TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Medvedev (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Medvedevof Sinner, Medvedev
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$94,715
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$93,184

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,715 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1925…4654backed Medvedev25c13,466$3,411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,054.982250%11 W · 11 L+3.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+78%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8f3c…2f57backed Medvedev30c8,699$2,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,108.7130740.7%125 W · 182 L-23.3wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-19.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed Sinner44c5,850$2,566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,565.779843.9%43 W · 55 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed Sinner0c4,313$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6357939.7%230 W · 349 L-0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f75…0fbfbacked Medvedev13c4,220$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,681.84731.9%15 W · 32 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Sinner74c2,874$2,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,126.4160053.8%323 W · 277 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Sinner72c2,763$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00094068.1%640 W · 300 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Sinner75c2,649$1,976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,976.161,26756.6%717 W · 550 L-18.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Sinner57c2,587$1,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,474.6518337.7%69 W · 114 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4af7…2381backed Sinner77c2,576$1,983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,983.389941.4%41 W · 58 L+0.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8db…ccfbbacked Sinner76c1,980$1,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,496.2118756.1%105 W · 82 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b75…6679backed Sinner79c1,783$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40012350.4%62 W · 61 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d46…3e2dbacked Medvedev17c1,661$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,382.319631.3%30 W · 66 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick27cpaid+22.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x20f7…5527backed Medvedev25c1,650$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,237.49250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+100%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f6…2e01backed Sinner74c1,498$1,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,108.528648.8%42 W · 44 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Medvedev23c1,490$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,147.394,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Sinner71c1,465$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,040.337,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc00…79f8backed Sinner73c1,393$1,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,016.5641060.5%248 W · 162 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5839…2c33backed Sinner77c1,364$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,05012554.4%68 W · 57 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a18…61a0backed Sinner75c1,333$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00052155.3%288 W · 233 L+27.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe5b3…49f8backed Medvedev30c925.38$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.2919835.4%70 W · 128 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa263…6cf0backed Sinner75c917.56$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.1717538.3%67 W · 108 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3354…5042backed Sinner61c915.73$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.4617359.5%103 W · 70 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Medvedev40c811.78$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.462,41750.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L+78.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8165…59d0backed Sinner67c751.84$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004949%24 W · 25 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5c5…dbf1backed Sinner5c742.9$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.354240.5%17 W · 25 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick49cpaid+139.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9106…afcbbacked Medvedev22c695.88$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.654434.1%15 W · 29 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-26.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x70dc…1783backed Sinner75c666.67$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Sinner75c666.67$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50045957.5%264 W · 195 L+1.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6190…5d90backed Sinner75c653.33$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49022154.8%121 W · 100 L-1.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5f2…bb1dbacked Medvedev15c630.93$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.816446.3%76 W · 88 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1809…0d24backed Medvedev55c549$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2496100%6 W · 0 L+3.1wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+138.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xef85…2c38backed Sinner74c500$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37012850.8%65 W · 63 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9073…13b3backed Sinner72c476.13$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.93046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d64…5c93backed Sinner61c450.85$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.3513653.7%73 W · 63 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Medvedev32c426.28$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.299,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26be…805fbacked Medvedev24c405.92$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.536548.2%176 W · 189 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7069…325bbacked Sinner45c400$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.8813237.9%50 W · 82 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x272d…bc2fbacked Sinner62c399.77$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.4936657.7%211 W · 155 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa24…a75cbacked Medvedev28c396.93$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.9316450.6%83 W · 81 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x555c…ee28backed Sinner74c390.98$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.334940.8%20 W · 29 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed Medvedev26c382.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.681,50435.1%528 W · 976 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked Medvedev24c358.84$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.721,01846.8%476 W · 542 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Medvedev38c345.63$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.632,14554.2%1,162 W · 983 L-1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f64…3633backed Sinner72c340.6$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.2399249.4%490 W · 502 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7bf…b02dbacked Sinner74c337.84$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25059165.3%386 W · 205 L-16.9wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-3.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5bab…50aabacked Sinner55c328$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.3213852.2%72 W · 66 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Medvedev45c320$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17614243%61 W · 81 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7237…3c11backed Sinner75c318.69$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Sinner74c300$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22289850.1%450 W · 448 L-20.