NBA · resolved market
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 218.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x67431ee7c51a178986b79712dd59f5bd5484c069b62809bd233ce4ee5ff9604f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $87,506
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $95,696
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,506 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2d7b…e2cebacked Under | 47c | 21,086$9,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,910.77 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 53c | 12,500$6,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,875 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 44c | 7,948$3,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,530.67 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 54c | 6,522$3,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,970.47 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 25c | 3,533$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,662.89 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 54c | 2,869$1,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,323.79 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Over | 54c | 2,762$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,261.58 | 524 | 61.6%323 W · 201 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 46c | 2,661$1,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,216.89 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Over | 79c | 2,445$1,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.35 | 362 | 43.9%159 W · 203 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…2af1backed Under | 48c | 2,445$1,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,182.34 | 214 | 46.7%100 W · 114 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…5afbbacked Under | 45c | 2,189$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.87 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 49c | 1,793$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.47 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 56c | 1,689$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.6 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Over | 31c | 1,249$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.52 | 760 | 54.6%415 W · 345 L | +56.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Under | 48c | 1,238$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.37 | 170 | 52.4%89 W · 81 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 45c | 1,220$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.6 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 11c | 1,200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,068.48 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over | 43c | 1,110$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.46 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…4771backed Over | 51c | 977.71$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.08 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbf…4605backed Over | 51c | 950.5$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.74 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +7.5wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +44%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…4871backed Over | 54c | 699.98$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.99 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +7.5wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +17%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e1…06bbbacked Over | 58c | 689.66$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.66 | 137 | 57.7%79 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 4c | 687.55$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.83 | 312 | 22.1%69 W · 243 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b90…8cdcbacked Under | 60c | 600$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +86%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c39…56dcbacked Under | 47c | 540.9$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.21 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 9c | 530.88$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.1 | 360 | 51.7%186 W · 174 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 45c | 528.02$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.61 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 503 | 46.5%234 W · 269 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Under | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 31c | 495.06$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.59 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Under | 20c | 490$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.78 | 312 | 38.5%120 W · 192 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3b…9ed5backed Over | 9c | 469.11$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.89 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.25per pick | 39cpaid | +180.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Under | 45c | 443.27$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.47 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…0888backed Over | 52c | 421$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.08 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under | 22c | 391$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.2 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Over | 8c | 375.98$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.75 | 107 | 18.7%20 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 54c | 372$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.12 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3c…9320backed Over | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 253 | 60.1%152 W · 101 L | +26.2wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 58c | 341.79$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.55 | 469 | 59.1%277 W · 192 L | +28.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 45c | 340.74$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.45 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Over | 48c | 333.33$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.33 | 288 | 38.2%110 W · 178 L | -17.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Over | 32c | 333.29$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.05 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +12.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Under | 18c | 333$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.94 | 539 | 45.3%244 W · 295 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…cca4backed Under | 22c | 327.35$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.05 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed Under | 47c | 319$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.93 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Under | 46c | 317.39$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84fe…be09backed Over | 53c | 315$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.05 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 53c | 311.99$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.23 | 255 | 54.5%139 W · 116 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed Under | 20c | 308$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 249 | 36.9%92 W · 157 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Under | 20c | 308$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.92 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…643cbacked Over | 57c | 299.96$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.98 | 143 | 38.5%55 W · 88 L | -18.4wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…d801backed Over | 53c | 288$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.36 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 43c | 248.23$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.74 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Under | 20c | 245$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.89 | 330 | 30.9%102 W · 228 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0580…f78bbacked Under | 19c | 233$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.94 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2df…ca29backed Under | 47c | 214.29$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.72 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x146c…b807backed Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 204 | 41.7%85 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa5…fa07backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Over | 51c | 202.02$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.99 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 26c | 200.88$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.12 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x86f3…685cbacked Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 125 | 58.4%73 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e42…f22abacked Under | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…a695backed Under | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbde7…cf8abacked Under | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 73 | 26%19 W · 54 L | +7.9wins | +0.11per pick | 15cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6480…8dc5backed Over | 57c | 199.98$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.99 | 88 | 27.3%24 W · 64 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0b…4db0backed Over | 51c | 194.22$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.36 | 184 | 59.2%109 W · 75 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Under | 47c | 184.82$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.8 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Over | 53c | 178$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.66 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed Under | 18c | 167$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.06 | 266 | 39.8%106 W · 160 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbb…5503backed Under | 46c | 152.17$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 96 | 53.1%51 W · 45 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…6275backed Under | 18c | 150$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Under | 18c | 150$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 212 | 42%89 W · 123 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Under | 18c | 150$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 234 | 41.5%97 W · 137 L | +13.6wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Under | 18c | 150$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 404 | 40.1%162 W · 242 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4e…eadfbacked Over | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Under | 60c | 132.29$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.82 | 250 | 45.6%114 W · 136 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 15c | 128.78$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.46 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1804…1346backed Over | 55c | 119.31$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.69 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97ff…d970backed Over | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Under | 25c | 119$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 164 | 29.9%49 W · 115 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…7f73backed Under | 48c | 112$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.76 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…94eabacked Over | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.09 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Over | 10c | 102.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.37 | 205 | 58.5%120 W · 85 L | +19.6wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Under | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 236 | 49.2%116 W · 120 L | +28.6wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb829…4f5ebacked Under | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed Under | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 144 | 49.3%71 W · 73 L | +12.7wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Under | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 455 | 44.8%204 W · 251 L | +21.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Under | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 177 | 48%85 W · 92 L | +16.4wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x534b…983fbacked Over | 12c | 99.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.99 | 136 | 38.2%52 W · 84 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Over | 36c | 99.98$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.99 | 187 | 43.3%81 W · 106 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa4…d343backed Over | 58c | 99.35$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 52c | 98.31$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.19 | 600 | 49.8%299 W · 301 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 40c | 98.04$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.71 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61d3…189abacked Under | 64c | 97.87$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.53 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 46c | 97$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.58 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…813ebacked Under | 43c | 95.34$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.57 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee2d…ba67backed Over | 58c | 94.83$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.83 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc185…7020backed Under | 42c | 91.87$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.58 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd741…63e0backed Over | 53c | 88.68$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.68 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.41per pick | 45cpaid | +147.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6e…35c1backed Over | 58c | 86.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.37 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 218.5this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Spurs won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 15.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Devin Vassell: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 2.5Yes won
- Julian Champagnie: Points O/U 8.5Yes won
- Luguentz Dort: Points O/U 2.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 29.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-11.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-14.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-2.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-7.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Spurs won
- Spurs vs. ThunderSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 112.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 217.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 220.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 221.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 222.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 228.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: Odd/Even ScoreOdd won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.