South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Caracas FC win on 2026-05-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d24b21d5236e087600f2e4190db2e1ae4be2942a5b9d1a33258e4467be02ef8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,560
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,850
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,560 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 25c | 4,160$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.87 | 436 | 18.8%82 W · 354 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88bf…0933backed No | 57c | 3,751$2,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,602.37 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 75c | 2,989$2,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.66 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59a4…260fbacked Yes | 2c | 2,875$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.49 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 74c | 1,575$1,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.88 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…d93bbacked Yes | 43c | 1,398$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.93 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 21c | 1,225$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.5 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 69c | 1,115$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.7 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 51c | 989.73$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.66 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…ba40backed No | 75c | 953.78$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.4 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b2f…cb55backed Yes | 57c | 949.73$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked No | 47c | 857$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.68 | 106 | 67.9%72 W · 34 L | +15.7wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6170…03bdbacked Yes | 26c | 769.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 25c | 693.48$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.29 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 71c | 649.42$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.68 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked No | 47c | 645$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.66 | 217 | 65.4%142 W · 75 L | +24.1wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 44c | 579.98$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.56 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 26c | 500.29$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.08 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x60ee…45cebacked Yes | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae5…6079backed No | 76c | 499.92$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.98 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 67c | 478.57$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.35 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…acc4backed No | 74c | 442.71$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.66 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13e4…8b89backed Yes | 42c | 401.13$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.68 | 106 | 49.1%52 W · 54 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce5…a07fbacked Yes | 36c | 400.65$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.26 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 74c | 400.13$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.74 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69eb…bbc3backed Yes | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf95…5c3ebacked No | 73c | 358.54$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.57 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…0ac5backed Yes | 59c | 339.94$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 49c | 323.24$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.77 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 36c | 322.54$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.93 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 50c | 232.87$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.57 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Yes | 37c | 232.34$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.12 | 134 | 51.5%69 W · 65 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 68c | 227.61$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.22 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 54c | 225$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.5 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x510c…6a61backed No | 46c | 212.76$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.89 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +5.0wins | +0.15per pick | 33cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe1da…441ebacked Yes | 55c | 199.98$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3bf…a509backed Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 54cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 23c | 164.32$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.58 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f68…3e9cbacked Yes | 18c | 143.65$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 39c | 137.73$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.33 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Yes | 26c | 132.8$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.53 | 269 | 65.4%176 W · 93 L | +48.9wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 59c | 111.09$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.21 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 50c | 108.67$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.27 | 429 | 46.2%198 W · 231 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 75c | 105.67$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.41 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cd…2eedbacked Yes | 27c | 103.89$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Yes | 27c | 103.24$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Yes | 27c | 102.25$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.61 | 335 | 60.9%204 W · 131 L | +18.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x037f…dd7ebacked Yes | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Yes | 27c | 95.17$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.7 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Yes | 50c | 90.16$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf6be…f6a3backed Yes | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3451…a6e1backed No | 69c | 73.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.69 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf83…3385backed Yes | 51c | 66$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.66 | 113 | 38.9%44 W · 69 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3839…e2eebacked Yes | 56c | 62.14$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked No | 73c | 62$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 100 | 33%33 W · 67 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 416 | 54.3%226 W · 190 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9410…b32ebacked Yes | 55c | 58.04$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 79c | 55$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Yes | 26c | 53.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 336 | 58.3%196 W · 140 L | +32.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x250e…77dbbacked Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 27c | 45.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed No | 47c | 42.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.3 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed No | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 183 | 59%108 W · 75 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 73c | 38.04$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.27 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7174…9874backed No | 73c | 36.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 70cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Yes | 28c | 36.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab77…be6abacked Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x946f…67c1backed Yes | 48c | 31.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked No | 75c | 29.71$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.43 | 129 | 58.1%75 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8862…bbf5backed No | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 74cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Yes | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 87 | 75.9%66 W · 21 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 61c | 18.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf508…30a5backed No | 75c | 17.52$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.39 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Caracas FC win on 2026-05-27?this page
- Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-05-27?Yes won
- Will Caracas FC vs. Botafogo FR end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.