Tennis · resolved market
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Rebeka Masarova vs Maria Lourdes Carle
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x12d7a66e63c7eff255ac3472a145d018439cb3aa739c0762fdbb4a2576efd94e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maria Lourdes Carleof Rebeka Masarova, Maria Lourdes Carle
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,658
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,970
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,658 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f75…0fbfbacked Maria Lourdes Carle | 20c | 5,353$1,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,279.84 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfac7…78ebbacked Maria Lourdes Carle | 21c | 2,875$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,274.65 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8c…e275backed Rebeka Masarova | 63c | 2,100$1,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,323 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4698…d7a5backed Rebeka Masarova | 68c | 1,456$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.81 | 536 | 55.4%297 W · 239 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Rebeka Masarova | 63c | 1,289$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.49 | 4,466 | 67.7%3,023 W · 1,443 L | +299.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Rebeka Masarova | 72c | 1,258$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.94 | 8,726 | 36.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L | -187.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb442…833ebacked Maria Lourdes Carle | 32c | 1,250$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Maria Lourdes Carle | 34c | 1,072$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.96 | 4,126 | 44.6%1,842 W · 2,284 L | +13.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa18d…9b51backed Rebeka Masarova | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fea1backed Rebeka Masarova | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Rebeka Masarova | 64c | 926.3$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.83 | 127 | 52.8%67 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Rebeka Masarova | 77c | 848.7$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.56 | 8,396 | 42.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L | -162.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Maria Lourdes Carle | 35c | 571.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.86 | 1,836 | 48.4%889 W · 947 L | -32.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Rebeka Masarova | 62c | 500$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.14 | 9,231 | 44.3%4,088 W · 5,143 L | -241.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…8cb5backed Rebeka Masarova | 50c | 430$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 115 | 30.4%35 W · 80 L | -10.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Maria Lourdes Carle | 53c | 411.96$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.2 | 11,325 | 43.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L | +18.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c2…190dbacked Rebeka Masarova | 50c | 401.7$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff6a…881cbacked Rebeka Masarova | 79c | 379.44$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.76 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Maria Lourdes Carle | 21c | 367.97$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.7 | 1,634 | 50%817 W · 817 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9644…d03bbacked Rebeka Masarova | 79c | 317$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.66 | 370 | 47%174 W · 196 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x332e…df71backed Maria Lourdes Carle | 31c | 299.32$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.81 | 429 | 34.7%149 W · 280 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1740…529ebacked Rebeka Masarova | 74c | 269.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Rebeka Masarova | 76c | 262$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.12 | 328 | 41.8%137 W · 191 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Rebeka Masarova | 79c | 253.16$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.03 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Rebeka Masarova | 77c | 231.48$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.84 | 1,061 | 57.4%609 W · 452 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Rebeka Masarova | 76c | 230.54$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.06 | 7,710 | 47.8%3,685 W · 4,025 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4232…d505backed Maria Lourdes Carle | 40c | 221$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.91 | 372 | 35.2%131 W · 241 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…1ab0backed Rebeka Masarova | 53c | 207.74$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 945 | 49.6%469 W · 476 L | -23.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87d1…3744backed Maria Lourdes Carle | 39c | 163.5$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.8 | 1,104 | 66.9%739 W · 365 L | +36.9wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Maria Lourdes Carle | 22c | 153.9$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.74 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Maria Lourdes Carle | 35c | 152.91$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.97 | 965 | 41.5%400 W · 565 L | +14.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7067…38dbbacked Maria Lourdes Carle | 34c | 135.13$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.19 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x010c…e732backed Rebeka Masarova | 56c | 134.91$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…c570backed Maria Lourdes Carle | 28c | 132.79$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.17 | 669 | 38.3%256 W · 413 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Rebeka Masarova | 79c | 126.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 2,056 | 59.5%1,224 W · 832 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc314…6a46backed Rebeka Masarova | 17c | 117.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 184 | 10.9%20 W · 164 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Maria Lourdes Carle | 52c | 100.33$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.92 | 1,219 | 55%670 W · 549 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d18…6f62backed Rebeka Masarova | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 560 | 62.5%350 W · 210 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Rebeka Masarova | 77c | 100$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 527 | 50.3%265 W · 262 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f9…40cfbacked Rebeka Masarova | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa363…46c8backed Maria Lourdes Carle | 28c | 97.87$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.33 | 228 | 21.1%48 W · 180 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Rebeka Masarova | 52c | 93.93$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.86 | 7,745 | 50.6%3,916 W · 3,829 L | +93.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Maria Lourdes Carle | 24c | 88$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.5 | 958 | 46.6%446 W · 512 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Maria Lourdes Carle | 23c | 76.44$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.51 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…5715backed Maria Lourdes Carle | 36c | 67.34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.14 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Maria Lourdes Carle | 58c | 66$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.94 | 351 | 87.7%308 W · 43 L | +66.4wins | +0.19per pick | 69cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Maria Lourdes Carle | 19c | 63.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.67 | 5,199 | 28.8%1,496 W · 3,703 L | -18.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Rebeka Masarova | 80c | 63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Maria Lourdes Carle | 52c | 52.5$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 846 | 40%338 W · 508 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x978f…e14dbacked Maria Lourdes Carle | 45c | 51.03$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 208 | 41.8%87 W · 121 L | -26.2wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c0…f389backed Maria Lourdes Carle | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Maria Lourdes Carle | 45c | 43.09$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.87 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0593…9712backed Maria Lourdes Carle | 43c | 40.42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.06 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Rebeka Masarova | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2409…215ebacked Rebeka Masarova | 65c | 37.08$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 244 | 50.8%124 W · 120 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59ae…ffb1backed Maria Lourdes Carle | 46c | 34.28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.51 | 112 | 61.6%69 W · 43 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf874…def4backed Rebeka Masarova | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 128 | 43%55 W · 73 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d2…380bbacked Maria Lourdes Carle | 39c | 32.16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.66 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed Maria Lourdes Carle | 35c | 32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.88 | 175 | 54.9%96 W · 79 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Rebeka Masarova | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4166…4f83backed Maria Lourdes Carle | 46c | 24.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.17 | 129 | 38.8%50 W · 79 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Rebeka Masarova | 51c | 21.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 830 | 47%390 W · 440 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Rebeka Masarova | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 882 | 73.5%648 W · 234 L | +19.8wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x355a…98a6backed Rebeka Masarova | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 188 | 39.9%75 W · 113 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe5f…ed76backed Rebeka Masarova | 64c | 19.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.