%237 W · 379 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2942…59abbacked Over39c1,000$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61018044.4%80 W · 100 L+15.8wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+36.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xef85…2c38backed Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5003647.2%17 W · 19 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick43cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b4c…1715backed Under3c999.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3016429.9%49 W · 115 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+24.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a3c…9320backed Over71c990.2$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.225360.1%152 W · 101 L+26.2wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbc5b…3f6abacked Under75c987.21$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$740.4111946.2%55 W · 64 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under71c894.18$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635.652150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x78a2…9d46backed Over70c855.09$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.096662.1%41 W · 25 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb10e…beedbacked Over53c747.87$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.151838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x98bd…8a55backed Over62c744.77$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.94560%27 W · 18 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+25.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Over10c734.55$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660.3531222.1%69 W · 243 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+79.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2978…b511backed Over45c685.32$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.327835.9%28 W · 50 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe33f…e413backed Under31c600$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18611437.7%43 W · 71 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1a0…fb89backed Over52c576.92$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.922763%17 W · 10 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+24.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xae8f…1cc3backed Over45c516.66$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.665446.3%25 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1543…baafbacked Over24c512.62$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.312741.7%53 W · 74 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7805…1baebacked Over68c499.99$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1613767.6%25 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6281…e326backed Over36c499.98$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.997448.6%36 W · 38 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+36.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Over70c453.35$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.2811558.3%67 W · 48 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+88.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd63a…9603backed Over71c422.49$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.494650%23 W · 23 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b90…672ebacked Over67c395.52$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.5213759.9%82 W · 55 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x39f8…badabacked Over51c392.31$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.314652.2%24 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8356…d6cbbacked Over53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.362259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under29c354.91$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.926,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over50c352$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.0693148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x48ec…8f36backed Under46c326$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.964734%16 W · 31 L-4.5wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x08be…bea8backed Over63c317.46$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.4610861.1%66 W · 42 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5440…c640backed Over68c300$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$965843.1%25 W · 33 L-5.0wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-23.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9e31…5e8ebacked Under33c296.48$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.8411748.7%57 W · 60 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4247…91c4backed Over67c289.36$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.4911136%40 W · 71 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-28.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6707…d4d8backed Over60c287.25$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.256659.1%39 W · 27 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd83d…c57ebacked Over70c260.33$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.64728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.33per pick62cpaid-61.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xeaaf…20c0backed Under78c256.41$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003151.6%16 W · 15 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick60cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Over21c238.48$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.487342.5%31 W · 42 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under41c229.75$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.4832045.3%145 W · 175 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Under10c215.24$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.52969.4%9 W · 87 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick8cpaid+16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4c9…8803backed Over52c211$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.283265.6%21 W · 11 L+8.2wins+0.26per pick40cpaid+109.4%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under49c205$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.3589850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1af3…b3b4backed Under30c201.48$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.443740.5%15 W · 22 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97ff…d970backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10010843.5%47 W · 61 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-17.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1bf7…ea54backed Over52c200$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$972744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10018850.5%95 W · 93 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under33c199.99$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6585449.4%422 W · 432 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x782c…38c2backed Over55c199.99$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$906555.4%36 W · 29 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a70…76b5backed Over51c199.99$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$985971.2%42 W · 17 L+10.3wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+37.3%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x735b…acb1backed Under34c197$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.98425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-66.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x951f…e430backed Over55c183.05$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.0523652.5%124 W · 112 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8890…cefbbacked Over67c150$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5014446.5%67 W · 77 L-0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under30c150$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b67…f13cbacked Over70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.865457.4%31 W · 23 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf22b…8f84backed Over70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.861428.6%4 W · 10 L-4.2wins-0.30per pick59cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x61d3…189abacked Under33c136.67$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.121849.5%108 W · 110 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe741…a9d1backed Under49c131.51$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.441250%6 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc392…595dbacked Under23c130.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3040548.4%196 W · 209 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f8d…3ddcbacked Over27c126.22$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.221729.4%5 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick24cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf5e…95e3backed Under50c120.7$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.3521046.2%97 W · 113 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e74…19fabacked Over70c120$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361471.4%10 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick68cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d05…f729backed Under34c117.46$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7813047.7%62 W · 68 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd424…bf7bbacked Over27c111.41$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.415750.9%29 W · 28 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfcf1…29ffbacked Over66c100.6$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.2250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e45…39dabacked Under49c100.37$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.1810746.7%50 W · 57 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5b3…4756backed Under49c100.37$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.1810743.9%47 W · 60 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x389d…995fbacked Under49c100.37$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.188843.2%38 W · 50 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1dcc…e8ccbacked Under51c100.04$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515253.8%28 W · 24 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Over72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2846346.4%215 W · 248 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Under31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317751.9%40 W · 37 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1c67…a479backed Over55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452171.4%15 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick60cpaid+22%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x18ed…590abacked Over54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick48cpaid-9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.