TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,297
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,140

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,297 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x73e8…cd6fbacked No75c3,004$2,245 inWon+$758.6939265.1%255 W · 137 L+31.0wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes22c1,389$303 inLost-$303.0542842.5%182 W · 246 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2f2…0ff7backed Yes20c1,039$208 inLost-$207.8147.1%1 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick18cpaid-90.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x802e…76fdbacked No62c691.61$427 inWon+$264.635887.9%51 W · 7 L+13.6wins+0.24per pick64cpaid+35.1%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x696a…e23abacked Yes39c500$195 inLost-$19517151.5%88 W · 83 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes25c466.44$116 inLost-$115.8153842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f4b…556bbacked Yes3c428.99$13 inLost-$12.87219.5%2 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick8cpaid-48.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7677…37c0backed Yes39c384.61$150 inLost-$15014148.2%68 W · 73 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd755…61a1backed Yes18c110$20 inLost-$19.84037.5%15 W · 25 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+17.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Yes30c84$25 inLost-$25.230842.9%132 W · 176 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e3…99a1backed No65c76.42$50 inWon+$26.423941%16 W · 23 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-19.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes44c50$22 inLost-$2230448.4%147 W · 157 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9caf…e8bdbacked Yes39c50$20 inLost-$19.5433049.1%162 W · 168 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9422…f273backed No60c39.65$24 inWon+$15.9819555.4%108 W · 87 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7200…9299backed No57c38$22 inWon+$16.2636954.7%202 W · 167 L+28.0wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+18.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7efd…caedbacked No54c36.51$20 inWon+$16.859975.8%75 W · 24 L+16.3wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+28%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Yes42c30$13 inLost-$12.641050.7%208 W · 202 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2c2…e9bfbacked Yes42c29.98$13 inLost-$12.69366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Yes38c27.43$10 inLost-$10.3620558.5%120 W · 85 L+19.6wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+26.3%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x3c69…e671backed No62c24.44$15 inWon+$9.296051.7%31 W · 29 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x761b…e8f7backed No59c20$12 inWon+$8.33360.6%20 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2de9…999cbacked No53c20$11 inWon+$9.4250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.