Tennis · resolved market
ITF Wuning: Kyoka Okamura vs Hiromi Abe
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3720c409b4c805d7357b47dc1f50f7a910a39e92b10cae238808e6ac2d23de28
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kyoka Okamuraof Kyoka Okamura, Hiromi Abe
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,287
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,979
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,287 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Kyoka Okamura | 48c | 2,024$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.88 | 798 | 55.9%446 W · 352 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Hiromi Abe | 46c | 1,610$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.1 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Hiromi Abe | 35c | 1,304$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.44 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Hiromi Abe | 44c | 1,152$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.55 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d99…9675backed Hiromi Abe | 48c | 920.28$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.43 | 155 | 30.3%47 W · 108 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf1…99d3backed Kyoka Okamura | 31c | 510.08$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.08 | 386 | 52.3%202 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Kyoka Okamura | 59c | 504.81$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.36 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked Hiromi Abe | 57c | 415.74$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.4 | 332 | 53.6%178 W · 154 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Hiromi Abe | 41c | 415.24$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.22 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Hiromi Abe | 41c | 376.47$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.26 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked Kyoka Okamura | 64c | 330$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.8 | 640 | 65.9%422 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Kyoka Okamura | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.58 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa182…3106backed Kyoka Okamura | 79c | 321.57$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.57 | 609 | 62.7%382 W · 227 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Hiromi Abe | 23c | 320.01$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.71 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Hiromi Abe | 41c | 239.61$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.39 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Kyoka Okamura | 38c | 210.21$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.09 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Kyoka Okamura | 36c | 177.91$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.91 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked Hiromi Abe | 30c | 164.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.59 | 585 | 39.5%231 W · 354 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc7…0755backed Hiromi Abe | 9c | 159$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Kyoka Okamura | 35c | 158.04$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.72 | 379 | 44.6%169 W · 210 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed Kyoka Okamura | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 33 | 75.8%25 W · 8 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Hiromi Abe | 23c | 139.77$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.25 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Hiromi Abe | 62c | 116.16$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.02 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Hiromi Abe | 65c | 115.33$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.97 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1782…2928backed Hiromi Abe | 49c | 111.04$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.56 | 108 | 34.3%37 W · 71 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Hiromi Abe | 29c | 106$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.98 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Hiromi Abe | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Hiromi Abe | 63c | 86.49$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.49 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1da…441ebacked Kyoka Okamura | 62c | 79.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bd…e48fbacked Hiromi Abe | 45c | 70$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 150 | 53.3%80 W · 70 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Hiromi Abe | 36c | 69.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.93 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…03e5backed Kyoka Okamura | 54c | 69.23$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.17 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a92…716abacked Kyoka Okamura | 45c | 66.84$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.84 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e59…7fdfbacked Hiromi Abe | 59c | 62.06$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.89 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -7.2wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x99f4…335fbacked Hiromi Abe | 62c | 61.79$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.31 | 242 | 74%179 W · 63 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Hiromi Abe | 44c | 61.21$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Kyoka Okamura | 63c | 58.56$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.48 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Hiromi Abe | 24c | 58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x103f…86dbbacked Hiromi Abe | 63c | 55$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 163 | 62%101 W · 62 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Hiromi Abe | 30c | 52.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24a1…32f2backed Hiromi Abe | 43c | 51.26$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.27 | 152 | 61.8%94 W · 58 L | +12.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Hiromi Abe | 64c | 38.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Hiromi Abe | 39c | 28.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 156 | 5.8%9 W · 147 L | -32.4wins | -0.21per pick | 27cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x53e2…c81fbacked Kyoka Okamura | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 87 | 62.1%54 W · 33 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Hiromi Abe | 49c | 26.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 578 | 45.7%264 W · 314 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bce…c696backed Kyoka Okamura | 65c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 180 | 72.8%131 W · 49 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.