Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Medvedev (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b3387b55cd11826583e3704689367db58dd22736f5b1bd19d8daab1ae0e43a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Medvedevof Sinner, Medvedev
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $94,715
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $93,184
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,715 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1925…4654backed Medvedev | 25c | 13,466$3,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,054.98 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +78%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3c…2f57backed Medvedev | 30c | 8,699$2,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,108.71 | 307 | 40.7%125 W · 182 L | -23.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Sinner | 44c | 5,850$2,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,565.77 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Sinner | 0c | 4,313$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 579 | 39.7%230 W · 349 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f75…0fbfbacked Medvedev | 13c | 4,220$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,681.8 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Sinner | 74c | 2,874$2,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,126.41 | 600 | 53.8%323 W · 277 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Sinner | 72c | 2,763$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 940 | 68.1%640 W · 300 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Sinner | 75c | 2,649$1,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,976.16 | 1,267 | 56.6%717 W · 550 L | -18.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Sinner | 57c | 2,587$1,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,474.65 | 183 | 37.7%69 W · 114 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4af7…2381backed Sinner | 77c | 2,576$1,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,983.38 | 99 | 41.4%41 W · 58 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8db…ccfbbacked Sinner | 76c | 1,980$1,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,496.21 | 187 | 56.1%105 W · 82 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b75…6679backed Sinner | 79c | 1,783$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…3e2dbacked Medvedev | 17c | 1,661$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,382.31 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20f7…5527backed Medvedev | 25c | 1,650$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,237.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +100%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f6…2e01backed Sinner | 74c | 1,498$1,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,108.52 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Medvedev | 23c | 1,490$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,147.39 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Sinner | 71c | 1,465$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.33 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc00…79f8backed Sinner | 73c | 1,393$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.56 | 410 | 60.5%248 W · 162 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5839…2c33backed Sinner | 77c | 1,364$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 125 | 54.4%68 W · 57 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a18…61a0backed Sinner | 75c | 1,333$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 521 | 55.3%288 W · 233 L | +27.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b3…49f8backed Medvedev | 30c | 925.38$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.29 | 198 | 35.4%70 W · 128 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa263…6cf0backed Sinner | 75c | 917.56$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.17 | 175 | 38.3%67 W · 108 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3354…5042backed Sinner | 61c | 915.73$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.46 | 173 | 59.5%103 W · 70 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Medvedev | 40c | 811.78$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.46 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…59d0backed Sinner | 67c | 751.84$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c5…dbf1backed Sinner | 5c | 742.9$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.35 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +139.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9106…afcbbacked Medvedev | 22c | 695.88$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.65 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70dc…1783backed Sinner | 75c | 666.67$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Sinner | 75c | 666.67$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 459 | 57.5%264 W · 195 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6190…5d90backed Sinner | 75c | 653.33$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 221 | 54.8%121 W · 100 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…bb1dbacked Medvedev | 15c | 630.93$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.8 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1809…0d24backed Medvedev | 55c | 549$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +138.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xef85…2c38backed Sinner | 74c | 500$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 128 | 50.8%65 W · 63 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9073…13b3backed Sinner | 72c | 476.13$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.9 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…5c93backed Sinner | 61c | 450.85$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.35 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Medvedev | 32c | 426.28$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.29 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Medvedev | 24c | 405.92$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.5 | 365 | 48.2%176 W · 189 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked Sinner | 45c | 400$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.88 | 132 | 37.9%50 W · 82 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked Sinner | 62c | 399.77$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.49 | 366 | 57.7%211 W · 155 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa24…a75cbacked Medvedev | 28c | 396.93$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.93 | 164 | 50.6%83 W · 81 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…ee28backed Sinner | 74c | 390.98$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.33 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Medvedev | 26c | 382.