TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,121
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,276

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,121 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbd38…99d4backed Yes55c257.11$141 inWon+$116.325657%146 W · 110 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes56c231.45$130 inWon+$101.4519951.8%103 W · 96 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2baf…8023backed No44c209.99$92 inLost-$92.443752.6%230 W · 207 L+18.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x97ff…d970backed No50c200.58$100 inLost-$10010843.5%47 W · 61 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-17.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Yes50c172.74$86 inWon+$86.3784342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked No45c143.64$65 inLost-$64.6485449.4%422 W · 432 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed No44c142.86$63 inLost-$62.861,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd424…bf7bbacked Yes56c125$70 inWon+$555750.9%29 W · 28 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No45c116.8$52 inLost-$52.252,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4c5…378abacked Yes54c100$54 inWon+$4615744.6%70 W · 87 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88a2…68a0backed Yes55c86.07$47 inWon+$38.9215351%78 W · 75 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9caf…e8bdbacked No45c80.99$36 inLost-$36.4533049.1%162 W · 168 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe768…b331backed No45c74.98$34 inLost-$33.7439864.3%256 W · 142 L+33.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+12.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x773c…cf18backed No48c67.05$32 inLost-$32.1818448.9%90 W · 94 L-13.3wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-14.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe897…0b3bbacked Yes58c64.98$38 inWon+$26.983080%24 W · 6 L+4.8wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+29.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed No46c54.35$25 inLost-$2566046.8%309 W · 351 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No36c51.99$19 inLost-$18.7630842.9%132 W · 176 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa804…bdc1backed No46c50$23 inLost-$22.867237.5%27 W · 45 L-7.6wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-20.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc98e…2341backed Yes55c45.39$25 inWon+$20.391361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+21%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4704…515ebacked Yes54c37.04$20 inWon+$17.042161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+24.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaff4…8720backed Yes56c35.44$20 inWon+$15.445750.9%29 W · 28 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+23.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x085b…ab9fbacked Yes46c33.28$15 inWon+$17.99941.4%41 W · 58 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed No41c31.24$13 inLost-$12.8179650.9%405 W · 391 L+63.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed No46c27.04$12 inLost-$12.4441050.7%208 W · 202 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9422…f273backed No54c25.92$14 inLost-$1419555.4%108 W · 87 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03c8…becfbacked Yes55c25.45$14 inWon+$11.453458.8%20 W · 14 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…ba2cbacked No44c24.15$11 inLost-$10.5726957.2%154 W · 115 L+11.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Yes55c21$12 inWon+$9.4526755.1%147 W · 120 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fc5…5a80backed Yes55c20.65$11 inWon+$9.29728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.36per pick65cpaid-53.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.