Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 10.5 Total Corners

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2993fda6503a66b56d69efffb2f5fe4f783205b66dd4c690ab8c514b9f6d377c

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 14, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $16,185
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $17,726

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,185 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xecaa…77a9backed Under	67c	3,333$2,229 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,103.87	311	52.7%164 W · 147 L	-12.7wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over	33c	1,996$659 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$658.54	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fc3…b676backed Over	35c	1,611$570 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$569.8	64	28.1%18 W · 46 L	-2.6wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce84…7a46backed Over	35c	1,132$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under	62c	924.11$574 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$350.19	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under	65c	783.56$507 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$277.03	258	48.4%125 W · 133 L	+5.7wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Over	35c	582$204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$203.7	235	40.4%95 W · 140 L	-6.4wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Under	65c	580$377 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$203	2,171	38.2%829 W · 1,342 L	-36.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under	65c	569.87$373 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$196.95	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x854d…4616backed Over	37c	534.7$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197.84	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.19per pick	52cpaid	-41.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1bda…edd3backed Over	25c	419.99$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	70	27.1%19 W · 51 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	24cpaid	+22.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Under	75c	406.66$305 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101.66	518	59.8%310 W · 208 L	+26.7wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+21.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under	64c	375.22$240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$134.93	3,077	47%1,447 W · 1,630 L	-11.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xffaf…64c6backed Over	36c	310$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.6	68	41.2%28 W · 40 L	-3.3wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa3c…3111backed Over	37c	308.4$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.11	43	41.9%18 W · 25 L	-3.5wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x45d5…17fcbacked Under	66c	303.47$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.47	97	30.9%30 W · 67 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16f3…e1eebacked Under	63c	299.99$189 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$111	89	38.2%34 W · 55 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under	61c	275.78$168 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$107.47	2,793	46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L	-10.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under	64c	250.99$161 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.66	3,731	51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L	+55.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x95e1…f468backed Under	74c	242.14$179 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.96	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.11per pick	54cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over	26c	237.81$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.82	1,686	20.6%347 W · 1,339 L	-28.4wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75fa…f90ebacked Over	48c	223.52$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.4	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca85…7453backed Over	45c	218.28$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99	77	22.1%17 W · 60 L	-3.9wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc36e…12d8backed Under	65c	217.89$142 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.26	29	34.5%10 W · 19 L	-5.2wins	-0.18per pick	52cpaid	-45%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under	63c	211.8$133 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.37	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under	65c	209.61$137 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.02	2,533	46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L	+12.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xc5d0…3602backed Over	36c	200$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72	156	44.9%70 W · 86 L	+4.1wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Over	33c	200$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66	1,206	50.2%606 W · 600 L	+44.5wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over	33c	198$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.34	1,941	35.5%690 W · 1,251 L	-25.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x786d…b89bbacked Over	25c	196.96$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	522	17.4%91 W · 431 L	-11.1wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-19%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under	64c	149.16$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.19	1,702	36.7%625 W · 1,077 L	-31.2wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0aa…fd22backed Over	34c	147.06$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	106	23.6%25 W · 81 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2407…7dcabacked Under	68c	146.85$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.85	210	42.4%89 W · 121 L	+10.4wins	+0.05per pick	37cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc8a…112bbacked Over	36c	138.89$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	81	17.3%14 W · 67 L	+2.4wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3ca…02d5backed Over	37c	135.14$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	66	30.3%20 W · 46 L	+3.5wins	+0.05per pick	25cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Under	68c	133$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.12	1,795	44.2%794 W · 1,001 L	-12.9wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under	65c	126.55$82 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.71	3,213	47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9ebd…761cbacked Over	43c	115.34$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	24	33.3%8 W · 16 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-16%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over	19c	100$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x387a…8eaebacked Over	35c	99.95$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.98	329	28%92 W · 237 L	-5.2wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0154…941abacked Over	35c	95$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.2	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under	62c	87.04$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.77	2,327	18.1%422 W · 1,905 L	-363.0wins	-0.16per pick	34cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0x372e…4453backed Over	34c	86.33$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.35	148	29.1%43 W · 105 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Under	68c	80$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.6	2,576	46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L	+35.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3607…c427backed Over	35c	73.75$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	138	33.3%46 W · 92 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d3f…d826backed Under	67c	71.19$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.49	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	-1.9wins	-0.10per pick	49cpaid	-33.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over	29c	64$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.56	1,559	52.4%817 W · 742 L	+97.8wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdfcd…36dfbacked Under	65c	61.98$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.69	145	56.6%82 W · 63 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under	56c	60$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.6	2,453	34.7%850 W · 1,603 L	+84.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under	64c	58.33$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21	2,411	53%1,278 W · 1,133 L	+75.2wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…7242backed Over	35c	57.14$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-1.7wins	-0.17per pick	47cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5f0b…e1febacked Over	35c	57.14$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-31.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa038…5b70backed Over	37c	55.73$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.62	29	27.6%8 W · 21 L	-2.5wins	-0.09per pick	36cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf7f8…a9efbacked Over	36c	53.17$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	114	22.8%26 W · 88 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	21cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x764a…83d3backed Over	31c	52.54$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.29	102	47.1%48 W · 54 L	+5.8wins	+0.06per pick	41cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x06b1…fae3backed Over	35c	51.43$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-33%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd05e…f1e9backed Under	66c	50$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17	22	50%11 W · 11 L	-3.0wins	-0.14per pick	64cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xffa3…08f0backed Over	35c	48.34$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.92	58	31%18 W · 40 L	-3.8wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6f79…0307backed Under	65c	47.69$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.69	87	55.2%48 W · 39 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x61d9…dd5abacked Over	36c	44.44$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	5	20%1 W · 4 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4cb7…f765backed Over	35c	42.86$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	49	38.8%19 W · 30 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb649…e988backed Over	35c	42.86$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	54	37%20 W · 34 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	-14%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa34d…b57fbacked Under	67c	42.79$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.28	198	62.1%123 W · 75 L	+8.7wins	+0.04per pick	58cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8494…814abacked Under	64c	42.35$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.25	192	51.6%99 W · 93 L	+4.9wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xefe7…0cdfbacked Over	38c	39.74$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	100	37%37 W · 63 L	-4.8wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x60b9…fa31backed Over	44c	35.28$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.52	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-1.2wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d2a…7682backed Under	66c	34.06$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.58	285	45.6%130 W · 155 L	-10.3wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x58f0…368dbacked Under	65c	30.77$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.77	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-0.7wins	-0.06per pick	33cpaid	-43.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9837…ad59backed Under	65c	30.77$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.77	145	34.5%50 W · 95 L	-7.4wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-22%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeef9…8731backed Under	67c	24.24$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8	119	63%75 W · 44 L	+10.7wins	+0.09per pick	54cpaid	+17.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd4b7…3267backed Under	65c	22.75$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.92	270	58.1%157 W · 113 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under	79c	19.07$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.92	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad90…51d2backed Under	67c	15.15$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5	133	41.4%55 W · 78 L	-6.9wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersthis page
Netherlands vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
Netherlands vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
Netherlands vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
Netherlands vs. Japan: Japan O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
Netherlands vs. Japan: Japan O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
Netherlands vs. Japan: Netherlands O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
Netherlands vs. Japan: Netherlands O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 13.5 Total CornersUnder won
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
Netherlands vs. Japan: Team to Take First CornerNetherlands won
Netherlands vs. Japan: Total Corners Odd or Even?Odd won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 10.5 Total Corners

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event