Fifa International · resolved market
Netherlands vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x032afe0f676654e8d2d054381776e87d457e31bd17c89fae75264f5f99503653
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,576
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,183
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,576 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 61c | 845.45$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332 | 454 | 21.4%97 W · 357 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 36c | 775.24$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.44 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 36c | 462.76$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.29 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 38c | 377.54$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.39 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 64c | 296.83$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.1 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16f3…e1eebacked Under | 36c | 203.98$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.42 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Over | 64c | 163.77$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.63 | 479 | 35.1%168 W · 311 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Over | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfae9…26ccbacked Under | 55c | 145.45$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 36c | 119.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.8 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3cfc…ab38backed Over | 65c | 101.54$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.54 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Over | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x166d…42a4backed Over | 63c | 91.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.66 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1a…ba1ebacked Under | 32c | 83.82$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.82 | 343 | 57.7%198 W · 145 L | +26.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa98…1581backed Over | 63c | 79.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.13 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf67f…3f61backed Over | 66c | 76.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.21 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba9…c25fbacked Over | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e83…3bb7backed Over | 64c | 64.03$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.05 | 1,206 | 32.7%394 W · 812 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Under | 34c | 63.39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.38 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x208a…ab0fbacked Under | 50c | 39.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -4.8wins | -0.20per pick | 24cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x602c…5f57backed Over | 63c | 39.26$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.51 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6f…1765backed Over | 64c | 36.11$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…dea8backed Under | 36c | 36.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aec…1499backed Over | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bea…c4b2backed Over | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x726d…b10dbacked Over | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48a6…42debacked Over | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22e7…bfacbacked Over | 67c | 22.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.46 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfe…6edabacked Over | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab3…c6bbbacked Over | 65c | 18.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c74…0d16backed Over | 80c | 18.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.66 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x616e…a666backed Over | 64c | 18.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x508b…9c09backed Over | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Netherlands vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Netherlands vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: Japan O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: Japan O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: Netherlands O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: Netherlands O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 13.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: Team to Take First CornerNetherlands won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: Total Corners Odd or Even?Odd won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.