TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 217.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$195,703
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$192,164

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $195,703 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 188 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cf…2f63backed Over60c82,417$49,331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,086.0164948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Under39c32,103$12,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,520.0254539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under42c17,211$7,181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,180.855251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Under39c12,375$4,826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,826.2528643%123 W · 163 L-1.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1af3…b3b4backed Under39c9,405$3,668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,667.953740.5%15 W · 22 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over18c8,893$1,609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,283.52,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x79bd…5c31backed Under43c5,716$2,458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,457.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under41c4,660$1,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,930.096,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over19c4,544$843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,700.791,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6303…9556backed Over59c4,227$2,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,737.3918853.2%100 W · 88 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under46c3,803$1,743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,743.1169848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd60…396cbacked Under39c3,300$1,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2875657.1%32 W · 24 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+22.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under54c3,250$1,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,769.671,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over60c3,000$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2002860.7%17 W · 11 L+3.2wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+27.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Under43c3,000$1,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,29010248%49 W · 53 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Under45c2,795$1,258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,257.8165045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5555…2af1backed Under44c2,777$1,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,216.3521446.7%100 W · 114 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Over58c2,594$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,094.2452461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over59c2,500$1,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,02050346.5%234 W · 269 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over47c2,479$1,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,324.6934255.6%190 W · 152 L+28.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+36%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Over51c2,452$1,246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,205.8824159.8%144 W · 97 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under64c2,302$1,463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,463.2353842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over58c2,088$1,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$875.8366352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over38c2,044$776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,268.722,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Under43c1,760$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.9838947.6%185 W · 204 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over58c1,710$995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$715.118445.7%84 W · 100 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under41c1,699$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.131,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f3b…9ed5backed Over21c1,663$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,318.141464.3%9 W · 5 L+3.5wins+0.25per pick39cpaid+180.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Under39c1,646$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.1144740.7%182 W · 265 L-27.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1543…baafbacked Over48c1,500$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$779.9912741.7%53 W · 74 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x161b…acc2backed Under43c1,278$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.351540%6 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-24.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Under55c1,263$695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$694.6489444.4%397 W · 497 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under54c1,039$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.0827245.6%124 W · 148 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over22c1,008$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782.618,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over61c1,000$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.2225352.6%133 W · 120 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under43c1,000$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43025651.2%131 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under41c1,000$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4101,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1d7…d31abacked Over77c905.36$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.3621640.3%87 W · 129 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+43.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Under45c857.55$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.920155.7%112 W · 89 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Over4c843.8$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$812.3631222.1%69 W · 243 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+79.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Under72c808.23$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.6911558.3%67 W · 48 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+88.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Under43c797$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.7131644.6%141 W · 175 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Over63c782.5$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.9713464.2%86 W · 48 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick59cpaid-2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over44c708.45$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.4293148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6dff…bc36backed Under42c700$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2947243.1%31 W · 41 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3d7…4084backed Under43c697.67$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-41.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under42c670.54$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.044,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10d4…69ebbacked Over50c612.3$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.362948.6%306 W · 323 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5871…0defbacked Under40c607.68$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.074434.1%15 W · 29 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6c16…66cebacked Over19c589.29$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.6321953.4%117 W · 102 L+0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over43c585.54$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.541,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over38c569.63$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.627463.5%174 W · 100 L+34.8wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+19.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x4490…fe8bbacked Over59c509.69$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.693450%17 W · 17 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under47c500$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2352,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30095452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Over60c499.99$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20046959.1%277 W · 192 L+28.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under40c499.99$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20068838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under41c470.35$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.7462051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Over11c451.84$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.1136051.7%186 W · 174 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Over50c451.13$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.2252861.9%327 W · 201 L+32.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under39c410.85$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.231,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e42…f22abacked Under58c399.99$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.67237.5%27 W · 45 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48ec…8f36backed Under38c393$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.344734%16 W · 31 L-4.5wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked Over8c384$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.2110718.7%20 W · 87 L+0.4wins0.00per pick18cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Under57c377.66$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.1152053.3%277 W · 243 L+29.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Over53c375.14$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.725150.6%127 W · 124 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3afb…0004backed Over56c371$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.39933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid+46.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Over25c365.59$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.147342.5%31 W · 42 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Over59c362.9$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.7927553.5%147 W · 128 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd57d…590ebacked Over57c354.21$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.3113560%81 W · 54 L+9.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Over23c350.21$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.0559255.4%328 W · 264 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd23f…0b63backed Over56c348.8$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.471060%6 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+23.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe2df…ca29backed Under46c337.06$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.9517247.7%82 W · 90 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over14c326.94$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.1789048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2003…af6fbacked Over33c310.02$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.175829.3%17 W · 41 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2792…c4f6backed Over59c303.73$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.564463.6%28 W · 16 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+31.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under42c300.3$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.1360049.8%299 W · 301 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under51c292.4$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.789850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7677…37c0backed Under43c285.6$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.8114148.2%68 W · 73 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dd4…7401backed Under61c256.18$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.1924936.9%92 W · 157 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6707…d4d8backed Over58c255.17$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.176659.1%39 W · 27 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under42c255.17$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.172,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4c9…8803backed Over56c249.99$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1103265.6%21 W · 11 L+8.2wins+0.26per pick40cpaid+109.4%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over57c239.32$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.311,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over38c219.77$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.3925045.6%114 W · 136 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1243…5c5fbacked Under38c219.71$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.4970%0 W · 7 L-3.0wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under50c210.36$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.181,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a74…de59backed Under47c206.46$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.8511048.2%53 W · 57 L-6.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under50c205.14$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.5530842.9%132 W · 176 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed Under44c201$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.8423441.5%97 W · 137 L+13.6wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+6.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2366…580fbacked Over57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8611347.8%54 W · 59 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under39c200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10018850.5%95 W · 93 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under62c199$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.778639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under42c195.03$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.8830448.4%147 W · 157 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Under60c194.12$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.5140440.1%162 W · 242 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Under60c192$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.6480440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e90…a79ebacked Over61c189.07$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.743174.2%23 W · 8 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick62cpaid+16.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over65c189$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.041,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb502…9d8bbacked Over53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6830055.7%167 W · 133 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.