TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf0ae…320f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
42
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: La Liga, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 54 out of 100; worst Champions League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Jannik Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.8
Roland Garros ATP: Rinky Hijikata vs Tommy Paulbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$46
Roland Garros ATP: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Terence Atmanebacked Terence Atmane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$116
Roland Garros ATP: James Duckworth vs Gabriel Diallobacked James Duckworth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$73.2
Set 1 Winner: Mensik vs Struffbacked Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$30
Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Medvedev (+1.5)backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.74
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Casper Ruud vs Karen Khachanovbacked Karen Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.55
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Andrey Rublev vs Nikoloz Basilashvilibacked Nikoloz Basilashvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.99
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Flavio Cobolli vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$46
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Mariano Navone vs Hamad Medjedovicbacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Set Handicap: Nakashima (-1.5) vs Basilashvili (+1.5)backed Basilashvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$27.3
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Brandon Nakashima vs Nikoloz Basilashvilibacked Nikoloz Basilashvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$24.4
All 13 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Knicks (-8.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.92
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$62
Luguentz Dort: Points O/U 2.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+25%+$3
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$597Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$596.98
James Harden: Points O/U 18.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+95.9%+$81.85
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+82.4%+$99.4
Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 206.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+25%+$10
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$39
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$196
All 12 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-53.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-38.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+80.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG beat Chelsea?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$236
Will Atletico Madrid vs. Real Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$96.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SC Freiburg vs. SC Braga: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$197.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$59.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$25.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+43.2%+$81.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-05-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$154
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.