Tennis · resolved market
ITF Hillcrest: Marilouise Van Zyl vs Isabella Wong
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x43e1e726f5ef295f3b95035465b0b92e0cdea1fba441897fd58460f9c1f13510
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marilouise Van Zylof Marilouise Van Zyl, Isabella Wong
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,889
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,533
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,889 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Isabella Wong | 35c | 10,756$3,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,738.17 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Marilouise Van Zyl | 68c | 9,519$6,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,048.29 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Isabella Wong | 52c | 972.8$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.65 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Marilouise Van Zyl | 46c | 534.08$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.83 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Marilouise Van Zyl | 46c | 408.31$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.15 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Marilouise Van Zyl | 46c | 392.74$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.63 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Isabella Wong | 54c | 349.64$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.81 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Isabella Wong | 51c | 343.99$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.25 | 264 | 41.7%110 W · 154 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Isabella Wong | 47c | 308.01$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.53 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb797…e779backed Marilouise Van Zyl | 51c | 299.33$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.53 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +8.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7471…4240backed Marilouise Van Zyl | 69c | 276.54$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.54 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Isabella Wong | 48c | 237.31$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.5 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Marilouise Van Zyl | 47c | 220.89$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.07 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Marilouise Van Zyl | 47c | 214.15$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.15 | 182 | 37.9%69 W · 113 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Marilouise Van Zyl | 47c | 210.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.89 | 788 | 47.5%374 W · 414 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Isabella Wong | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Marilouise Van Zyl | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Marilouise Van Zyl | 50c | 142.17$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.88 | 829 | 58.1%482 W · 347 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Marilouise Van Zyl | 34c | 134.1$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.5 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1da…441ebacked Marilouise Van Zyl | 50c | 109.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.9 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…4b22backed Isabella Wong | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 354 | 57.3%203 W · 151 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Marilouise Van Zyl | 28c | 95$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.4 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Marilouise Van Zyl | 72c | 90.58$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.79 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Marilouise Van Zyl | 70c | 81$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Isabella Wong | 47c | 75$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.6 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Isabella Wong | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Isabella Wong | 21c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Marilouise Van Zyl | 78c | 51$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.37 | 637 | 46%293 W · 344 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Isabella Wong | 47c | 48.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 384 | 46.4%178 W · 206 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…9cfbbacked Marilouise Van Zyl | 46c | 44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 357 | 47.9%171 W · 186 L | +16.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Marilouise Van Zyl | 45c | 41.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.7 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Isabella Wong | 37c | 36.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 156 | 5.8%9 W · 147 L | -32.4wins | -0.21per pick | 27cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xbc38…bb0ebacked Marilouise Van Zyl | 48c | 29.71$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 193 | 49.7%96 W · 97 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Isabella Wong | 53c | 23.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 482 | 45.6%220 W · 262 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Marilouise Van Zyl | 47c | 21.21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.19 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53c9…234dbacked Isabella Wong | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Marilouise Van Zyl | 59c | 17.38$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.15 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Marilouise Van Zyl | 67c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.61 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Isabella Wong | 59c | 16.95$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.