Tennis · resolved market
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Aziz Dougaz vs Felix Gill
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x25183998a7956c9ffcac89dc7a98a8c22fe67379604d3dd9a6df955dbac5ad2d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Felix Gillof Aziz Dougaz, Felix Gill
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,206
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,338
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,206 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Aziz Dougaz | 17c | 4,492$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.9 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x287d…38febacked Aziz Dougaz | 16c | 2,444$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.23 | 374 | 21.9%82 W · 292 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f75…0fbfbacked Felix Gill | 69c | 1,999$1,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.49 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70c9…caf5backed Felix Gill | 74c | 1,352$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.82 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Aziz Dougaz | 26c | 888.39$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.2 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Aziz Dougaz | 27c | 619.2$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.66 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Felix Gill | 77c | 473$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.58 | 1,923 | 55.4%1,066 W · 857 L | -44.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Aziz Dougaz | 27c | 429.42$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.94 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1740…529ebacked Felix Gill | 73c | 408.73$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.73 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58f9…40cfbacked Aziz Dougaz | 26c | 386.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.49 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7067…38dbbacked Aziz Dougaz | 12c | 357.14$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.86 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Felix Gill | 73c | 301$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.27 | 419 | 55.8%234 W · 185 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Aziz Dougaz | 20c | 286.66$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.32 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…f29bbacked Felix Gill | 79c | 278.25$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.43 | 125 | 62.4%78 W · 47 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Aziz Dougaz | 21c | 267.74$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 971 | 41.4%402 W · 569 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Felix Gill | 75c | 239.27$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.36 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Aziz Dougaz | 32c | 224.35$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.89 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Aziz Dougaz | 26c | 222.61$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.88 | 856 | 34.2%293 W · 563 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Felix Gill | 73c | 221.2$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.15 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Aziz Dougaz | 28c | 208.83$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.52 | 289 | 33.2%96 W · 193 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88ff…78aebacked Aziz Dougaz | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 159 | 28.9%46 W · 113 L | -10.0wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Aziz Dougaz | 27c | 183.85$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.64 | 136 | 41.9%57 W · 79 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Felix Gill | 77c | 167$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 1,626 | 52.7%857 W · 769 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Felix Gill | 71c | 165.68$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.68 | 849 | 68.4%581 W · 268 L | +25.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Aziz Dougaz | 24c | 150.24$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.49 | 921 | 45.2%416 W · 505 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Aziz Dougaz | 23c | 142.32$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.85 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Aziz Dougaz | 28c | 137.93$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.62 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x150c…add3backed Felix Gill | 73c | 136.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.23 | 206 | 70.4%145 W · 61 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb740…2ec1backed Felix Gill | 74c | 135.64$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Felix Gill | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 599 | 65.8%394 W · 205 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed Felix Gill | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 711 | 65.1%463 W · 248 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Aziz Dougaz | 26c | 123.06$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Aziz Dougaz | 22c | 119$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.93 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5f…cf7cbacked Aziz Dougaz | 28c | 116.64$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.66 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a84…e21abacked Aziz Dougaz | 15c | 112.75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 95 | 29.5%28 W · 67 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Aziz Dougaz | 24c | 110.57$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.54 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d18…6f62backed Felix Gill | 72c | 99.99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 560 | 62.5%350 W · 210 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Felix Gill | 72c | 99.99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 527 | 50.3%265 W · 262 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Felix Gill | 70c | 71.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Aziz Dougaz | 28c | 71.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Aziz Dougaz | 27c | 68.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Felix Gill | 72c | 63.39$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.75 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Felix Gill | 75c | 49.65$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.59 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…7889backed Felix Gill | 73c | 49.6$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 560 | 70.7%396 W · 164 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 73cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Felix Gill | 74c | 44.74$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0593…9712backed Aziz Dougaz | 24c | 42.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Felix Gill | 65c | 40.8$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.16 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Aziz Dougaz | 35c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 958 | 46.6%446 W · 512 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc04c…cebfbacked Felix Gill | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 671 | 78.7%528 W · 143 L | +49.1wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41c3…4d56backed Felix Gill | 73c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0813…41e1backed Felix Gill | 70c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 371 | 58.8%218 W · 153 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…5eeabacked Felix Gill | 77c | 20.28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.57 | 230 | 73.9%170 W · 60 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 78cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe10f…e8bbbacked Felix Gill | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 185 | 72.4%134 W · 51 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Felix Gill | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 423 | 53.7%227 W · 196 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62a3…52dbbacked Felix Gill | 74c | 18.82$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.89 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Felix Gill | 72c | 15.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 992 | 49.4%490 W · 502 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Aziz Dougaz vs Felix Gillthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Dougaz vs GillGill won
- Set Handicap: Gill (-1.5) vs Dougaz (+1.5)Dougaz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.