NBA · resolved market
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 221.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23974992d01e5eb5f02e6dbe0ce19f0479073d91578afe0e1b4cb0f45e96a95b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $576,616
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $585,642
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $576,616 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 248 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Over | 49c | 199,999$98,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101,999.73 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Under | 0c | 87,307$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.31 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Under | 54c | 64,819$35,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,000 | 99 | 45.5%45 W · 54 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 51c | 44,855$22,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,876.05 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb915…8da5backed Under | 54c | 43,626$23,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,558.05 | 104 | 59.6%62 W · 42 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +23%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Over | 46c | 43,010$19,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,225.4 | 160 | 39.4%63 W · 97 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…9d83backed Over | 50c | 42,000$21,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,000 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 51c | 41,485$21,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,233.21 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Over | 46c | 38,332$17,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,699.23 | 292 | 45.5%133 W · 159 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 50c | 24,539$12,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,269.26 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…234fbacked Under | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 148 | 42.6%63 W · 85 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2114…84c5backed Under | 51c | 19,608$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -8.3wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 46c | 18,822$8,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,163.73 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 52c | 15,077$7,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,780.75 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4c…1f30backed Under | 51c | 15,000$7,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,650 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…cff4backed Under | 51c | 9,804$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Over | 24c | 8,324$1,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,326.57 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7871…c0d5backed Under | 51c | 7,843$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Under | 51c | 7,843$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x994b…c047backed Under | 55c | 7,174$3,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,945.7 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b91…83babacked Under | 76c | 6,214$4,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,722.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72bc…902cbacked Under | 76c | 6,213$4,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,721.87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4e…1dfcbacked Under | 51c | 6,176$3,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,150 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Over | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Under | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,060 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf595…bfb5backed Over | 46c | 6,000$2,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,239.99 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Over | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5054…0aafbacked Under | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +4.8wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +25%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 54c | 4,551$2,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,435.26 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6cd…acebbacked Under | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +18%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…079fbacked Under | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x379a…5122backed Under | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -5.6wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Under | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 219 | 43.4%95 W · 124 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Over | 46c | 3,802$1,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,052.85 | 286 | 43%123 W · 163 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 45c | 3,749$1,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,061.74 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a74…de59backed Over | 28c | 3,383$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,433.21 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Under | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd1…7918backed Over | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 47c | 2,898$1,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,527.06 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…5c97backed Over | 47c | 2,857$1,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,514.45 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5d…191dbacked Under | 51c | 2,728$1,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,391.34 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 51c | 2,609$1,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,330.67 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb57a…b8c3backed Under | 51c | 2,587$1,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.37 | 196 | 53.6%105 W · 91 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…24eebacked Over | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Over | 49c | 2,292$1,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,168.89 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 54c | 2,160$1,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,166.07 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab2d…b1aabacked Over | 48c | 2,062$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,072.44 | 295 | 47.5%140 W · 155 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Over | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 47c | 2,000$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x951f…e430backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 236 | 52.5%124 W · 112 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.11 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 42c | 1,869$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,084.52 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ed…1ea1backed Under | 52c | 1,719$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.6 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Under | 53c | 1,575$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.73 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Under | 53c | 1,575$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.73 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +8.7wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x73da…b7acbacked Over | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765 | 200 | 57%114 W · 86 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…dbbbbacked Over | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 50c | 1,472$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.06 | 320 | 45.3%145 W · 175 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d9…c125backed Under | 51c | 1,471$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 202 | 47.5%96 W · 106 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca5f…7854backed Over | 49c | 1,400$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 47c | 1,160$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.66 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Under | 51c | 1,078$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Under | 50c | 1,018$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Under | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 560 | 43.9%246 W · 314 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 503 | 46.5%234 W · 269 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72a6…cfefbacked Over | 50c | 876.67$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.34 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 5c | 876.4$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.58 | 360 | 51.7%186 W · 174 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Under | 51c | 835.27$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.99 | 235 | 53.6%126 W · 109 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 49c | 779.93$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.76 | 304 | 48.4%147 W · 157 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Under | 51c | 756.12$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.62 | 223 | 49.8%111 W · 112 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 27c | 746.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.88 | 188 | 50.5%95 W · 93 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Under | 51c | 713$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.63 | 140 | 49.3%69 W · 71 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Over | 50c | 706$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353 | 112 | 42%47 W · 65 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x73b4…44d0backed Over | 46c | 704.35$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.35 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Under | 51c | 700$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…4ddbbacked Over | 49c | 650$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.5 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 44c | 610.5$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.88 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 54c | 600$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 493 | 45.2%223 W · 270 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe22a…cb75backed Under | 51c | 600$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7084…0ae5backed Over | 45c | 600$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under | 51c | 590.68$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.25 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 19c | 568.59$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.85 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…2af1backed Under | 50c | 555$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.5 | 214 | 46.7%100 W · 114 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Under | 55c | 539.49$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.72 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -8.7wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x135d…56c0backed Under | 55c | 532.93$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.11 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde6b…fae0backed Under | 50c | 510$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Over | 50c | 460$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78bf…6df9backed Under | 51c | 459.02$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.1 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…f8bebacked Under | 54c | 453.85$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.7 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -6.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Under | 51c | 425.49$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Under | 51c | 417.02$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.68 | 100 | 59%59 W · 41 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 259 | 45.6%118 W · 141 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec2d…896cbacked Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef07…bb26backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…5dfebacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198c…6a94backed Under | 50c | 396$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c773backed Under | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed Under | 40c | 375$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 221.5this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Spurs won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 15.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Devin Vassell: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 2.5Yes won
- Julian Champagnie: Points O/U 8.5Yes won
- Luguentz Dort: Points O/U 2.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 29.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-11.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-14.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-2.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-7.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Spurs won
- Spurs vs. ThunderSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 112.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 217.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 218.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 220.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 222.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 228.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: Odd/Even ScoreOdd won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.