TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Centurion: Yusuke Takahashi vs Edward Winter

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Edward Winterof Yusuke Takahashi, Edward Winter
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$78,584
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$75,791

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,584 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5b63…11a4backed Yusuke Takahashi56c6,638$3,737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,737.464,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0ac…7deebacked Yusuke Takahashi46c4,640$2,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,136.3733253.6%178 W · 154 L+21.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6a00…9158backed Yusuke Takahashi18c4,440$819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$819.178840.6%320 W · 468 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Edward Winter64c4,218$2,709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,508.268,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb38f…5048backed Edward Winter41c3,607$1,473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,133.713737.8%14 W · 23 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-24.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yusuke Takahashi41c3,454$1,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,425.158,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Edward Winter73c3,314$2,411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$903.386,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6982…a165backed Yusuke Takahashi69c1,449$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00062956.9%358 W · 271 L+0.8wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19c6…c063backed Yusuke Takahashi42c1,186$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-43.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb347…5166backed Yusuke Takahashi40c1,121$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.5221955.3%121 W · 98 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x25d8…a71fbacked Yusuke Takahashi69c1,000$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.0730857.1%176 W · 132 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Edward Winter58c998.3$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.293,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Edward Winter55c949.55$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.568,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Edward Winter63c789.62$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.1685348.7%415 W · 438 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6c3…55a3backed Edward Winter35c748.98$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.5514835.8%53 W · 95 L-10.4wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-28.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf0bc…9ae5backed Yusuke Takahashi6c652.51$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-26%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Edward Winter23c606.27$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.834,60248.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L+34.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b2f…cb55backed Edward Winter66c600.19$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.651770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+19.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x74bd…d371backed Edward Winter59c600$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24642125.7%108 W · 313 L-0.4wins0.00per pick26cpaid+9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yusuke Takahashi41c519.31$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.9253843.5%234 W · 304 L+9.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Yusuke Takahashi64c500$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.569,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Edward Winter31c499.18$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.172,08544.5%928 W · 1,157 L-51.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Yusuke Takahashi43c464.34$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20046435.3%164 W · 300 L-19.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Edward Winter51c452.23$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.165,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xabe0…5adbbacked Edward Winter67c448.16$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.1633163.7%211 W · 120 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Yusuke Takahashi65c439.04$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.226,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Edward Winter60c438.52$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.9457842.4%245 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1491…11d3backed Yusuke Takahashi61c435.62$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.2216133.5%54 W · 107 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-29.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ade…ed94backed Edward Winter59c333.34$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.671,45854%787 W · 671 L-33.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+64.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef29…2f1ebacked Yusuke Takahashi74c332.6$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.951,11145.3%503 W · 608 L-35.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x17be…e5b4backed Yusuke Takahashi66c303.03$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006749.3%33 W · 34 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Edward Winter43c274.01$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.322,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6090…06e0backed Edward Winter59c247.05$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.295549.1%27 W · 28 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x433c…81eabacked Edward Winter29c244.78$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.799458.5%55 W · 39 L+11.3wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+19.1%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x0afd…9fdebacked Edward Winter63c238.1$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.13262.5%20 W · 12 L-0.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid+14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2903…9203backed Yusuke Takahashi66c237.93$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.031,07660.4%650 W · 426 L+24.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8e1…9bc1backed Edward Winter32c235.51$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.4978350.3%394 W · 389 L-12.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Yusuke Takahashi41c232.74$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.423,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xede5…5300backed Edward Winter33c227$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.099152.7%48 W · 43 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Yusuke Takahashi65c199.5$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.094,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Edward Winter42c182.16$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.62,76153.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L+73.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Edward Winter39c182.06$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.044,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x585e…019fbacked Yusuke Takahashi58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010152.5%53 W · 48 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaba5…4e0ebacked Edward Winter59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.4916055%88 W · 72 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-8.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Edward Winter73c157.31$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.454,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd325…8c5fbacked Yusuke Takahashi9c156.47$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5222540.4%91 W · 134 L-9.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe0b0…5294backed Yusuke Takahashi68c147.26$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9945850.7%232 W · 226 L-1.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1f3…becfbacked Yusuke Takahashi52c128.85$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.941758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+26.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe0fc…b09fbacked Edward Winter35c100$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$656758.2%39 W · 28 L+5.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+20.