TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 220.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$307,796
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$314,847

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $307,796 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd81e…e3d0backed Under52c75,299$39,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,155.236445.3%29 W · 35 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over48c60,000$28,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,199.941,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Over48c49,513$23,766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,746.8129245.5%133 W · 159 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under52c46,343$24,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,029.44,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under52c46,034$23,937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,937.269848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Under48c26,289$12,670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,670.0814842.6%63 W · 85 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over53c24,165$12,748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,417.7964948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x36a7…b6e9backed Over48c20,144$9,669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,474.88666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick41cpaid+52.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked Over48c19,500$9,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,139.9616039.4%63 W · 97 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under51c10,715$5,459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,458.8255251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3751…7dfdbacked Under3c10,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002429.2%7 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+24.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Over49c9,146$4,481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,664.2124942.2%105 W · 144 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Under48c8,000$3,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,839.9532846.6%153 W · 175 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c0a…a9bebacked Over48c6,900$3,312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,5882437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick44cpaid+4.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Over48c6,000$2,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,12079549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under39c4,531$1,787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,786.5853842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Over48c3,500$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,82018749.2%92 W · 95 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over20c3,484$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,793.351,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Over18c3,365$606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,759.291,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over9c3,039$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,768.52,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Under52c3,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,56057950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Over51c3,000$1,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,469.9869149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under50c2,808$1,403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,403.261,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over48c2,398$1,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,239.71,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Over49c2,108$1,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,076.465045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2efa…8a01backed Over47c2,090$992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,097.486352.4%33 W · 30 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8228…b2fbbacked Over48c2,083$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,083.334951%25 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dfb…0b3dbacked Over48c2,034$976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,057.825940.7%24 W · 35 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96050346.5%234 W · 269 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over31c1,844$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,279.1934255.6%190 W · 152 L+28.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+36%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Under46c1,767$815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$815.2183039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over51c1,719$868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$850.4566352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over49c1,446$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$735.676,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f3b…9ed5backed Over9c1,152$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,046.531464.3%9 W · 5 L+3.5wins+0.25per pick39cpaid+180.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Over53c1,100$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5175831%18 W · 40 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under58c1,038$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602.788,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc5b…3f6abacked Under53c1,012$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.211946.2%55 W · 64 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3afb…0004backed Over10c931.6$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$838.44933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid+46.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Over52c850$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40891050.9%463 W · 447 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b62…728abacked Under48c826.31$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.1611556.5%65 W · 50 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Over52c690$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.217637.5%66 W · 110 L-16.3wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x10d4…69ebbacked Over50c624$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31262948.6%306 W · 323 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Over53c600$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28261747.8%295 W · 322 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a99…8210backed Under52c600$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3121450%7 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Over43c589.6$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.841,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbcb8…2f90backed Under49c558.73$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.288844.3%39 W · 49 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under51c525.89$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.211,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73da…b7acbacked Over52c513.62$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.5420057%114 W · 86 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x95a3…cc1bbacked Under49c457.14$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-35.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked Over7c437.25$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.7210718.7%20 W · 87 L+0.4wins0.00per pick18cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16e5…6373backed Over49c403.87$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.977100%7 W · 0 L+3.0wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+80.8%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0xbd38…99d4backed Over52c400$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19225657%146 W · 110 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cbc…1d39backed Over52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.6211850.8%60 W · 58 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over55c359.71$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.0725045.6%114 W · 136 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2aa3…9b44backed Over57c327.5$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.422065%13 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+23.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x48ec…8f36backed Under46c325.96$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.944734%16 W · 31 L-4.5wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Over48c313$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.7649852.6%262 W · 236 L+15.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35c9…bc74backed Under49c306.82$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15034661.6%213 W · 133 L+14.3wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84fe…be09backed Over52c305$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.41861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5012…4d3ebacked Over49c297.22$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.583644.4%16 W · 20 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over47c283.02$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1501,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f61…f488backed Under53c283.02$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1509642.7%41 W · 55 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over49c280.04$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.9662051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Under73c273.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011558.3%67 W · 48 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+88.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70ed…8f3fbacked Over44c269.99$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.2333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8dc…263cbacked Under79c250$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick67cpaid-49.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over12c250$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22018850.5%95 W · 93 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Under78c240$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.0619548.2%94 W · 101 L+12.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4193…4853backed Under49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009152.7%48 W · 43 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f05…a70fbacked Under52c192.3$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a16…9d73backed Over22c184.84$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.093537.1%13 W · 22 L-4.7wins-0.14per pick51cpaid+58.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over11c182.31$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.4889048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Under52c173.88$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.581,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c16…66cebacked Over11c171.82$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.9221953.4%117 W · 102 L+0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb0f…b652backed Under20c167$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.426639.8%106 W · 160 L+13.0wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Under52c160$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.234850.9%177 W · 171 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38c4…7c65backed Over52c151$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4829556.6%167 W · 128 L+10.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x21e6…2bd9backed Under53c150$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.21369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+27.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over32c148$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.7293148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x903e…2829backed Over52c144.23$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.232250%11 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+29.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x97ff…d970backed Over52c136.54$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.5410843.5%47 W · 61 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-17.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over52c134.88$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.1527463.5%174 W · 100 L+34.8wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+19.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Over10c131.5$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.3559255.4%328 W · 264 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8dd4…7401backed Under30c127.42$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.7424936.9%92 W · 157 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1243…5c5fbacked Under47c126.86$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.3270%0 W · 7 L-3.0wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd424…bf7bbacked Over49c122.45$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.455750.9%29 W · 28 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd71…6714backed Over53c113.21$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.215166.7%34 W · 17 L+5.2wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3920…23e7backed Over53c113.21$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.2130452.6%160 W · 144 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-2.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x61d3…189abacked Under56c107.79$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.3621849.5%108 W · 110 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf5e…95e3backed Under56c107.77$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.3521046.2%97 W · 113 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa804…bdc1backed Over52c107$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.367237.5%27 W · 45 L-7.6wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-20.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe23f…338ebacked Under53c94$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.821163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Under28c93.56$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5580440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under52c92.01$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.8525651.2%131 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc37e…9e64backed Under53c91.34$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.0811446.5%53 W · 61 L-7.2wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Over52c90.61$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.4960049.8%299 W · 301 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82ca…3135backed Under30c88.21$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6314359.4%85 W · 58 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2df…ca29backed Over51c87.09$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.9717247.7%82 W · 90 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x578e…ae91backed Under25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201020%2 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-42.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfa1e…f51cbacked Under47c75$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.38728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-40%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.