NBA · resolved market
Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc424f11a8e72b64a6a13f69ee9b343361ddf6b28eb6b2be76ba4f4b706c59109
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,953
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,717
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,953 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x63a4…0091backed No | 47c | 4,560$2,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,142.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe558…dcd2backed Yes | 53c | 3,333$1,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,567.51 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 47c | 2,855$1,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,345.14 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed No | 45c | 2,664$1,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,209 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5020…36fcbacked Yes | 59c | 1,670$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.93 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed No | 41c | 1,630$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.75 | 796 | 50.9%405 W · 391 L | +63.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed No | 46c | 1,304$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.98 | 131 | 61.8%81 W · 50 L | +13.4wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Yes | 54c | 1,143$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.8 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed No | 50c | 641.5$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.75 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Yes | 54c | 555.1$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.35 | 522 | 42.7%223 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked No | 44c | 480$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.2 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd11d…5656backed Yes | 49c | 349.99$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178 | 92 | 39.1%36 W · 56 L | -10.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed No | 47c | 320$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.4 | 498 | 52.6%262 W · 236 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7c…8eabbacked Yes | 48c | 312.01$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.01 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 44c | 308.78$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 908 | 63.9%580 W · 328 L | +80.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x05e0…e2cbbacked Yes | 54c | 271.39$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.84 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…5fa2backed Yes | 53c | 254.32$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.38 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9caf…e8bdbacked No | 42c | 249.67$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.17 | 330 | 49.1%162 W · 168 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x802e…76fdbacked Yes | 65c | 242$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.37 | 58 | 87.9%51 W · 7 L | +13.6wins | +0.24per pick | 64cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 51c | 235.29$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.29 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2baf…8023backed No | 43c | 229.85$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.8 | 437 | 52.6%230 W · 207 L | +18.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0fd…a91ebacked Yes | 57c | 210.88$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.88 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2374…a426backed Yes | 54c | 205.16$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.16 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Yes | 47c | 201.15$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.61 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed No | 51c | 199.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.99 | 560 | 50.4%282 W · 278 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x662a…150ebacked Yes | 57c | 160.25$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7987…884abacked Yes | 52c | 142.98$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.98 | 258 | 50%129 W · 129 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f47…f611backed Yes | 67c | 128.03$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.8 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -8.3wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb986…4b60backed Yes | 61c | 122$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked No | 47c | 116.96$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.38 | 854 | 49.4%422 W · 432 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf908…0aafbacked Yes | 55c | 108.49$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.49 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +75.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed No | 48c | 104.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4f…2510backed Yes | 54c | 102.22$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.22 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed No | 49c | 99.97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.98 | 560 | 43.9%246 W · 314 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…bdc1backed No | 50c | 99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -7.6wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Yes | 51c | 98.01$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.03 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…23ccbacked Yes | 54c | 95.5$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.93 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b9…ad06backed No | 45c | 93.84$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.23 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0789…f7adbacked Yes | 54c | 92.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed No | 45c | 92$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 361 | 53.5%193 W · 168 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb65b…8452backed Yes | 56c | 91.95$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.24 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d9…04eebacked Yes | 57c | 88.09$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.09 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea47…d64bbacked No | 45c | 77.61$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.84 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…bf81backed Yes | 58c | 75.1$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.54 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed No | 45c | 73.4$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.03 | 193 | 52.8%102 W · 91 L | +11.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6752…25c2backed Yes | 51c | 70$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.3 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e44…9d02backed Yes | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed No | 44c | 62.14$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.34 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5324…d4f9backed Yes | 48c | 59.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x229f…7dc9backed Yes | 56c | 58.93$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1de9…9499backed Yes | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 106 | 36.8%39 W · 67 L | -14.9wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x15db…1da8backed No | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 116 | 48.3%56 W · 60 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb4…6096backed Yes | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a7…e5d4backed No | 48c | 54.71$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.28 | 188 | 53.7%101 W · 87 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4651…8da8backed No | 43c | 54.6$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb4…1bd1backed Yes | 57c | 52.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.85 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac6c…d0d4backed Yes | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e6…757abacked Yes | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb779…ab22backed Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa64f…e598backed Yes | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed No | 46c | 49.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.77 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb1…0073backed Yes | 52c | 46.15$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.15 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0654…f5a9backed No | 49c | 45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x630b…34ffbacked Yes | 59c | 44.19$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.19 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38cb…06a6backed Yes | 57c | 43.77$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.02 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1649…6a39backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4449…5095backed Yes | 62c | 40.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 39c | 38.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 335 | 56.7%190 W · 145 L | +26.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Yes | 73c | 38$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa3a…52fdbacked Yes | 62c | 37.2$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa2…5e7cbacked Yes | 52c | 36.54$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.54 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked No | 49c | 36.06$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 447 | 47%210 W · 237 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd6…d4a0backed No | 48c | 34.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.68 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbf89…0fb1backed No | 59c | 34.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed No | 47c | 34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 430 | 52.3%225 W · 205 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f71…7fcabacked Yes | 54c | 33.09$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed No | 50c | 32.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 267 | 55.1%147 W · 120 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed Yes | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 317 | 48.9%155 W · 162 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d14…1eb4backed Yes | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 373 | 52%194 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4078…7d91backed Yes | 54c | 27.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb9…e983backed Yes | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5792…b762backed Yes | 54c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 47c | 23.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 333 | 56.2%187 W · 146 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 48c | 20.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 304 | 48.4%147 W · 157 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066b…4e8ebacked Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Spurs won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 15.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Devin Vassell: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 2.5Yes won
- Julian Champagnie: Points O/U 8.5Yes won
- Luguentz Dort: Points O/U 2.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 29.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-11.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-14.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-2.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-7.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Spurs won
- Spurs vs. ThunderSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 112.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 217.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 218.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 220.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 221.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 222.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 228.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: Odd/Even ScoreOdd won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.