TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Netherlands vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$11,278
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$12,106

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,278 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Under57c4,498$2,564 inWon+$1,934.1636247.2%171 W · 191 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x476d…0c42backed Over43c3,658$1,573 inLost-$1,573.17346.6%34 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf1a…ba1ebacked Under51c2,997$1,528 inWon+$1,468.4434357.7%198 W · 145 L+26.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2fc3…b676backed Over49c1,231$600 inLost-$6006428.1%18 W · 46 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over49c1,025$500 inLost-$50089443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75a8…d6f1backed Under56c813$455 inWon+$357.724332.6%14 W · 29 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Over43c618.05$266 inLost-$265.7676551.6%395 W · 370 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3de6…e560backed Over2c589.12$12 inLost-$11.7342336.9%156 W · 267 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x760b…6dc8backed Over49c560.06$274 inLost-$274.1910252.9%54 W · 48 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x789f…3e7dbacked Over44c500$220 inLost-$22014745.6%67 W · 80 L-9.6wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x30da…a11dbacked Over49c379.96$186 inLost-$186.1827820.1%56 W · 222 L-17.2wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-26.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x379a…5122backed Over44c313.64$138 inLost-$1389948.5%48 W · 51 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over48c308.83$148 inLost-$147.718,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d54…6022backed Under52c249.98$130 inWon+$119.9912871.9%92 W · 36 L+14.6wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+18.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xeef9…8731backed Under53c210$111 inWon+$99.2511963%75 W · 44 L+10.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+17.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x66ea…6791backed Over43c209.3$90 inLost-$903345.5%15 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under53c202.69$108 inWon+$94.423,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4372…6a96backed Over47c100$47 inLost-$4726921.6%58 W · 211 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8138…80acbacked Under53c93.68$50 inWon+$43.6813528.1%38 W · 97 L-0.6wins0.00per pick29cpaid+27%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cfc…ab38backed Over49c79.22$39 inLost-$38.829644.8%43 W · 53 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under51c52.75$27 inWon+$25.852,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22e7…bfacbacked Over48c45.54$22 inLost-$225046%23 W · 27 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbe5a…13f5backed Under57c43.86$25 inWon+$18.8613453%71 W · 63 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e7b…2564backed Over47c25.64$12 inLost-$12.0511245.5%51 W · 61 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde8f…87e9backed Over49c24.49$12 inLost-$122755.6%15 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.