TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe1da…441e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
82
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Tennis, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 57 out of 100; worst WNBA at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2026, EDT3669.4%25 W · 11 L+3.9wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+16.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lincoln: Jack Kennedy vs Anton Sheppbacked Jack Kennedy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Newport: Alexis Galarneau vs Jacob Fearnleybacked Jacob Fearnley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$37.09
Croatia Open, Qualification: Raul Brancaccio vs Federico Agustin Gomezbacked Raul Brancaccio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.29
Iasi: Zsombor Piros vs Jerome Kymbacked Zsombor Piros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$24
Braunschweig: Facundo Acosta vs Hugo Gastonbacked Facundo Acosta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.3
Trieste: Matej Dodig vs Henri Squirebacked Matej Dodig · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+89.4%+$23.6
ITF Hillcrest: Marilouise Van Zyl vs Isabella Wongbacked Marilouise Van Zyl · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+99.6%+$54.9
Bogota: Facundo Mena vs Alafia Ayenibacked Facundo Mena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+136.5%+$73.31
Trieste: Raul Brancaccio vs Franco Agamenonebacked Raul Brancaccio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$13.5
Milan: Facundo Acosta vs Marco Cecchinatobacked Facundo Acosta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+86.6%+$9.28
ITF San Diego: Alina Shcherbinina vs Anne-Christine Lutkemeyerbacked Alina Shcherbinina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+74.4%+$12.8
ITF Cuiaba: Luiza Fullana vs Carolina Alvesbacked Carolina Alves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.7
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritzbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+50.9%+$13.5
Ilkley: Tatiana Prozorova vs Sinja Krausbacked Tatiana Prozorova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+60.9%+$10.96
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekicbacked Marie Bouzkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.5
Stuttgart Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alexander Bublikbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+45.2%+$46.7
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Jeline Vandrommebacked Kaitlin Quevedo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+88%+$46.8
Ilkley: Darja Vidmanova vs Linda Fruhvirtovabacked Linda Fruhvirtova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
ITF Wuning: Kyoka Okamura vs Hiromi Abebacked Kyoka Okamura · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$30.4
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Liudmila Samsonovabacked Harriet Dart · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+46.9%+$51.05
HSBC Championships: Karolina Pliskova vs McCartney Kesslerbacked Karolina Pliskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$287Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+53.1%+$152.6
HSBC Championships: Qinwen Zheng vs Jaqueline Cristianbacked Jaqueline Cristian · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+86.6%+$46.4
Tyler: Henry Searle vs Karl Polingbacked Henry Searle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.2
Roland Garros ATP: Hubert Hurkacz vs Frances Tiafoebacked Hubert Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$339Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$338.61
Roland Garros WTA: Anna Kalinskaya vs Alina Korneevabacked Alina Korneeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.9
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.79
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+66.4%+$49.89
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.4
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padresbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+131.9%+$90.99
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+82.8%+$31.7
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$17.7
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$439.99
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+60.4%+$45.19
Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$162.27
Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+106.7%+$103.41
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padresbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$504Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+36.8%+$185.78
All 16 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick30cpaid-82.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-65.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
WNBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
PortlandFire vs. Atlanta Dreambacked Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.73
Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mysticsbacked Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.07
Connecticut Sun vs. PortlandFirebacked PortlandFire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$586Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+37%+$216.86
PortlandFire vs. New York Libertybacked New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
All 4 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-45.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-50.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$65.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 Series Sri Lanka A vs New Zealand A, Women: Sri Lanka A vs New Zealand Abacked New Zealand A · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$274Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+30.3%+$83.01
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.