NBA · resolved market
Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 112.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x728deb61d163801171d96379c3aec832403a2ddad09cd24af7eaeefd2d2872fc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,898
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,693
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,898 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Under | 52c | 6,000$3,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,904.98 | 201 | 55.7%112 W · 89 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8228…b2fbbacked Under | 48c | 4,167$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,166.67 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 48c | 4,042$1,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,939.74 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 52c | 3,773$1,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,961.9 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Under | 52c | 2,273$1,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,101.84 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Over | 53c | 1,193$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.1 | 430 | 52.3%225 W · 205 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 48c | 1,021$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.19 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 52c | 505$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.6 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Over | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -17.6wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d94…541abacked Over | 49c | 391.51$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.54 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Over | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 228 | 44.7%102 W · 126 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fd…3e24backed Under | 54c | 192$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.84 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x499c…2f8ebacked Over | 50c | 154.16$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -6.2wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Over | 53c | 153.72$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.47 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2df…ca29backed Under | 46c | 137.12$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.1 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Over | 46c | 126.75$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.3 | 796 | 50.9%405 W · 391 L | +63.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 48c | 123.52$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.7 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba9…c25fbacked Over | 49c | 121.37$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ac…0d2cbacked Over | 34c | 115.52$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 47c | 101.88$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.99 | 503 | 46.5%234 W · 269 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c0…f389backed Under | 48c | 101.58$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.82 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce5e…c0fabacked Over | 48c | 100.02$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.01 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc33b…2372backed Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Over | 16c | 98.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 250 | 45.6%114 W · 136 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f90…6269backed Over | 57c | 87.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd2…6555backed Over | 53c | 69.4$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.78 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.8wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xad7c…6244backed Over | 20c | 62.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Over | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 304 | 52.6%160 W · 144 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bea…c4b2backed Over | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5395…687abacked Over | 53c | 55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe23b…df94backed Over | 53c | 53$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.09 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -49%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d60…6df2backed Over | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa72d…e6fabacked Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb986…4b60backed Under | 49c | 28.57$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Under | 55c | 25.06$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 148 | 60.1%89 W · 59 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Over | 49c | 22.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 554 | 44.4%246 W · 308 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Over | 50c | 20.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 576 | 57.8%333 W · 243 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5961…56dbbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 378 | 48.9%185 W · 193 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 633 | 53.1%336 W · 297 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72b8…6253backed Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xece7…3353backed Over | 53c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d03…b8a6backed Over | 67c | 15.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 112.5this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Spurs won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 15.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Devin Vassell: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 2.5Yes won
- Julian Champagnie: Points O/U 8.5Yes won
- Luguentz Dort: Points O/U 2.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 29.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-11.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-14.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-2.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-7.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Spurs won
- Spurs vs. ThunderSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 217.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 218.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 220.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 221.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 222.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 228.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: Odd/Even ScoreOdd won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.