MLB · resolved market
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x262d9c799b2bfe7565d387e521b407062c14f646a00f6dadbf00199b6de2bc58
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Baltimore Oriolesof Seattle Mariners, Baltimore Orioles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $482,816
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $527,606
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $482,816 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 397 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 109,482$56,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,902.79 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Seattle Mariners | 45c | 52,749$23,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,596.39 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Seattle Mariners | 51c | 50,000$25,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,499.92 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Seattle Mariners | 53c | 37,736$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 165 | 48.5%80 W · 85 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 35,038$16,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,569.92 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Seattle Mariners | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,200 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 18,184$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,183.74 | 238 | 46.6%111 W · 127 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb91a…3987backed Seattle Mariners | 50c | 14,397$7,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,198.44 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +15.2wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 14,345$7,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,029.1 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4c…1f30backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 12,000$5,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,140 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Seattle Mariners | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Seattle Mariners | 44c | 6,905$3,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,038.07 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9625…5bb7backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 6,560$3,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,345.67 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -5.7wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 5,760$3,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,591.9 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Seattle Mariners | 0c | 5,600$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Seattle Mariners | 34c | 5,367$1,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,814.74 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 5,225$2,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,612.3 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,549.97 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Seattle Mariners | 49c | 4,692$2,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,311.75 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x459e…7dd1backed Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 4,373$2,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,207.34 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067e…baafbacked Seattle Mariners | 0c | 4,199$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Seattle Mariners | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5762…90eebacked Seattle Mariners | 52c | 3,632$1,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,888.63 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 3,571$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,571.54 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Seattle Mariners | 43c | 3,466$1,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,477.41 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 68c | 3,319$2,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,067.48 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Seattle Mariners | 17c | 3,281$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.07 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 3,114$1,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,483.37 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b90…5fb9backed Seattle Mariners | 51c | 3,030$1,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,545.39 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 246 | 51.6%127 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Seattle Mariners | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,559.99 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85f8…fe20backed Seattle Mariners | 42c | 2,964$1,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,244.83 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Seattle Mariners | 52c | 2,885$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Seattle Mariners | 50c | 2,747$1,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,373.9 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Seattle Mariners | 31c | 2,744$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.1 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb5…d57abacked Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 2,687$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,397.24 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Seattle Mariners | 51c | 2,555$1,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,296.71 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Seattle Mariners | 48c | 2,552$1,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,232.65 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 2,392$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,191.76 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda48…5926backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 2,376$1,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,211.83 | 123 | 39%48 W · 75 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf77e…b594backed Seattle Mariners | 1c | 2,220$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.44 | 51 | 5.9%3 W · 48 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 2cpaid | +188.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d06…755bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 2,141$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.85 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 2,107$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,082.84 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Seattle Mariners | 47c | 1,919$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.32 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Seattle Mariners | 10c | 1,878$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.23 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Seattle Mariners | 49c | 1,712$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.68 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Seattle Mariners | 3c | 1,678$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.27 | 158 | 40.5%64 W · 94 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Seattle Mariners | 26c | 1,626$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.69 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 1,578$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.5 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Seattle Mariners | 15c | 1,465$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.68 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd82…9f66backed Seattle Mariners | 12c | 1,250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 159 | 37.7%60 W · 99 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Seattle Mariners | 42c | 1,212$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.99 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13b7…c98fbacked Seattle Mariners | 12c | 1,074$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.85 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Seattle Mariners | 49c | 1,020$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.15 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 1,010$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 1,006$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.35 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Seattle Mariners | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 275 | 52.4%144 W · 131 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 999.97$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.99 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Baltimore Orioles | 69c | 999.3$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.78 | 338 | 64.2%217 W · 121 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x660c…7f7abacked Seattle Mariners | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Seattle Mariners | 50c | 979$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.5 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 945.62$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.72 | 168 | 45.8%77 W · 91 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 72c | 922.32$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.84 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Seattle Mariners | 16c | 900$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 94 | 48.9%46 W · 48 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Seattle Mariners | 44c | 876.49$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.43 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Seattle Mariners | 35c | 868.38$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.68 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 805.46$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.89 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Seattle Mariners | 49c | 805$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.45 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Seattle Mariners | 51c | 799.99$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.99 | 383 | 53.5%205 W · 178 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dad…4855backed Seattle Mariners | 51c | 750$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.5 | 210 | 52.9%111 W · 99 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e00…d2bfbacked Seattle Mariners | 51c | 726.05$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.33 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Seattle Mariners | 52c | 692.3$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x526b…5269backed Seattle Mariners | 21c | 670.64$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.32 | 114 | 23.7%27 W · 87 L | -13.6wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x00ed…0a9fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 618$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 613$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.5 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…67fdbacked Seattle Mariners | 52c | 600$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309 | 377 | 48.8%184 W · 193 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked Seattle Mariners | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 221 | 53.4%118 W · 103 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 600$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 398 | 46.5%185 W · 213 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb6…735cbacked Seattle Mariners | 51c | 599.96$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3afb…0004backed Seattle Mariners | 51c | 587.84$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.8 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…6f6abacked Seattle Mariners | 29c | 584.06$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7381…d95dbacked Seattle Mariners | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Seattle Mariners | 52c | 544.87$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.33 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Seattle Mariners | 30c | 529.12$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.22 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Seattle Mariners | 23c | 527.96$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.43 | 694 | 47.6%330 W · 364 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 518.87$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.87 | 132 | 25%33 W · 99 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…1992backed Seattle Mariners | 23c | 517.71$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Seattle Mariners | 49c | 500.37$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.18 | 397 | 39.5%157 W · 240 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…118dbacked Seattle Mariners | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 514 | 49.2%253 W · 261 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…4004backed Seattle Mariners | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 128 | 52.3%67 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Seattle Mariners | 24c | 499.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.77 | 475 | 45.9%218 W · 257 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5a…07b6backed Seattle Mariners | 49c | 471.56$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 425.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.78 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd43b…5c6ebacked Seattle Mariners | 43c | 412.35$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.31 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 252 | 47.6%120 W · 132 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab6a…a10bbacked Seattle Mariners | 51c | 407.37$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.76 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Oriolesthis page
- Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 10.5Under won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 11.5Under won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 12.5Under won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 6.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-3.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-3.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-4.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore OriolesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.