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb475…978cbacked Sinner73c300$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21911946.2%55 W · 64 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc98b…c6f3backed Sinner75c290.4$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.811155%61 W · 50 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f66…3a50backed Sinner75c266.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbaa…59b8backed Sinner75c264.05$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.0432448.1%156 W · 168 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Sinner15c251$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.622,24742.7%960 W · 1,287 L+33.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1252…e6e0backed Medvedev27c230$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.97256.9%41 W · 31 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Sinner74c225$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.592138.4%354 W · 567 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2546…5155backed Sinner70c220$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15412250.8%62 W · 60 L-8.8wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-11.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed Medvedev23c219.29$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.691,77648.6%863 W · 913 L+29.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ce5…a07fbacked Medvedev24c208.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.3341850%209 W · 209 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Medvedev34c203$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.792,76153.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L+73.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa1…8ba9backed Medvedev26c200$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1481145.5%5 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick28cpaid+30.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd4f9…f619backed Sinner75c200$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503360.6%20 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Sinner74c200$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1481,24551.9%646 W · 599 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdda3…d55fbacked Sinner71c199.99$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14218244%80 W · 102 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+35.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2920…a1d3backed Sinner75c196$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14714262.7%89 W · 53 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Sinner25c179.88$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.7883047%390 W · 440 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4537…fd02backed Sinner74c178.45$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.4938951.9%202 W · 187 L-16.1wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Sinner75c173.33$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13022153.4%118 W · 103 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6705…8184backed Sinner57c159.23$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.132236.4%8 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6797…e0e5backed Sinner74c147.57$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.226263%165 W · 97 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3d2…380bbacked Sinner74c147.15$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.899647.9%46 W · 50 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4ec…1cc8backed Medvedev12c141.67$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.6732333.4%108 W · 215 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0483…483bbacked Sinner74c140$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.66955.1%38 W · 31 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1231…1c15backed Sinner74c135.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002147.6%10 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-18.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xade2…e86dbacked Sinner75c133.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10052661.2%322 W · 204 L+1.8wins0.00per pick61cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9b8…599bbacked Sinner59c118.08$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704261.9%26 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick62cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb897…e44ebacked Medvedev40c113.25$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.2521641.7%90 W · 126 L-0.9wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d96…7c16backed Sinner73c109.77$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.138045%36 W · 44 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba90…a450backed Medvedev27c107.41$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.414860.4%29 W · 19 L+5.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+34.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x97a1…d1eebacked Sinner52c103.39$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5423047.4%109 W · 121 L-0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c2c…90d4backed Medvedev26c103.33$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.9623454.7%128 W · 106 L+10.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x811c…fd36backed Sinner50c100.2$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015655.8%87 W · 69 L+0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca97…f3cebacked Medvedev42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586755.2%37 W · 30 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xacac…2d37backed Sinner74c97$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.789040%36 W · 54 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d8a…7a39backed Sinner74c94.59$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701250%6 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x20ab…f944backed Medvedev57c87.93$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.931464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+20.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b7a…52c9backed Medvedev40c84.25$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.255139.2%20 W · 31 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-26.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x48e4…4d8cbacked Medvedev51c68.08$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.083969.2%27 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe24e…eecebacked Medvedev24c66.67$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.6787854.7%480 W · 398 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6201…622cbacked Sinner64c62.5$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403633.3%12 W · 24 L-8.4wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-36.9%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xc9a4…3926backed Sinner74c60$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.6659366.8%396 W · 197 L-0.6wins0.00per pick67cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe80f…b81bbacked Sinner76c58.99$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.8318059.4%107 W · 73 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2db5…0e6bbacked Sinner74c55.09$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.771258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe28a…9317backed Medvedev56c53.79$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.795261.5%32 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8492…f17cbacked Sinner73c52.7$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.6463252.8%334 W · 298 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xefd1…c520backed Medvedev38c51.96$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.9630948.9%151 W · 158 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a73…c2e5backed Sinner74c48.51$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.930053.3%160 W · 140 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x43d6…5676backed Sinner74c48.45$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.852763%17 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xebcb…dd4bbacked Sinner74c47.3$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356556.9%37 W · 28 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.