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb4c0…22ebbacked Yusuke Takahashi47c99.75$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.1840527.2%110 W · 295 L-17.2wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2326…b627backed Edward Winter74c93.44$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.291,25665.4%821 W · 435 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4c9…8803backed Yusuke Takahashi26c92.45$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0513743.1%59 W · 78 L+9.1wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Edward Winter72c90$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.26,44946.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L-42.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x272d…bc2fbacked Yusuke Takahashi70c90$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6336657.7%211 W · 155 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Yusuke Takahashi61c89.51$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.6230131.9%96 W · 205 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked Edward Winter38c84.78$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.831,79546.6%837 W · 958 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1887…5008backed Yusuke Takahashi63c84.56$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.05862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick69cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd96…11a3backed Edward Winter60c83.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.342,27458%1,318 W · 956 L-10.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9888…e6febacked Yusuke Takahashi46c79.99$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.82,44745.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Edward Winter32c77.43$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.3459253.5%317 W · 275 L+22.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Yusuke Takahashi54c77.28$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.035,41648.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L+14.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72a0…9bc4backed Yusuke Takahashi72c74.1$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.0947274.4%351 W · 121 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick73cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9663…5b70backed Edward Winter58c74$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.0685748.2%413 W · 444 L+33.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5482…d2aabacked Yusuke Takahashi68c73.53$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa99f…164bbacked Yusuke Takahashi69c72.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5027528.4%78 W · 197 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-7.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Edward Winter61c71.59$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.921,63955.1%903 W · 736 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Edward Winter64c67.89$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.443,67754.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L+107.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed Yusuke Takahashi67c67.16$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451,77648.6%863 W · 913 L+29.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6844…7633backed Edward Winter68c65.51$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.9610540%42 W · 63 L-7.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Edward Winter60c63.6$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.6566834.3%229 W · 439 L-43.2wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-40.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Edward Winter59c63.39$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.992,56163%1,613 W · 948 L-10.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x476e…cfb9backed Yusuke Takahashi68c63$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.8435060.9%213 W · 137 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yusuke Takahashi71c61.83$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.9849749.9%248 W · 249 L-15.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ed1…18a8backed Yusuke Takahashi60c61$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.613256.1%74 W · 58 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+0.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0a48…dc30backed Yusuke Takahashi41c60.69$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258038.8%31 W · 49 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b10…4629backed Yusuke Takahashi71c59.99$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.59250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Edward Winter31c58.98$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.951,53240.7%624 W · 908 L-48.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yusuke Takahashi77c52.8$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.4111,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0862…dc29backed Yusuke Takahashi39c51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8951339.4%202 W · 311 L-14.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Yusuke Takahashi41c50.04$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5258745.7%268 W · 319 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Yusuke Takahashi66c47.45$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.322,60146.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L+18.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Yusuke Takahashi72c46.96$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.811,67850.8%852 W · 826 L+30.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Yusuke Takahashi43c42.56$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.32,41851.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L+10.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1400…765dbacked Edward Winter34c42.15$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.8732732.1%105 W · 222 L-0.5wins0.00per pick32cpaid+11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b48…1d04backed Yusuke Takahashi71c41.88$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.785060%30 W · 20 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick54cpaid0%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked Edward Winter51c41.23$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.1139845.5%181 W · 217 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6639…6bcfbacked Yusuke Takahashi46c40.27$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.441250%6 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+26%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Yusuke Takahashi40c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161,54149.2%758 W · 783 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Edward Winter60c40$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161,86544.7%834 W · 1,031 L+36.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0bb…4c8abacked Yusuke Takahashi62c38.56$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9117158.5%100 W · 71 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e32…0502backed Yusuke Takahashi64c37.54$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.171866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0783…3d45backed Edward Winter32c37.24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.3633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Yusuke Takahashi60c36.87$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1565346.4%303 W · 350 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Yusuke Takahashi71c36.81$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.971,13250.3%569 W · 563 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Edward Winter75c35.32$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.9291755.5%509 W · 408 L+2.7wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Yusuke Takahashi65c35.31$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233,22040.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L+28.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff66…39cfbacked Yusuke Takahashi39c34.63$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.513450%17 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xffc9…bf01backed Yusuke Takahashi58c34.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7520957.9%121 W · 88 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2d5…53d0backed Yusuke Takahashi42c33.77$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1817656.3%99 W · 77 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe00d…4251backed Edward Winter63c33.33$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.3319761.4%121 W · 76 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.