TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8b2f…cb55

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
28
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Tennis, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 55 out of 100; worst South American Leagues at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT1770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+19.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros WTA: Yulia Putintseva vs Camila Osoriobacked Yulia Putintseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.57
Roland Garros ATP: Hubert Hurkacz vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+128%+$105.75
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Elise Mertensbacked Elise Mertens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.78
Roland Garros ATP: Facundo Acosta vs Learner Tienbacked Facundo Acosta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.19
Roland Garros ATP: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Jaime Fariabacked Jaime Faria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$28.85
Centurion: Yusuke Takahashi vs Edward Winterbacked Edward Winter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$398Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+51%+$202.65
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Daniel Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$533Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$532.87
Roland Garros ATP: Jaime Faria vs Denis Shapovalovbacked Jaime Faria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$523Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$293.92
Roland Garros ATP: Facundo Acosta vs Zhizhen Zhangbacked Facundo Acosta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$151.53
Kosice: Dali Blanch vs Carlo Alberto Caniatobacked Dali Blanch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$194.52
Chisinau: Filip Jianu vs Franco Agamenonebacked Franco Agamenone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$499Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+104.7%+$522.14
Roland Garros ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Gael Monfilsbacked Hugo Gaston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$273Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+37.1%+$101.14
Roland Garros ATP: Yibing Wu vs Marcos Gironbacked Yibing Wu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$148.73
Hamburg European Open: Ignacio Buse vs Jakub Mensikbacked Ignacio Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$55.2
Bengaluru 3: Alex Hernandez vs Naoya Hondabacked Alex Hernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$708Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+89%+$629.6
Bengaluru 3: Hamish Stewart vs Kriish Tyagibacked Kriish Tyagi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,977Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,976.61
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Diane Parry vs Emma Raducanubacked Diane Parry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$530.99
All 17 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+90.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+81.7%+$92.71
New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$281Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+100%+$281.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+60.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Gaziantep FK vs. Rams Başakşehir FK: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$583Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+59.5%+$347.09
Will Motherwell FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$366Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$224.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+44.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Sun vs. PortlandFirebacked PortlandFire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$100.45
Toronto Tempo vs. Chicago Skybacked Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$113.9
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$196.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+32.8%+$328.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Stephen Colbert be named in newly released Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$348Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$348
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Caracas FC win on 2026-05-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$540.18
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.