TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Cervia: Petr Nesterov vs Manoj Dhamne Manas

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Petr Nesterovof Petr Nesterov, Manoj Dhamne Manas
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$72,826
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$82,499

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,826 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0979…8d9bbacked Petr Nesterov53c11,370$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,369.8714757.1%84 W · 63 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f75…0fbfbacked Manoj Dhamne Manas35c5,693$2,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,011.514731.9%15 W · 32 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Petr Nesterov58c5,070$2,917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,153.0811,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Petr Nesterov72c4,529$3,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,252.566,65250.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L+263.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Manoj Dhamne Manas49c3,499$1,729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,729.21,68350.6%851 W · 832 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Manoj Dhamne Manas36c2,615$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$940.289,03836.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L-196.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Manoj Dhamne Manas48c2,439$1,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,170.727541.3%31 W · 44 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid+6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Manoj Dhamne Manas33c1,339$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.148,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Manoj Dhamne Manas45c1,079$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.754,08239.7%1,622 W · 2,460 L+93.1wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Manoj Dhamne Manas48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48085634.2%293 W · 563 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Manoj Dhamne Manas45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4503,88435%1,358 W · 2,526 L+92.8wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Manoj Dhamne Manas38c956.8$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.618,70242.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L-165.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Manoj Dhamne Manas31c934.99$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.594,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x95c5…d5d3backed Manoj Dhamne Manas50c820$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41060158.6%352 W · 249 L+2.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Manoj Dhamne Manas44c739.72$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.972,09944.5%935 W · 1,164 L-51.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Manoj Dhamne Manas41c704.75$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.363,71145.3%1,680 W · 2,031 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Manoj Dhamne Manas48c673$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.337,18349.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L+112.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Petr Nesterov57c599$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.581,14853%608 W · 540 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+22.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Petr Nesterov65c596.76$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.3380341.8%336 W · 467 L-20.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Manoj Dhamne Manas48c570.57$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.872,52138.4%969 W · 1,552 L+93.0wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Manoj Dhamne Manas41c484.65$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.934,60267.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L+309.9wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Petr Nesterov65c405$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.924,97538.6%1,922 W · 3,053 L-19.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6c3…55a3backed Petr Nesterov60c353.93$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.0414835.8%53 W · 95 L-10.4wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-28.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Petr Nesterov72c320.26$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.794,76049.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L+176.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Petr Nesterov63c318.32$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.315,42256.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L+231.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7444…451bbacked Manoj Dhamne Manas46c300$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13830%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfaf6…8b41backed Petr Nesterov70c290.02$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.091637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-33%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcbbc…2b70backed Petr Nesterov52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9639941.9%167 W · 232 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Petr Nesterov73c191.26$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.8535132.2%113 W · 238 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Manoj Dhamne Manas43c191$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.1382055%451 W · 369 L+2.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc74d…9690backed Petr Nesterov53c179.91$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.7529039.3%114 W · 176 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x891d…b19fbacked Manoj Dhamne Manas28c164.25$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.4121838.1%83 W · 135 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Manoj Dhamne Manas50c155$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.4522153.4%118 W · 103 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Manoj Dhamne Manas49c150.49$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.743,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x710c…78eabacked Petr Nesterov80c142.35$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.91,04058.2%605 W · 435 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1740…529ebacked Petr Nesterov77c130.62$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.627062.9%44 W · 26 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Manoj Dhamne Manas49c123.52$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.537,10739.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L-17.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbced…5808backed Manoj Dhamne Manas36c112$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.2234860.3%210 W · 138 L+12.3wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Petr Nesterov58c107.22$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.174,65048.2%2,242 W · 2,408 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x811c…fd36backed Petr Nesterov68c102.94$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.9415655.8%87 W · 69 L+0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Manoj Dhamne Manas50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016844.6%75 W · 93 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d18…6f62backed Manoj Dhamne Manas49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4956062.5%350 W · 210 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Petr Nesterov79c100$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211,10252.2%575 W · 527 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32f6…9538backed Petr Nesterov51c98.41$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.22580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+54.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Petr Nesterov64c90$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.365,49848.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L+10.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Manoj Dhamne Manas49c72$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.282,04347.8%977 W · 1,066 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Petr Nesterov57c65.21$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.8337741.4%156 W · 221 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Manoj Dhamne Manas49c59.62$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.121,08452.6%570 W · 514 L+31.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8048…a602backed Petr Nesterov79c59.46$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.6219568.2%133 W · 62 L+19.5wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+11.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Petr Nesterov59c59$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.191,72350.1%863 W · 860 L+29.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf76…ffeabacked Manoj Dhamne Manas19c57.19$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0735329.7%105 W · 248 L-34.8wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-33.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Petr Nesterov51c51.06$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.021,63955.1%903 W · 736 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e2d…cb64backed Petr Nesterov76c50.16$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.161866.7%12 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a72…0a38backed Petr Nesterov60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2045235.8%162 W · 290 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x00d4…4c46backed Petr Nesterov60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2048235.9%173 W · 309 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-8.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed Petr Nesterov60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2069438%264 W · 430 L+21.0wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Petr Nesterov58c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211,45645.1%656 W · 800 L+42.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce1f…0669backed Petr Nesterov61c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-45.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2827…64f6backed Manoj Dhamne Manas32c44$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.917554.9%96 W · 79 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Manoj Dhamne Manas47c43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.186,84048.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L+58.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe8b…5e62backed Manoj Dhamne Manas38c42.71$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2323932.6%78 W · 161 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Petr Nesterov80c41.25$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.253,45738.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L-15.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Petr Nesterov67c40.64$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.369,37444.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L-244.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce5f…ab17backed Petr Nesterov52c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.29353.8%50 W · 43 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x66c0…5fc2backed Petr Nesterov52c38.73$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.7328352.7%149 W · 134 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8711…d2d0backed Petr Nesterov80c37.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.543358.4%253 W · 180 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Manoj Dhamne Manas35c34.7$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2485742.8%367 W · 490 L-23.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Petr Nesterov62c32.39$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.152,08754.1%1,130 W · 957 L+64.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a4c…ad2fbacked Manoj Dhamne Manas50c27.17$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.598450%42 W · 42 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x782d…8211backed Manoj Dhamne Manas51c25.39$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9570456.8%400 W · 304 L-20.1wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed Manoj Dhamne Manas49c22.45$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1127832.4%90 W · 188 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ad…7889backed Petr Nesterov69c21.72$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.7256070.7%396 W · 164 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick73cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa233…dfe8backed Manoj Dhamne Manas50c21.7$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8516350.9%83 W · 80 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a7…e5d4backed Manoj Dhamne Manas51c21.59$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0120942.6%89 W · 120 L-0.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a82…236fbacked Petr Nesterov51c21.57$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.57425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb46…56e7backed Petr Nesterov57c20.46$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.8620048%96 W · 104 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbafb…3031backed Petr Nesterov77c20.28$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.5733673.2%246 W · 90 L-15.2wins-0.05per pick78cpaid-5.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked Petr Nesterov69c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.2588273.5%648 W · 234 L+19.8wins+0.02per pick71cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc04c…cebfbacked Petr Nesterov57c19.3$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.367678.7%532 W · 144 L+49.5wins+0.07per pick71cpaid+10.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Petr Nesterov77c18.03$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.156,51254.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L+289.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked Petr Nesterov80c16.03$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.2132853%174 W · 154 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x13bb…0edbbacked Petr Nesterov80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.