Fifa International · resolved market
Netherlands vs. Japan: Netherlands O/U 5.5 Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b0c88480c3d4d65035c080dc4e9eec8d805f09b1f5d3818b9f5e4271779c9cf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,357
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,305
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,357 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Under | 53c | 7,615$4,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,590.97 | 518 | 59.8%310 W · 208 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x208c…6b98backed Over | 48c | 7,500$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,599.99 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 56c | 3,193$1,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,396.86 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 39c | 2,069$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.06 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 57c | 1,426$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.62 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda2b…85febacked Over | 49c | 1,403$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 65 | 16.9%11 W · 54 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72de…53ffbacked Over | 48c | 1,223$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x875f…aaddbacked Over | 50c | 1,000$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.8 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -6.9wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…03d4backed Under | 57c | 994.06$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.06 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Over | 43c | 949.99$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.08 | 275 | 54.5%150 W · 125 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 45c | 943.47$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.78 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71da…bc9ebacked Over | 48c | 729.81$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 187 | 42.8%80 W · 107 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Under | 51c | 713.2$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.71 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Under | 57c | 642.11$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.11 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | +8.1wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1dfc…521fbacked Under | 52c | 423.97$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.97 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Under | 52c | 384.61$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.61 | 709 | 48.9%347 W · 362 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 47c | 301.25$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.61 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Under | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf647…0ccbbacked Over | 52c | 300$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.66 | 130 | 61.5%80 W · 50 L | +11.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +100.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 51c | 290.8$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.02 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 56c | 283.64$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.95 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 53c | 269.87$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.49 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d54…6022backed Over | 44c | 249.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 128 | 71.9%92 W · 36 L | +14.6wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 47c | 217.08$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.05 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb1…6c8fbacked Under | 52c | 190.72$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.72 | 166 | 55.4%92 W · 74 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x844c…f5f0backed Over | 47c | 150.32$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60bf…ebb6backed Over | 32c | 123$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.48 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 20c | 121.77$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 607 | 52.4%318 W · 289 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed Under | 57c | 97.68$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 291 | 54%157 W · 134 L | +21.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 47c | 82.97$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.97 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13c6…7383backed Over | 48c | 66.05$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.7 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1a…ba1ebacked Under | 50c | 66.01$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 343 | 57.7%198 W · 145 L | +26.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 39c | 62.51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa5…4f56backed Under | 51c | 58.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.77 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +23%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Under | 57c | 58.14$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 265 | 37.7%100 W · 165 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf13…3366backed Over | 60c | 50.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x792d…8578backed Over | 54c | 49.27$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x743c…c386backed Over | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…4f5dbacked Over | 44c | 45.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 39c | 43.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 586 | 42.8%251 W · 335 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ae…320fbacked Over | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Under | 52c | 38.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.47 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…2c8dbacked Under | 52c | 38.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.47 | 434 | 60.4%262 W · 172 L | +33.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…b01fbacked Under | 52c | 34.82$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.71 | 144 | 63.2%91 W · 53 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 53c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf96b…9c4cbacked Under | 52c | 26.91$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +21.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +25%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Under | 58c | 20.61$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Netherlands vs. Japan: Netherlands O/U 5.5 Cornersthis page
- Netherlands vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: Japan O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: Japan O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: Netherlands O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 13.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: Team to Take First CornerNetherlands won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: Total Corners Odd or Even?Odd won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.