TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Bengaluru 3: Alex Hernandez vs Naoya Honda

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Alex Hernandezof Alex Hernandez, Naoya Honda
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$200,180
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$237,845

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $200,180 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 161 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5aa9…febebacked Naoya Honda52c17,833$9,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,252.081,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef1b…8697backed Alex Hernandez51c14,582$7,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,082.337236.1%26 W · 46 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-22.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0979…8d9bbacked Naoya Honda53c11,364$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,00014757.1%84 W · 63 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Naoya Honda41c6,908$2,802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,802.438,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6982…a165backed Alex Hernandez61c6,693$4,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,592.962956.9%358 W · 271 L+0.8wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2744…7e85backed Naoya Honda51c6,513$3,322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,321.541631.3%5 W · 11 L-4.7wins-0.29per pick60cpaid-53.9%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x710c…78eabacked Naoya Honda77c4,504$3,448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,448.261,04058.2%605 W · 435 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f75…0fbfbacked Naoya Honda49c4,242$2,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,063.474731.9%15 W · 32 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x085e…9aeabacked Alex Hernandez43c3,391$1,461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,930.0811552.2%60 W · 55 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Alex Hernandez33c3,301$1,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,209.94,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Naoya Honda50c2,491$1,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,240.721,65849.9%828 W · 830 L+7.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5d8c…35b0backed Alex Hernandez72c2,062$1,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.2822465.2%146 W · 78 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6c3…55a3backed Alex Hernandez50c2,061$1,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,029.5414835.8%53 W · 95 L-10.4wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-28.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2b38…f158backed Alex Hernandez49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,019.99757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d9b…a5ebbacked Alex Hernandez49c1,902$932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$970666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+43.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Naoya Honda57c1,490$847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$846.568,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Alex Hernandez48c1,476$714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$761.611,68150%841 W · 840 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Alex Hernandez57c1,463$832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630.8180341.8%336 W · 467 L-20.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed Alex Hernandez43c1,364$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$773.6625245.2%114 W · 138 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b2f…cb55backed Alex Hernandez53c1,337$708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.61770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+19.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf9e1…0458backed Naoya Honda63c1,248$784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$784.085839.7%23 W · 35 L-0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeda4…cea5backed Alex Hernandez49c1,228$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$626.28333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-32%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x066e…ceb2backed Naoya Honda33c1,205$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40015436.4%56 W · 98 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+23.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Naoya Honda50c1,046$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.284,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Naoya Honda57c1,000$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.871,09452.4%573 W · 521 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Alex Hernandez49c999.97$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.9985634.2%293 W · 563 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Alex Hernandez47c851.06$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.061,86544.7%834 W · 1,031 L+36.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Naoya Honda49c804.95$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.551,67948.1%808 W · 871 L+36.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Alex Hernandez20c799.97$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.0858021.9%127 W · 453 L+2.5wins0.00per pick21cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Alex Hernandez47c744.68$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.681,86545.6%851 W · 1,014 L+50.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Naoya Honda49c712$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.881,72948.9%845 W · 884 L+53.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x95c5…d5d3backed Naoya Honda29c697.6$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20060158.6%352 W · 249 L+2.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x272d…bc2fbacked Naoya Honda80c624.75$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.836657.7%211 W · 155 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Alex Hernandez34c619.75$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.158,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0ac…7deebacked Naoya Honda54c571.45$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.933253.6%178 W · 154 L+21.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x57c3…44b8backed Alex Hernandez36c559.54$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.46225.8%16 W · 46 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick20cpaid+113.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Alex Hernandez53c500$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.089,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x25d8…a71fbacked Naoya Honda75c500$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37530857.1%176 W · 132 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Alex Hernandez50c480$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2401,61550.6%817 W · 798 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked Alex Hernandez39c444.38$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.071,01846.8%476 W · 542 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Alex Hernandez21c436.62$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.221,82241%747 W · 1,075 L-30.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Alex Hernandez22c411.82$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.444,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Naoya Honda66c408.5$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.142,52339.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L-3.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Alex Hernandez38c378.88$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.571,48747.5%706 W · 781 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb943…375bbacked Alex Hernandez41c370.73$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.7317649.4%87 W · 89 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb897…e44ebacked Naoya Honda54c359.48$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.1221641.7%90 W · 126 L-0.9wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Alex Hernandez54c338.83$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.674,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Naoya Honda52c307.82$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.7797141.4%402 W · 569 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Naoya Honda50c299.96$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.981,07752.4%564 W · 513 L+30.