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.68 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Medvedev | 24c | 358.84$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.72 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Medvedev | 38c | 345.63$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.63 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Sinner | 72c | 340.6$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.23 | 992 | 49.4%490 W · 502 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bf…b02dbacked Sinner | 74c | 337.84$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 591 | 65.3%386 W · 205 L | -16.9wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…50aabacked Sinner | 55c | 328$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.32 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Medvedev | 45c | 320$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7237…3c11backed Sinner | 75c | 318.69$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Sinner | 74c | 300$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 898 | 50.1%450 W · 448 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb475…978cbacked Sinner | 73c | 300$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc98b…c6f3backed Sinner | 75c | 290.4$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.8 | 111 | 55%61 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f66…3a50backed Sinner | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbaa…59b8backed Sinner | 75c | 264.05$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.04 | 324 | 48.1%156 W · 168 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Sinner | 15c | 251$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.62 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1252…e6e0backed Medvedev | 27c | 230$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.9 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Sinner | 74c | 225$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.5 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2546…5155backed Sinner | 70c | 220$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 122 | 50.8%62 W · 60 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Medvedev | 23c | 219.29$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.69 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce5…a07fbacked Medvedev | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.33 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Medvedev | 34c | 203$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.79 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa1…8ba9backed Medvedev | 26c | 200$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 28cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…f619backed Sinner | 75c | 200$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Sinner | 74c | 200$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 1,245 | 51.9%646 W · 599 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…d55fbacked Sinner | 71c | 199.99$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 182 | 44%80 W · 102 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…a1d3backed Sinner | 75c | 196$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 142 | 62.7%89 W · 53 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Sinner | 25c | 179.88$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.78 | 830 | 47%390 W · 440 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4537…fd02backed Sinner | 74c | 178.45$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.49 | 389 | 51.9%202 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Sinner | 75c | 173.33$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 221 | 53.4%118 W · 103 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6705…8184backed Sinner | 57c | 159.23$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.13 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6797…e0e5backed Sinner | 74c | 147.57$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.2 | 262 | 63%165 W · 97 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d2…380bbacked Sinner | 74c | 147.15$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.89 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ec…1cc8backed Medvedev | 12c | 141.67$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.67 | 323 | 33.4%108 W · 215 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0483…483bbacked Sinner | 74c | 140$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.6 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1231…1c15backed Sinner | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…e86dbacked Sinner | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 526 | 61.2%322 W · 204 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b8…599bbacked Sinner | 59c | 118.08$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…e44ebacked Medvedev | 40c | 113.25$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.25 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d96…7c16backed Sinner | 73c | 109.77$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.13 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba90…a450backed Medvedev | 27c | 107.41$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.41 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x97a1…d1eebacked Sinner | 52c | 103.39$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2c…90d4backed Medvedev | 26c | 103.33$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.96 | 234 | 54.7%128 W · 106 L | +10.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x811c…fd36backed Sinner | 50c | 100.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 156 | 55.8%87 W · 69 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca97…f3cebacked Medvedev | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacac…2d37backed Sinner | 74c | 97$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.78 | 90 | 40%36 W · 54 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d8a…7a39backed Sinner | 74c | 94.59$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ab…f944backed Medvedev | 57c | 87.93$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.93 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7a…52c9backed Medvedev | 40c | 84.25$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.25 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48e4…4d8cbacked Medvedev | 51c | 68.08$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.08 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Medvedev | 24c | 66.67$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.67 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6201…622cbacked Sinner | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -8.4wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a4…3926backed Sinner | 74c | 60$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.66 | 593 | 66.8%396 W · 197 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe80f…b81bbacked Sinner | 76c | 58.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.83 | 180 | 59.4%107 W · 73 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2db5…0e6bbacked Sinner | 74c | 55.09$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.77 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe28a…9317backed Medvedev | 56c | 53.79$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.79 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Sinner | 73c | 52.7$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.64 | 632 | 52.8%334 W · 298 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefd1…c520backed Medvedev | 38c | 51.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.96 | 309 | 48.9%151 W · 158 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Sinner | 74c | 48.51$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 300 | 53.3%160 W · 140 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43d6…5676backed Sinner | 74c | 48.45$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.85 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebcb…dd4bbacked Sinner | 74c | 47.3$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Medvedev (+1.5)this page
- Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil MedvedevJannik Sinner won
- Jannik Sinner vs. Daniil Medvedev: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Sinner vs MedvedevSinner won
- Sinner vs. Medvedev: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Sinner vs. Medvedev: Match O/U 23.5Over won
- Sinner vs. Medvedev: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Sinner vs. Medvedev: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.