TailMyPicks
Market

Tennis · resolved market

Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Rei Sakamoto vs Pedro Martinez

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pedro Martinezof Rei Sakamoto, Pedro Martinez
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$42,943
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$44,136

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,943 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Rei Sakamoto54c5,479$2,959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,958.7518537.3%69 W · 116 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc181…0992backed Rei Sakamoto54c5,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,699.9765651.8%340 W · 316 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Pedro Martinez48c4,635$2,239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,396.039,03836.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L-196.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Pedro Martinez69c3,649$2,502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,147.14,25345%1,912 W · 2,341 L+20.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Pedro Martinez46c2,633$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,433.4695140.1%381 W · 570 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed Pedro Martinez46c2,061$948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,112.9256757.1%324 W · 243 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Pedro Martinez72c1,636$1,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.5511,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6170…f3fdbacked Pedro Martinez47c1,489$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$789.3628262.4%176 W · 106 L+17.4wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f75…0fbfbacked Rei Sakamoto19c1,308$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.574731.9%15 W · 32 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27b0…fc67backed Rei Sakamoto25c1,110$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.531234.6%108 W · 204 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5839…2c33backed Rei Sakamoto56c1,101$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$617.412554.4%68 W · 57 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Pedro Martinez45c1,091$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.144,08239.7%1,622 W · 2,460 L+93.1wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfeab…9cd0backed Rei Sakamoto38c1,037$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.3951142.7%218 W · 293 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6c3…55a3backed Rei Sakamoto55c936.52$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.7214835.8%53 W · 95 L-10.4wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-28.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xef29…2f1ebacked Rei Sakamoto3c935.7$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.961,13145.4%514 W · 617 L-34.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8884…f29bbacked Rei Sakamoto55c916.48$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.812562.4%78 W · 47 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Rei Sakamoto56c778.29$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.8487251.1%446 W · 426 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Pedro Martinez55c723.5$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.284,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf92f…1a35backed Rei Sakamoto7c715.71$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016018.1%29 W · 131 L-9.4wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-34.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Pedro Martinez71c680.42$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.574,60267.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L+309.9wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x95c5…d5d3backed Pedro Martinez48c625.42$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.4260158.6%352 W · 249 L+2.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Rei Sakamoto16c612.04$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.95,42256.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L+231.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f64…3633backed Rei Sakamoto53c528.8$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.6399649.5%493 W · 503 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf677…0e56backed Rei Sakamoto52c519.26$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27028550.2%143 W · 142 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48ee…0db4backed Pedro Martinez46c517.08$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.0854547.9%261 W · 284 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e0d…03c0backed Rei Sakamoto24c425.92$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.89450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+32.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Rei Sakamoto9c336.4$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.842,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3252…1d21backed Rei Sakamoto36c312.64$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11453241.5%221 W · 311 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f81…9a48backed Rei Sakamoto43c302.33$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1306841.2%28 W · 40 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3216…0cc7backed Rei Sakamoto54c299.99$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.999640.6%39 W · 57 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Pedro Martinez46c288.6$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.8438141.2%157 W · 224 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Pedro Martinez46c281.24$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.872,52138.4%969 W · 1,552 L+93.0wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d29…f683backed Pedro Martinez46c249$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.4633647.3%159 W · 177 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd056…f1bebacked Rei Sakamoto54c223.15$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.565250.3%328 W · 324 L+11.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Rei Sakamoto49c216.03$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.572,09944.5%935 W · 1,164 L-51.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c56…0615backed Rei Sakamoto51c187.25$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9659440.2%239 W · 355 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe857…7b3bbacked Rei Sakamoto27c185.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5083823.2%194 W · 644 L-58.0wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-26.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6190…5d90backed Rei Sakamoto54c183.33$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9922154.8%121 W · 100 L-1.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05c5…8181backed Rei Sakamoto56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10083056.1%466 W · 364 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Pedro Martinez45c175.8$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.537,18349.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L+112.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe28a…9317backed Rei Sakamoto54c167.61$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.15261.5%32 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc314…6a46backed Rei Sakamoto14c145.1$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7218410.9%20 W · 164 L-10.2wins-0.06per pick16cpaid-31%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe954…6134backed Rei Sakamoto55c137.31$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.521566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdae6…7d39backed Pedro Martinez55c136.36$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.363542.9%15 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Rei Sakamoto12c129.32$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.922,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8499…950dbacked Rei Sakamoto56c125$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7013143.5%57 W · 74 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Pedro Martinez46c120.92$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.4713641.9%57 W · 79 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Pedro Martinez44c113.