TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$244,866
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$247,841

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $244,866 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 203 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc408…c1efbacked Over55c59,260$32,658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,601.884951%25 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Under45c50,000$22,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,499.9954539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under49c19,075$9,326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,325.6169848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Under51c9,450$4,795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,794.8120155.7%112 W · 89 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over51c8,433$4,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,113.355251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Over51c6,813$3,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,338.3731644.6%141 W · 175 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Under46c6,360$2,926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,925.5424942.2%105 W · 144 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Under47c6,000$2,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,839.9989853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bff…fc26backed Under45c5,450$2,453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,452.643240.6%13 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under79c5,429$4,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,315.358,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over53c5,156$2,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,415.7664948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9a54…7191backed Over51c4,544$2,318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,226.735345.3%24 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c39…56dcbacked Under1c3,974$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.545425.9%14 W · 40 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f08…5afbbacked Under48c3,860$1,853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,852.8216743.7%73 W · 94 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over49c3,807$1,878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,928.2447856.7%271 W · 207 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Over53c3,757$1,991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,765.91,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over17c3,517$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,918.571,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Under45c3,500$1,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,574.9886641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Under45c3,472$1,562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,562.2465939.5%260 W · 399 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under49c3,149$1,554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,553.7190650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under49c3,149$1,554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,553.7163746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Over53c3,000$1,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,409.9669149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Over51c2,923$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,423.0852461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under48c2,878$1,384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,384.530448.4%147 W · 157 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under49c2,869$1,397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,397.176,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32f1…c96ebacked Over48c2,803$1,357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,445.7311757.3%67 W · 50 L+9.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+21.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Under45c2,557$1,151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,150.7343438.5%167 W · 267 L-1.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd81e…e3d0backed Under48c2,518$1,209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,208.716445.3%29 W · 35 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2942…59abbacked Over51c2,500$1,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,224.9618044.4%80 W · 100 L+15.8wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+36.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf5aa…4464backed Over51c2,442$1,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,196.4820154.2%109 W · 92 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x951f…e430backed Over51c2,300$1,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,126.7923652.5%124 W · 112 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Under48c2,100$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,007.9652951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Under49c2,040$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.5735849.7%178 W · 180 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4946…4004backed Over55c2,018$1,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$908.1821957.1%125 W · 94 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Under1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9431222.1%69 W · 243 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+79.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Under45c1,995$898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$897.8123742.6%101 W · 136 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Under45c1,800$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809.9968944%303 W · 386 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over53c1,661$875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$786.3166352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xea48…c596backed Over50c1,458$729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72918444.6%82 W · 102 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41bb…6302backed Over50c1,336$674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.042857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f28…ff9abacked Under46c1,313$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-29%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under45c1,177$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.831,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under48c1,087$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.9562051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Over54c1,044$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.1338947.6%185 W · 204 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c3a…a56bbacked Under48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4801968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.7wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+27.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe7c0…24eebacked Over54c999.98$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.998451.2%43 W · 41 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Under49c999.98$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.9961747.8%295 W · 322 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over49c997.92$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.934,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7677…37c0backed Over54c925.92$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.9214148.2%68 W · 73 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e99…8475backed Under46c900.93$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.433129%9 W · 22 L-6.3wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-40.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x62cf…2c1abacked Over53c894.28$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Over52c859.62$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.6228838.2%110 W · 178 L-17.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Under53c833.61$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.4119548.2%94 W · 101 L+12.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over51c784$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.231,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under47c676.32$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.8725651.2%131 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under48c651.76$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.734,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x882a…cde2backed Over53c641.5$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.522948.5%111 W · 118 L+0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Under51c600$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30632450.3%163 W · 161 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5c…9a2bbacked Under50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3008052.5%42 W · 38 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7f3…d56cbacked Over51c588.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.24683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick57cpaid+50.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Over54c569.74$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.0849249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x441d…544dbacked Over23c562.42$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.8411639.7%46 W · 70 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5555…2af1backed Under45c554.99$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.7521446.7%100 W · 114 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xde56…c2f9backed Over51c488.31$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.313633.3%12 W · 24 L-5.2wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-39.4%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x3783…171dbacked Over51c400$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1968155.6%45 W · 36 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Over50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20044345.1%200 W · 243 L+2.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Over53c400$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18856043.9%246 W · 314 L-31.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1252…e6e0backed Over50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2004949%24 W · 25 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc789…7972backed Over52c393.08$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.0816146.6%75 W · 86 L+8.0wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Over54c377.45$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.6392058%534 W · 386 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Under44c377$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.0461638.5%237 W · 379 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Over11c371.49$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.623056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+40.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a74…de59backed Over56c357.26$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.3411048.2%53 W · 57 L-6.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x48ec…8f36backed Under44c340$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.64734%16 W · 31 L-4.5wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6707…d4d8backed Over55c318.18$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.186659.1%39 W · 27 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Under45c305.03$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.261,19747.5%569 W · 628 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Over47c298.6$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.517946.4%83 W · 96 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over22c273.41$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.1276653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcd2b…4090backed Over38c263.63$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.455364.2%34 W · 19 L+6.1wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+23.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc638…e298backed Over76c262.2$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.2580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+46%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Under79c253.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011558.3%67 W · 48 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+88.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2df…ca29backed Over50c247.07$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.5317247.7%82 W · 90 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a15…e238backed Over55c236.36$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.367950.6%40 W · 39 L+6.0wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+5.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6888…4c79backed Under48c231.61$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.177350.7%37 W · 36 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under42c229.6$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.7932045.3%145 W · 175 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over53c223.4$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1051,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Over53c220.11$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.4560049.8%299 W · 301 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef86…5afcbacked Over55c211$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.9513352.6%70 W · 63 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2978…b511backed Over48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.337835.9%28 W · 50 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c07…4529backed Over48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1045135.3%18 W · 33 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10038432.6%125 W · 259 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd38…99d4backed Over52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9625657%146 W · 110 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2d1…f8c0backed Under47c199.99$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.18per pick41cpaid-53.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x146c…b807backed Under51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020441.7%85 W · 119 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4668…3b66backed Under51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004042.5%17 W · 23 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-19%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7f20…7163backed Over51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.08366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+34.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0612…559abacked Under46c196$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.1612450.8%63 W · 61 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Over51c192.16$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.167334.2%25 W · 48 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0cd5…bf27backed Under46c186$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.565759.6%34 W · 23 L+5.6wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+21.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x56c4…fce5backed Under49c170$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.314753.7%79 W · 68 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.