TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3f75…0fbf

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
48
Categories scored
2
Categories below 50
0

Best Category: NHL, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 53 out of 100; worst Tennis at 51.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT4731.9%15 W · 32 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.7
Roland Garros ATP: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Alex Michelsenbacked Nishesh Basavareddy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$581Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$581.38
Roland Garros ATP: Cameron Norrie vs Adolfo Vallejobacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.37
Hamburg European Open: Tommy Paul vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Daniel Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$700.33
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Alexis Galarneau vs Federico Cinabacked Federico Cina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+75.8%+$26.53
Geneva Open: Edas Butvilas vs Alexander Bublikbacked Edas Butvilas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,166Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,166.27
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Claire Liu vs Katarzyna Kawabacked Katarzyna Kawa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,071Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,070.58
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Janice Tjen vs Camila Osoriobacked Janice Tjen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$802Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$801.99
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Coleman Wong vs Zdenek Kolarbacked Zdenek Kolar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$387Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$387.08
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Jaime Faria vs Colton Smithbacked Colton Smith · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$776Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$776.46
Cervia: Petr Nesterov vs Manoj Dhamne Manasbacked Manoj Dhamne Manas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$2,012Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,011.51
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Clara Tauson vs Jaqueline Cristianbacked Clara Tauson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Bengaluru 3: Alex Hernandez vs Naoya Hondabacked Naoya Honda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,063Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,063.47
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Rebeka Masarova vs Maria Lourdes Carlebacked Maria Lourdes Carle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,073Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+398.9%+$4,279.84
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Tristan Schoolkate vs Kimmer Coppejansbacked Tristan Schoolkate · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$999Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+375.6%+$3,752.48
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Irene Burillo Escorihuela vs Viktoriya Tomovabacked Irene Burillo Escorihuela · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Francisca Jorge vs Xiaodi Youbacked Xiaodi You · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Polina Kudermetova vs Anouk Koevermansbacked Anouk Koevermans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Liam Broady vs Gianluca Cadenassobacked Liam Broady · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$3,394Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,393.77
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Rei Sakamoto vs Pedro Martinezbacked Rei Sakamoto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$245.57
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Aziz Dougaz vs Felix Gillbacked Felix Gill · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,386Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+44.3%+$613.49
Istanbul: Paulo Dos Santos vs Denis Yevseyevbacked Paulo Dos Santos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,166Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,166.08
Hamburg European Open: Terence Atmane vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Terence Atmane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,277Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,276.64
Paris: Madison Keys vs Diane Parrybacked Diane Parry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+534.8%+$813.7
Hamburg European Open, Qualification: Rinky Hijikata vs Henri Squirebacked Rinky Hijikata · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,288Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+257.2%+$3,312.27
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$66.92
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.