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.6443448.4%210 W · 224 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15a9…d43bbacked Rei Sakamoto55c110.71$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.89450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Rei Sakamoto40c109.69$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.0635132.2%113 W · 238 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa965…7f73backed Rei Sakamoto55c109.09$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6019551.8%101 W · 94 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Pedro Martinez48c108.86$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.1598841.3%408 W · 580 L+13.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7067…38dbbacked Pedro Martinez46c108.69$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.698347%39 W · 44 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+17.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Pedro Martinez43c105.96$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.47,75347.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L+39.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Rei Sakamoto52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5251052%265 W · 245 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d18…6f62backed Rei Sakamoto56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5656062.5%350 W · 210 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Pedro Martinez63c96.78$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.976,84048.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L+58.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Rei Sakamoto53c95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.3591050.2%457 W · 453 L-20.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Pedro Martinez45c70.9$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391,06857.4%613 W · 455 L+21.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Pedro Martinez44c68.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.181,12551.1%575 W · 550 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Rei Sakamoto24c66.45$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.642,83947.2%1,340 W · 1,499 L+38.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Rei Sakamoto45c63.82$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.49,37444.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L-244.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf73f…8ba0backed Rei Sakamoto36c60.56$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.832937.4%123 W · 206 L-13.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc5a9…0c9abacked Rei Sakamoto53c59.99$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.812664.3%81 W · 45 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2077…8161backed Pedro Martinez46c54.34$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.341,02257.8%591 W · 431 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1301…2cf7backed Rei Sakamoto54c53.7$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2930%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8cff…eeb8backed Rei Sakamoto24c53.51$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8113013.8%18 W · 112 L-14.4wins-0.11per pick25cpaid-65.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Pedro Martinez48c52.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.081,05655.4%585 W · 471 L-22.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf753…bcfebacked Rei Sakamoto34c50.02$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1753736.9%198 W · 339 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed Pedro Martinez47c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.538741.1%159 W · 228 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1831…6c99backed Pedro Martinez79c47$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.7135187.7%308 W · 43 L+66.4wins+0.19per pick69cpaid+29.6%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0x58cc…2296backed Rei Sakamoto54c46.3$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2514369.9%100 W · 43 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Pedro Martinez47c46$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.381,88257.4%1,081 W · 801 L+104.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb171…7d2bbacked Pedro Martinez44c45.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.4532649.1%160 W · 166 L-18.4wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-10.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4271…3f6dbacked Rei Sakamoto54c37.98$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.514555.6%25 W · 20 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Pedro Martinez43c37.74$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.511,88145.7%860 W · 1,021 L+51.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5fc…faedbacked Rei Sakamoto57c37.74$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.511546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Rei Sakamoto55c36.6$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.132,52836.2%914 W · 1,614 L-26.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x750b…8b6ebacked Rei Sakamoto55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204057.5%23 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa233…dfe8backed Rei Sakamoto56c36.16$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3516350.9%83 W · 80 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Pedro Martinez45c32.05$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.523,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Pedro Martinez48c29$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0833550.1%168 W · 167 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbbbf…388ebacked Pedro Martinez47c24.51$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.995461.1%33 W · 21 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+7.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3eb4…9cb8backed Pedro Martinez45c24.39$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.416852.9%36 W · 32 L+6.9wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+27.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x59ae…ffb1backed Pedro Martinez44c23.57$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.211261.6%69 W · 43 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0593…9712backed Rei Sakamoto54c23$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.473145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ef1…5acabacked Pedro Martinez44c23$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.881,79460.2%1,080 W · 714 L+6.8wins0.00per pick60cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Pedro Martinez46c22$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.881,58847%746 W · 842 L-24.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked Pedro Martinez68c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.488273.5%648 W · 234 L+19.8wins+0.02per pick71cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a42…ad20backed Pedro Martinez52c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.682846.4%13 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76e9…b7dbbacked Pedro Martinez78c17.68$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.910445.2%47 W · 57 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc444…5eeabacked Pedro Martinez80c15.14$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.0323073.9%170 W · 60 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick78cpaid-4.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.