Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Hibernian FC win on 2026-05-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5cc75395e2a449437b3c680509381320da8e52f14cd237d60cecc90a4c36c3ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,814
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,810
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,814 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Yes | 44c | 6,190$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,750 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 52cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 77c | 4,983$3,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.86 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 6c | 3,690$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.54 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed No | 64c | 3,112$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.31 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 26c | 2,614$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.16 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 56c | 1,881$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.65 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 13c | 1,077$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 55c | 829.34$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.68 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 55c | 748.42$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.69 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 12c | 549.74$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.97 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 55c | 499.99$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9d…992bbacked Yes | 37c | 405.41$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 63c | 354.91$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.31 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 109 | 20.2%22 W · 87 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 4c | 295.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 61c | 252.26$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.9 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 55c | 250$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.42 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 54c | 243$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.78 | 268 | 53.7%144 W · 124 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 73c | 229.74$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.43 | 119 | 68.1%81 W · 38 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 9c | 211.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.12 | 106 | 17.9%19 W · 87 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 21c | 174$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.42 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…36a2backed Yes | 17c | 94.12$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 55c | 80$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 55c | 75$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed Yes | 36c | 67.56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 56c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 57c | 58.09$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.06 | 236 | 49.2%116 W · 120 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…ba40backed Yes | 39c | 50.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked No | 75c | 45.71$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.21 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 36c | 35.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d4…523cbacked No | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 59c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8f…da09backed No | 61c | 22.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffd6…6939backed No | 68c | 21.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 58c | 20.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed No | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 76c | 13.28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.24 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hibernian FC win on 2026-05-16?this page
- Will Hibernian FC vs. Motherwell FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Motherwell FC win on 2026-05-16?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.