NBA · resolved market
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9843dc662a7a17b0b2c2587a5558185fb0bda7676c6bb918d4cf6a096cac064
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Spurs, Thunder
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $126,724
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $135,996
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $126,724 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 215 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Spurs | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000.3 | 99 | 45.5%45 W · 54 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Thunder | 51c | 12,174$6,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,245.48 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Thunder | 53c | 7,612$4,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,030.36 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…59abbacked Spurs | 25c | 5,000$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,749.86 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | +15.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4068…aeb1backed Spurs | 50c | 4,855$2,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,417.15 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Thunder | 57c | 4,104$2,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,328.16 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Spurs | 41c | 3,287$1,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,947.87 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Spurs | 26c | 3,162$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,326.24 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1543…baafbacked Spurs | 41c | 3,000$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,770 | 127 | 41.7%53 W · 74 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Spurs | 26c | 3,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,219.92 | 442 | 52.3%231 W · 211 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Thunder | 73c | 2,718$1,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,984.21 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf642…7353backed Thunder | 75c | 2,640$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Spurs | 27c | 2,409$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,758.52 | 220 | 36.8%81 W · 139 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Spurs | 29c | 2,323$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,642.5 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Spurs | 39c | 2,287$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,406.28 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c3…55a3backed Thunder | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Spurs | 26c | 1,949$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,443.07 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Thunder | 74c | 1,884$1,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,391.92 | 521 | 50.9%265 W · 256 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Thunder | 55c | 1,709$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.21 | 528 | 61.9%327 W · 201 L | +32.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Thunder | 62c | 1,671$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.82 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeef3…0547backed Spurs | 54c | 1,667$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.67 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2230…69e5backed Thunder | 74c | 1,592$1,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,178 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc4…db58backed Thunder | 73c | 1,550$1,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,131.49 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Thunder | 55c | 1,538$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.2 | 360 | 51.7%186 W · 174 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Thunder | 51c | 1,537$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.77 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3afb…0004backed Thunder | 66c | 1,510$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.85 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…643cbacked Thunder | 73c | 1,500$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095 | 143 | 38.5%55 W · 88 L | -18.4wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Thunder | 63c | 1,478$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.89 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Thunder | 50c | 1,348$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.4 | 342 | 55.6%190 W · 152 L | +28.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +36%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Spurs | 29c | 1,284$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.09 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f83…3af9backed Thunder | 74c | 1,257$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.47 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Thunder | 61c | 1,256$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.22 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c72…46dbbacked Thunder | 79c | 1,213$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…85a2backed Spurs | 27c | 1,111$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.11 | 323 | 47.1%152 W · 171 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46df…b057backed Thunder | 75c | 1,106$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.16 | 211 | 64.5%136 W · 75 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3b…9ed5backed Thunder | 54c | 1,007$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.24 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.25per pick | 39cpaid | +180.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Spurs | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Spurs | 47c | 965.44$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.51 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…2d79backed Spurs | 26c | 961.54$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.54 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.9wins | +0.26per pick | 47cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Thunder | 53c | 944.76$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.07 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ae…320fbacked Thunder | 66c | 899.97$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.98 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x914a…920fbacked Spurs | 27c | 888.89$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.89 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +96.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c39…56dcbacked Thunder | 54c | 867.42$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.41 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Spurs | 37c | 854.1$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.62 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Thunder | 60c | 854$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.06 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Thunder | 73c | 846.42$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.88 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Thunder | 52c | 840.99$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.18 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2eac…6c20backed Thunder | 74c | 827.87$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Spurs | 37c | 782.54$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.7 | 538 | 42%226 W · 312 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Spurs | 38c | 766$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.82 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +12.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf22b…8f84backed Thunder | 68c | 753.83$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.49 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -4.2wins | -0.30per pick | 59cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x23f9…3c2dbacked Spurs | 27c | 750$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.5 | 186 | 43.5%81 W · 105 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8c…6a99backed Spurs | 27c | 747.52$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.69 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x598a…1bdfbacked Spurs | 27c | 740.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.74 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8090…42c1backed Thunder | 76c | 708.82$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.7 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Thunder | 76c | 658.27$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.41 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Thunder | 70c | 655.5$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.85 | 428 | 42.5%182 W · 246 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x822b…61fdbacked Thunder | 74c | 650$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.5 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…51dbbacked Spurs | 27c | 648.15$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.15 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | -8.7wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Spurs | 47c | 640.34$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.34 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Thunder | 52c | 597.79$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.77 | 592 | 55.4%328 W · 264 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Spurs | 28c | 584.68$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.48 | 262 | 33.6%88 W · 174 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Thunder | 57c | 559.45$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 364 | 53%193 W · 171 L | -17.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7c…8eabbacked Spurs | 27c | 555.56$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.56 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Thunder | 59c | 506.1$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.08 | 251 | 50.6%127 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4a…3b84backed Thunder | 76c | 500$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Spurs | 44c | 499.99$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.7 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1101…dfd5backed Spurs | 25c | 480$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Thunder | 63c | 473.97$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 469 | 59.1%277 W · 192 L | +28.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fab…14a3backed Spurs | 26c | 415$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.39 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.39per pick | 36cpaid | +116%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd26e…cc2ebacked Spurs | 34c | 411.59$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.88 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8d…c822backed Thunder | 75c | 405.16$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.36 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…97b4backed Spurs | 69c | 386.32$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.76 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -9.3wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x750c…d430backed Spurs | 26c | 381.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.77 | 112 | 58.9%66 W · 46 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Thunder | 75c | 366.47$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.85 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…5abfbacked Thunder | 77c | 348.85$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Thunder | 59c | 335.58$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.99 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Spurs | 29c | 330.99$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.25 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e79…2d68backed Thunder | 61c | 327.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 128 | 36.7%47 W · 81 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed Spurs | 27c | 327.11$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.79 | 290 | 40.3%117 W · 173 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x146c…b807backed Thunder | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 204 | 41.7%85 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd1…553dbacked Thunder | 75c | 317.47$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.1 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Spurs | 36c | 308$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.43 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1155…2315backed Thunder | 63c | 300$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 221 | 70.6%156 W · 65 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e0…ffbebacked Thunder | 60c | 299.41$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.65 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0de…8048backed Spurs | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -8.6wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9b29…8373backed Thunder | 50c | 282.17$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.09 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…bbb2backed Spurs | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…3a04backed Thunder | 75c | 267.17$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed Spurs | 36c | 250.08$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.17 | 249 | 36.9%92 W · 157 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0580…f78bbacked Spurs | 35c | 247.98$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.79 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Thunder | 74c | 246.23$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.21 | 547 | 47.5%260 W · 287 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2542…7821backed Spurs | 43c | 231.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.82 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Thunder | 51c | 220.9$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.01 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Thunder | 74c | 220.42$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.27 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x016c…df21backed Thunder | 16c | 213.46$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Thunder | 41c | 200$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.2 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +32%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Spurs | 38c | 199.99$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.99 | 539 | 45.3%244 W · 295 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…4b0dbacked Spurs | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.19 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6039…d3f2backed Thunder | 75c | 182.67$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Spurs (-3.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Spurs won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 15.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Devin Vassell: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 2.5Yes won
- Julian Champagnie: Points O/U 8.5Yes won
- Luguentz Dort: Points O/U 2.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 29.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Thunder (-11.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-14.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-2.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-7.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Spurs won
- Spurs vs. ThunderSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 112.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 217.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 218.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 220.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 221.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 222.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 228.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: Odd/Even ScoreOdd won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.