Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Motherwell FC win on 2026-05-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b0f55d674d81f0ddc840bdc483fe69027221db37f6e2b4e9a33d88d9415b1b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,438
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,575
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,438 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 40c | 6,480$2,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,594.85 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 44c | 2,047$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.53 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 21c | 2,038$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.03 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 72c | 1,813$1,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.39 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d4e…6478backed No | 28c | 1,797$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.29 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.20per pick | 34cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 77c | 1,507$1,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.41 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…e900backed Yes | 61c | 775.47$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.33 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb30d…5cf1backed Yes | 58c | 689.66$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.66 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.26per pick | 65cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b2f…cb55backed Yes | 62c | 590.53$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 32c | 462.5$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.5 | 123 | 37.4%46 W · 77 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb25…f7f3backed No | 13c | 452.57$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.83 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6190…5d90backed Yes | 61c | 344.26$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.26 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 24c | 339.11$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.39 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8339…caa9backed Yes | 58c | 172.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 16c | 165$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 135 | 42.2%57 W · 78 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…c638backed Yes | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 24c | 120.86$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…82d7backed No | 43c | 106.98$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 133 | 62.4%83 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 75c | 106.68$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.33 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Yes | 28c | 104.06$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.92 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed No | 72c | 104.06$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.92 | 70 | 75.7%53 W · 17 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 66cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked No | 67c | 95.8$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.27 | 73 | 68.5%50 W · 23 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf39…0e83backed Yes | 68c | 91.97$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.43 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Yes | 35c | 90.65$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.52 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed No | 25c | 82.93$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.75 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x697e…9904backed Yes | 63c | 79.61$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.61 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 34c | 60.79$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.23 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fca…819abacked Yes | 58c | 58.6$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.61 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed No | 41c | 58.54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 210 | 36.7%77 W · 133 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked No | 44c | 57.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 65c | 55.25$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.91 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe897…0b3bbacked Yes | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 43c | 51.75$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.75 | 357 | 40.6%145 W · 212 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x708e…d03fbacked No | 33c | 51.52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8487…7f21backed Yes | 68c | 44.35$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed No | 42c | 36.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 145 | 61.4%89 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked No | 66c | 31.17$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.57 | 122 | 61.5%75 W · 47 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63f2…b224backed Yes | 68c | 30.88$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed No | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cc…c993backed No | 37c | 27.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac03…f019backed Yes | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 41c | 24.87$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89e9…c4a3backed Yes | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…07f5backed Yes | 58c | 23.48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 67c | 22.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4918…0043backed Yes | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Yes | 72c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +9.1wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked No | 66c | 18.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 69 | 69.6%48 W · 21 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Motherwell FC win on 2026-05-16?this page
- Will Hibernian FC vs. Motherwell FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Hibernian FC win on 2026-05-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.