Tennis · resolved market
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Liam Broady vs Gianluca Cadenasso
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf32ba5b0efcd2ace988aa77f7dee9e7a6e22b81f3e88e70d6c05aa6f4ffb369
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gianluca Cadenassoof Liam Broady, Gianluca Cadenasso
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,882
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,466
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,882 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f75…0fbfbacked Liam Broady | 31c | 10,973$3,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,393.77 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde1d…44a6backed Liam Broady | 28c | 7,597$2,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,096.51 | 212 | 44.3%94 W · 118 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Gianluca Cadenasso | 77c | 7,333$5,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,710.94 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 71c | 6,888$4,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,991.52 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 66c | 2,078$1,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.51 | 1,193 | 48.9%583 W · 610 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Liam Broady | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 930 | 55.8%519 W · 411 L | +23.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 80c | 1,507$1,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.79 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Liam Broady | 20c | 1,054$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 70c | 1,009$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.4 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf92f…1a35backed Liam Broady | 5c | 1,001$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 160 | 18.1%29 W · 131 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Liam Broady | 20c | 600.72$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.32 | 223 | 37.7%84 W · 139 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Liam Broady | 4c | 526.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,026 | 50%513 W · 513 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 68c | 500$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8644…ad01backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 260 | 49.2%128 W · 132 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95c5…d5d3backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 67c | 499.99$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 601 | 58.6%352 W · 249 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c2…190dbacked Gianluca Cadenasso | 69c | 447.73$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.07 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 79c | 409$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.5 | 1,923 | 55.4%1,066 W · 857 L | -44.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Gianluca Cadenasso | 68c | 405$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.15 | 1,626 | 52.7%857 W · 769 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 77c | 389.61$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.61 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Liam Broady | 29c | 358.37$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.64 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…7cb7backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 74c | 201.46$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.13 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 70c | 184.1$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.23 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Liam Broady | 23c | 166.67$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.33 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 73c | 150.28$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.3 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Liam Broady | 23c | 139.13$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 76c | 110.54$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.53 | 992 | 49.4%490 W · 502 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Gianluca Cadenasso | 78c | 107.03$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.09 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf753…bcfebacked Liam Broady | 20c | 101.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 537 | 36.9%198 W · 339 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d18…6f62backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 76c | 83.5$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.04 | 560 | 62.5%350 W · 210 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Liam Broady | 24c | 83.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.04 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ded…9025backed Liam Broady | 24c | 80$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 248 | 37.5%93 W · 155 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Liam Broady | 32c | 74.76$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.96 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Gianluca Cadenasso | 77c | 64.81$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.81 | 599 | 65.8%394 W · 205 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Liam Broady | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 830 | 47%390 W · 440 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Gianluca Cadenasso | 70c | 57.39$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Liam Broady | 23c | 57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea87…8066backed Liam Broady | 23c | 56.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 74c | 55.72$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Gianluca Cadenasso | 70c | 55.33$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.47 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 79c | 47.94$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.92 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x782d…8211backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 69c | 30.2$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 704 | 56.8%400 W · 304 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59ae…ffb1backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 68c | 28.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 112 | 61.6%69 W · 43 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f6…0981backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 73c | 27.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Gianluca Cadenasso | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 882 | 73.5%648 W · 234 L | +19.8wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x097c…630abacked Gianluca Cadenasso | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 210 | 52.4%110 W · 100 L | -12.1wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc435…e961backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 67c | 19.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 653 | 46.4%303 W · 350 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.