TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 218.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$87,506
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$95,696

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,506 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2d7b…e2cebacked Under47c21,086$9,911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,910.775940.7%24 W · 35 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over53c12,500$6,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,8752,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under44c7,948$3,531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,530.6755251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over54c6,522$3,551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,970.476,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over25c3,533$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,662.891,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over54c2,869$1,545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,323.7984443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Over54c2,762$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,261.5852461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under46c2,661$1,217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,216.894,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Over79c2,445$1,924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.3536243.9%159 W · 203 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5555…2af1backed Under48c2,445$1,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,182.3421446.7%100 W · 114 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f08…5afbbacked Under45c2,189$985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$984.8716743.7%73 W · 94 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over49c1,793$873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.478,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over56c1,689$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$748.666352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Over31c1,249$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861.5276054.6%415 W · 345 L+56.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+33.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Under48c1,238$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.3717052.4%89 W · 81 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under45c1,220$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.662051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over11c1,200$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,068.482,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over43c1,110$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632.4668838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd02a…4771backed Over51c977.71$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.08875%6 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+57.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4fbf…4605backed Over51c950.5$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.743275%24 W · 8 L+7.5wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+44%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x49f7…4871backed Over54c699.98$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.996055%33 W · 27 L+7.5wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+17%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf6e1…06bbbacked Over58c689.66$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.6613757.7%79 W · 58 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Over4c687.55$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660.8331222.1%69 W · 243 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+79.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b90…8cdcbacked Under60c600$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+86%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c39…56dcbacked Under47c540.9$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.215425.9%14 W · 40 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Over9c530.88$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.136051.7%186 W · 174 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under45c528.02$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.611,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21550346.5%234 W · 269 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Under57c500$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2855937.3%22 W · 37 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Over31c495.06$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.591,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc63b…6e4ebacked Under20c490$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.7831238.5%120 W · 192 L+15.3wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+5.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f3b…9ed5backed Over9c469.11$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.891464.3%9 W · 5 L+3.5wins+0.25per pick39cpaid+180.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7677…37c0backed Under45c443.27$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.4714148.2%68 W · 73 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7cd…0888backed Over52c421$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.0817744.1%78 W · 99 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under22c391$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.278639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked Over8c375.98$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.7510718.7%20 W · 87 L+0.4wins0.00per pick18cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over54c372$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.121,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a3c…9320backed Over56c357.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.1425360.1%152 W · 101 L+26.2wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Over58c341.79$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.5546959.1%277 W · 192 L+28.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under45c340.74$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.451,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Over48c333.33$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.3328838.2%110 W · 178 L-17.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Over32c333.29$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.0519548.2%94 W · 101 L+12.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed Under18c333$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.9453945.3%244 W · 295 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x96ef…cca4backed Under22c327.35$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.052638.5%10 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x48ec…8f36backed Under47c319$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.934734%16 W · 31 L-4.5wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Under46c317.39$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14662744.5%279 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84fe…be09backed Over53c315$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.051861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Over53c311.99$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.2325554.5%139 W · 116 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dd4…7401backed Under20c308$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6324936.9%92 W · 157 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Under20c308$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.9280440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked Over57c299.96$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.9814338.5%55 W · 88 L-18.4wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-28.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf280…d801backed Over53c288$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.362441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Under43c248.23$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.741,19747.5%569 W · 628 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed Under20c245$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.8933030.9%102 W · 228 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0580…f78bbacked Under19c233$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.946334.9%22 W · 41 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2df…ca29backed Under47c214.29$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.7217247.7%82 W · 90 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x146c…b807backed Under48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020441.7%85 W · 119 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfaa5…fa07backed Over49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.083452.9%18 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Over51c202.02$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.998354.2%45 W · 38 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+17.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over26c200.88$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.1276653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x86f3…685cbacked Under49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9812558.4%73 W · 52 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e42…f22abacked Under18c200$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367237.5%27 W · 45 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1355…a695backed Under18c200$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362948.3%14 W · 15 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+53.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbde7…cf8abacked Under18c200$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367326%19 W · 54 L+7.9wins+0.11per pick15cpaid+19.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6480…8dc5backed Over57c199.98$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.998827.3%24 W · 64 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick21cpaid-1.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcc0b…4db0backed Over51c194.22$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.3618459.2%109 W · 75 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Under47c184.82$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.81,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Over53c178$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.6645251.1%231 W · 221 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb0f…b652backed Under18c167$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0626639.8%106 W · 160 L+13.0wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cbb…5503backed Under46c152.17$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709653.1%51 W · 45 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3c41…6275backed Under18c150$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274526.7%12 W · 33 L0.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00d4…4c46backed Under18c150$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2721242%89 W · 123 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+8.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed Under18c150$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2723441.5%97 W · 137 L+13.6wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+6.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Under18c150$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2740440.1%162 W · 242 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa4e…eadfbacked Over37c135.14$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.145337.7%20 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under60c132.29$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.8225045.6%114 W · 136 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over15c128.78$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.4689048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1804…1346backed Over55c119.31$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.69966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+30.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x97ff…d970backed Over42c119.05$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.0510843.5%47 W · 61 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-17.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b4c…1715backed Under25c119$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9916429.9%49 W · 115 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+24.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa965…7f73backed Under48c112$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.763857.9%22 W · 16 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf79c…94eabacked Over55c109.09$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.093452.9%18 W · 16 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Over10c102.98$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3720558.5%120 W · 85 L+19.6wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+26.3%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xc74d…9690backed Under18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1823649.2%116 W · 120 L+28.6wins+0.12per pick37cpaid+27.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xb829…4f5ebacked Under18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187133.8%24 W · 47 L-0.3wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbbc…2b70backed Under18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1814449.3%71 W · 73 L+12.7wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Under18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1845544.8%204 W · 251 L+21.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xce5f…ab17backed Under18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1817748%85 W · 92 L+16.4wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+18.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x534b…983fbacked Over12c99.99$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.9913638.2%52 W · 84 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid-7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Over36c99.98$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.9918743.3%81 W · 106 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaaa4…d343backed Over58c99.35$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Over52c98.31$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.1960049.8%299 W · 301 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over40c98.04$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.7193148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x61d3…189abacked Under64c97.87$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.5321849.5%108 W · 110 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under46c97$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.581,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac1a…813ebacked Under43c95.34$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.5717250.6%87 W · 85 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee2d…ba67backed Over58c94.83$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.833865.8%25 W · 13 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+16.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc185…7020backed Under42c91.87$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.582245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd741…63e0backed Over53c88.68$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.68785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.9wins+0.41per pick45cpaid+147.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfd6e…35c1backed Over58c86.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.37560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.