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Alex Hernandez49c285.09$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.391,03150.3%519 W · 512 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfbad…4f53backed Alex Hernandez37c271.32$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.3235444.6%158 W · 196 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Alex Hernandez43c265.54$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.111,45950.1%731 W · 728 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Naoya Honda61c264.78$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.362,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Alex Hernandez48c259.31$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.135,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Naoya Honda51c257.19$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.171,42155%782 W · 639 L+23.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bdd…8fd9backed Naoya Honda47c254.42$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1205145.1%23 W · 28 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x201e…d516backed Alex Hernandez49c253.13$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.131040%4 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-37.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Naoya Honda49c242.27$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.682,46238.5%948 W · 1,514 L+93.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Alex Hernandez26c235.73$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.791,85357.7%1,069 W · 784 L+106.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+3.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Alex Hernandez38c232$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.2428835.1%101 W · 187 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Naoya Honda61c228.02$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.296,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d29…f683backed Alex Hernandez50c220$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.633647.3%159 W · 177 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Naoya Honda54c216.91$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.165346.4%303 W · 350 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Alex Hernandez38c210.1$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.084,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe068…c5eabacked Naoya Honda58c193.64$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.796127.9%17 W · 44 L-10.4wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-53.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x0a16…9d73backed Alex Hernandez50c184.2$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.15851.7%30 W · 28 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+49.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Alex Hernandez48c182.75$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.9899244.7%443 W · 549 L-29.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc547…c570backed Alex Hernandez43c181.08$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.7967838.3%260 W · 418 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8048…a602backed Naoya Honda58c178.72$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.0319568.2%133 W · 62 L+19.5wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+11.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc468…530fbacked Alex Hernandez67c173.01$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.329260.9%56 W · 36 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick58cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Alex Hernandez26c171.81$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.473,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4232…d505backed Naoya Honda53c169.81$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9037235.2%131 W · 241 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed Alex Hernandez15c158$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.31,77648.6%863 W · 913 L+29.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb442…833ebacked Alex Hernandez30c155.63$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.9410352.4%54 W · 49 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0175…7da9backed Alex Hernandez20c151.27$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.27450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+60.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f57…2282backed Alex Hernandez71c141.2$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.236264.6%234 W · 128 L-1.6wins0.00per pick65cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x891d…b19fbacked Alex Hernandez30c136.98$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.4821838.1%83 W · 135 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c56…0615backed Alex Hernandez54c129.63$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.6359440.2%239 W · 355 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x574e…0436backed Naoya Honda78c128.21$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023754.4%129 W · 108 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Naoya Honda62c122.02$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.342,08544.5%928 W · 1,157 L-51.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e62…fd00backed Alex Hernandez42c120.08$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.0820347.3%96 W · 107 L-14.1wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-18.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb375…af18backed Naoya Honda33c117.7$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.021533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Alex Hernandez47c111.62$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.167,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc263…1e83backed Alex Hernandez28c108.26$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.7114351.7%74 W · 69 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1831…6c99backed Alex Hernandez60c106$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5135187.7%308 W · 43 L+66.4wins+0.19per pick69cpaid+29.6%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0xd14f…fa29backed Naoya Honda49c101.94$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.955971.2%42 W · 17 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d18…6f62backed Naoya Honda49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4956062.5%350 W · 210 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a91…983fbacked Alex Hernandez49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512661.5%16 W · 10 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+24.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Alex Hernandez49c97.97$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.9781255.3%449 W · 363 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c2…45b2backed Alex Hernandez29c91.86$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.9543750.3%220 W · 217 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x59ea…ce0bbacked Alex Hernandez69c91.04$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.042755.6%15 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Naoya Honda50c88$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.873,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87d1…3744backed Alex Hernandez72c83.33$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.331,10466.9%739 W · 365 L+36.9wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x21de…4608backed Alex Hernandez22c81.87$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.872552%13 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+21.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2903…9203backed Naoya Honda79c81.62$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.881,07660.4%650 W · 426 L+24.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67b5…7276backed Alex Hernandez55c78.18$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.1827147.2%128 W · 143 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Naoya Honda55c77.78$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.622,04453.8%1,100 W · 944 L+61.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ce5…a07fbacked Alex Hernandez39c76.92$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.9241850%209 W · 209 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe897…0b3bbacked Alex Hernandez54c74.07$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.0718855.3%104 W · 84 L-10.9wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-13.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Naoya Honda76c74.04$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.273,42439.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L-12.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.