NBA · resolved market
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 220.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6eaa111998d31b635ad9d8eaccab24db72b35bb420d25f17f88f87aa0eb165e4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $307,796
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $314,847
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $307,796 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Under | 52c | 75,299$39,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,155.23 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Over | 48c | 60,000$28,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,199.94 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Over | 48c | 49,513$23,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,746.81 | 292 | 45.5%133 W · 159 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 52c | 46,343$24,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,029.4 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 52c | 46,034$23,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,937.2 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…234fbacked Under | 48c | 26,289$12,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,670.08 | 148 | 42.6%63 W · 85 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 53c | 24,165$12,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,417.79 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36a7…b6e9backed Over | 48c | 20,144$9,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,474.88 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Over | 48c | 19,500$9,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,139.96 | 160 | 39.4%63 W · 97 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 51c | 10,715$5,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,458.82 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3751…7dfdbacked Under | 3c | 10,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Over | 49c | 9,146$4,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,664.21 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Under | 48c | 8,000$3,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,839.95 | 328 | 46.6%153 W · 175 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0a…a9bebacked Over | 48c | 6,900$3,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,588 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Over | 48c | 6,000$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,120 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 39c | 4,531$1,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,786.58 | 538 | 42%226 W · 312 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Over | 48c | 3,500$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,820 | 187 | 49.2%92 W · 95 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 20c | 3,484$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,793.35 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Over | 18c | 3,365$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,759.29 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 9c | 3,039$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,768.5 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Under | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.98 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 50c | 2,808$1,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,403.26 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 48c | 2,398$1,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,239.7 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Over | 49c | 2,108$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.4 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2efa…8a01backed Over | 47c | 2,090$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,097.48 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8228…b2fbbacked Over | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.33 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dfb…0b3dbacked Over | 48c | 2,034$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,057.82 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 503 | 46.5%234 W · 269 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 31c | 1,844$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,279.19 | 342 | 55.6%190 W · 152 L | +28.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +36%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Under | 46c | 1,767$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.21 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 51c | 1,719$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.45 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 49c | 1,446$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.67 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3b…9ed5backed Over | 9c | 1,152$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,046.53 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.25per pick | 39cpaid | +180.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed Over | 53c | 1,100$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 58c | 1,038$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.78 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5b…3f6abacked Under | 53c | 1,012$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.2 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3afb…0004backed Over | 10c | 931.6$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.44 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Over | 52c | 850$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b62…728abacked Under | 48c | 826.31$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.16 | 115 | 56.5%65 W · 50 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Over | 52c | 690$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.2 | 176 | 37.5%66 W · 110 L | -16.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Over | 50c | 624$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 629 | 48.6%306 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Over | 53c | 600$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a99…8210backed Under | 52c | 600$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 43c | 589.6$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.84 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb8…2f90backed Under | 49c | 558.73$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.28 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 51c | 525.89$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.21 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73da…b7acbacked Over | 52c | 513.62$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.54 | 200 | 57%114 W · 86 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95a3…cc1bbacked Under | 49c | 457.14$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Over | 7c | 437.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.72 | 107 | 18.7%20 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16e5…6373backed Over | 49c | 403.87$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.97 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.0wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +80.8%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Over | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 256 | 57%146 W · 110 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbc…1d39backed Over | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 118 | 50.8%60 W · 58 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Over | 55c | 359.71$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.07 | 250 | 45.6%114 W · 136 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa3…9b44backed Over | 57c | 327.5$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.42 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed Under | 46c | 325.96$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.94 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Over | 48c | 313$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.76 | 498 | 52.6%262 W · 236 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35c9…bc74backed Under | 49c | 306.82$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 346 | 61.6%213 W · 133 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84fe…be09backed Over | 52c | 305$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.4 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5012…4d3ebacked Over | 49c | 297.22$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.58 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 47c | 283.02$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f61…f488backed Under | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 49c | 280.04$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.96 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Under | 73c | 273.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ed…8f3fbacked Over | 44c | 269.99$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8dc…263cbacked Under | 79c | 250$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 67cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 12c | 250$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 188 | 50.5%95 W · 93 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Under | 78c | 240$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.06 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +12.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f05…a70fbacked Under | 52c | 192.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Over | 22c | 184.84$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.09 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -4.7wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 11c | 182.31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.48 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Under | 52c | 173.88$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.58 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Over | 11c | 171.82$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.92 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed Under | 20c | 167$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.4 | 266 | 39.8%106 W · 160 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 52c | 160$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.2 | 348 | 50.9%177 W · 171 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c4…7c65backed Over | 52c | 151$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.48 | 295 | 56.6%167 W · 128 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21e6…2bd9backed Under | 53c | 150$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 32c | 148$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.72 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x903e…2829backed Over | 52c | 144.23$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.23 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97ff…d970backed Over | 52c | 136.54$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.54 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 52c | 134.88$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.15 | 274 | 63.5%174 W · 100 L | +34.8wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Over | 10c | 131.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.35 | 592 | 55.4%328 W · 264 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed Under | 30c | 127.42$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.74 | 249 | 36.9%92 W · 157 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1243…5c5fbacked Under | 47c | 126.86$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.32 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd424…bf7bbacked Over | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd71…6714backed Over | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.21 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Over | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.21 | 304 | 52.6%160 W · 144 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61d3…189abacked Under | 56c | 107.79$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.36 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…95e3backed Under | 56c | 107.77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.35 | 210 | 46.2%97 W · 113 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…bdc1backed Over | 52c | 107$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.36 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -7.6wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe23f…338ebacked Under | 53c | 94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.82 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Under | 28c | 93.56$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.55 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 52c | 92.01$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.85 | 256 | 51.2%131 W · 125 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc37e…9e64backed Under | 53c | 91.34$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.08 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -7.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 52c | 90.61$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.49 | 600 | 49.8%299 W · 301 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Under | 30c | 88.21$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.63 | 143 | 59.4%85 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2df…ca29backed Over | 51c | 87.09$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.97 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578e…ae91backed Under | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1e…f51cbacked Under | 47c | 75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.38 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -40%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 220.5this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Spurs won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 15.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Devin Vassell: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 2.5Yes won
- Julian Champagnie: Points O/U 8.5Yes won
- Luguentz Dort: Points O/U 2.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 29.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-11.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-14.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-2.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-7.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Spurs won
- Spurs vs. ThunderSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 112.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 217.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 218.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 221.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 222.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 228.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: Odd/Even ScoreOdd won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.