TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Netherlands vs. Japan: Japan O/U 4.5 Corners

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,289
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,340

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,289 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbab6…50a2backed Under71c3,163$2,244 inWon+$918.722445.8%11 W · 13 L-2.9wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-27.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over29c3,010$875 inLost-$874.91,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9343…3f72backed Over46c328.9$150 inLost-$150728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick33cpaid+64.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under57c272.43$156 inWon+$116.593,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under54c230.99$125 inWon+$106.262,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc08a…92a4backed Over45c221.44$100 inLost-$1009420.2%19 W · 75 L-0.2wins0.00per pick20cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b74…0482backed Under55c193.02$106 inWon+$86.7226537.7%100 W · 165 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f5c…9353backed Over42c162.73$68 inLost-$68.3516540.6%67 W · 98 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa24e…4a23backed Over29c150.17$44 inLost-$43.551050%5 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+35.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under54c118.71$64 inWon+$54.612,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd05e…f1e9backed Under58c55.17$32 inWon+$23.172250%11 W · 11 L-3.0wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-23.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over43c43.91$19 inLost-$18.888,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb43e…ef83backed Over46c43.48$20 inLost-$201723.5%4 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick21cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73ec…9659backed Under59c25.48$15 inWon+$10.482979.3%23 W · 6 L+4.0wins+0.14per pick65cpaid+20.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.