TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Thunder (-11.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spursof Thunder, Spurs
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$55,395
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$57,582

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,395 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2c39…56dcbacked Thunder0c10,479$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.95425.9%14 W · 40 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e3a…3246backed Thunder34c4,794$1,630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,629.8219954.8%109 W · 90 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9cf0…8b2bbacked Spurs66c4,111$2,713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,397.855945.8%27 W · 32 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x86e7…613ebacked Spurs67c4,000$2,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,319.9310049%49 W · 51 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Thunder27c2,769$736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$736.388,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x334b…d971backed Thunder6c2,000$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+116.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0979…8d9bbacked Thunder36c1,974$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71020352.7%107 W · 96 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc16c…a3aabacked Spurs68c1,808$1,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.51560%9 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f25…51f3backed Spurs68c1,640$1,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.85742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-33.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Spurs65c1,620$1,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.466352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x78a2…9d46backed Spurs68c1,181$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.766662.1%41 W · 25 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x27d2…a66cbacked Spurs68c1,121$762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.8521450%107 W · 107 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fb0…34ecbacked Thunder33c1,121$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3701546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Thunder32c1,035$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.4552150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Thunder33c1,014$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.916,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Thunder12c839.36$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.661,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Thunder33c767.39$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.247342.5%31 W · 42 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x48cf…c7dfbacked Spurs68c750$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24036453%193 W · 171 L-17.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Thunder32c630.68$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.161,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Thunder34c604.62$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.1564948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9e86…fce6backed Thunder34c588.24$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004652.2%24 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Thunder32c559.06$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.932045.3%145 W · 175 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Thunder13c523$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.4945445.2%205 W · 249 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Thunder34c458.81$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.991,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Spurs68c441.18$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.1869049.4%341 W · 349 L-30.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x66e5…d3c7backed Spurs68c426.47$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.476250%31 W · 31 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Thunder32c420$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.462051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Thunder32c393.56$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.941,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8e4…ff59backed Spurs68c367.65$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.654546.7%21 W · 24 L-4.4wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xde3d…6b1fbacked Thunder33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005332.1%17 W · 36 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca85…7453backed Thunder33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006346%29 W · 34 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7d6…cab5backed Spurs66c299.97$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.9916750.3%84 W · 83 L-12.0wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-15.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x946c…59cbbacked Spurs68c293$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.761275%9 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+16%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Spurs67c282.56$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.1853842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe80f…b81bbacked Spurs79c252.43$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.577562.7%47 W · 28 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c76…862dbacked Thunder33c247.27$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.61747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-22.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a9e…f670backed Thunder34c235.52$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.0811345.1%51 W · 62 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf137…a3afbacked Spurs67c225.37$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.377047.1%33 W · 37 L-5.9wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbc1b…3b5bbacked Spurs66c200$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6824946.6%116 W · 133 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70ef…e25dbacked Spurs66c196.47$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.87841%32 W · 46 L-8.3wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-22.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfa5b…9b61backed Thunder33c192.06$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.381936.8%7 W · 12 L-3.3wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe337…1f6fbacked Spurs68c180$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.11353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x781d…201bbacked Spurs67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.253464.7%22 W · 12 L+5.5wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+38.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2490…aa08backed Spurs68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.061376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.18per pick59cpaid+37.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe897…0b3bbacked Spurs68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.063080%24 W · 6 L+4.8wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+29.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb4ec…1cc8backed Thunder33c139.67$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.092250%11 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed Thunder33c130$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.956050.4%282 W · 278 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Thunder33c121.21$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407753.2%41 W · 36 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc87…dd68backed Thunder36c102.68$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.059430.9%29 W · 65 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Spurs67c101.3$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.661,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Spurs66c100.1$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.0360049.8%299 W · 301 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4523…0be0backed Thunder33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333339.4%13 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc392…595dbacked Thunder33c90.89$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9940548.4%196 W · 209 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Thunder32c75$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6366143.4%287 W · 374 L-32.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb58…4acebacked Spurs67c74.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.639451.1%48 W · 46 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bfe…bfb7backed Thunder35c67.56$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.652138.1%8 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick28cpaid+53.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc1b…2031backed Thunder33c65.21$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5220%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed Thunder33c58.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.518247.6%39 W · 43 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Thunder32c58.82$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8228643%123 W · 163 L-1.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Thunder32c52.94$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0529449.7%146 W · 148 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d2a…9ee3backed Spurs68c49.99$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1685248.9%417 W · 435 L+26.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Thunder32c48.18$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4221149.3%104 W · 107 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bea…c4b2backed Spurs68c44.12$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.127347.9%35 W · 38 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2827…64f6backed Thunder33c42$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.869655.2%53 W · 43 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa06f…cbadbacked Spurs68c40$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.83773%27 W · 10 L+4.5wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+22.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Thunder34c37.12$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6223445.7%107 W · 127 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc263…1e83backed Thunder33c32.11$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.693836.8%14 W · 24 L-6.4wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-36.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xff6b…c679backed Spurs66c31.82$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.821650%8 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a6e…9bc5backed Spurs66c30.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.38354.2%45 W · 38 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x938a…e0edbacked Spurs68c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.65352.8%28 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9816…8ff4backed Spurs68c29.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.416558.5%38 W · 27 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x337c…57c8backed Spurs68c26.47$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.471154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick66cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Spurs67c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.663353.1%336 W · 297 L-2.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Spurs66c17.05$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.833356.2%187 W · 146 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4374…148dbacked Spurs68c16.18$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.185166.7%34 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-1.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Spurs67c15.35$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.0630448.4%147 W · 157 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.