WNBA · resolved market
Connecticut Sun vs. PortlandFire
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf1d68269bc149264a1768125733cf15422164230bce10d5676be4147423b0945
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PortlandFireof Connecticut Sun, PortlandFire
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $602,254
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $624,712
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $602,254 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 287 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Connecticut Sun | 32c | 359,468$113,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113,399.73 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | -10.3wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7b…e2cebacked PortlandFire | 68c | 149,721$102,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,410.71 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed PortlandFire | 68c | 105,000$71,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,100 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Connecticut Sun | 30c | 41,633$12,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,606.97 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked PortlandFire | 69c | 35,000$24,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,975 | 147 | 51.7%76 W · 71 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed PortlandFire | 70c | 26,686$18,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,130.8 | 369 | 54.2%200 W · 169 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Connecticut Sun | 55c | 20,315$11,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,226.26 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked PortlandFire | 69c | 19,265$13,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,007.24 | 1,803 | 51.8%934 W · 869 L | +56.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed PortlandFire | 68c | 18,888$12,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,044.16 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Connecticut Sun | 41c | 11,508$4,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,673.46 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed PortlandFire | 52c | 10,042$5,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,867.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +94.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa6…6c6cbacked PortlandFire | 70c | 8,870$6,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,661 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -5.5wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Connecticut Sun | 31c | 8,000$2,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,479.95 | 281 | 48.8%137 W · 144 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed PortlandFire | 68c | 6,510$4,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,055.39 | 475 | 46.7%222 W · 253 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed PortlandFire | 62c | 6,223$3,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,362.74 | 1,635 | 50.2%820 W · 815 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked PortlandFire | 69c | 6,000$4,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,860 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed PortlandFire | 38c | 5,765$2,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,558.61 | 1,025 | 47.8%490 W · 535 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd33f…76acbacked Connecticut Sun | 31c | 5,004$1,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,571.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed PortlandFire | 71c | 5,000$3,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,447.01 | 217 | 47.5%103 W · 114 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6982…a165backed PortlandFire | 64c | 4,661$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,661.32 | 54 | 66.7%36 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f5…f3b5backed PortlandFire | 69c | 4,350$3,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,348.59 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked PortlandFire | 70c | 4,286$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,286.14 | 87 | 62.1%54 W · 33 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Connecticut Sun | 55c | 3,945$2,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,173.95 | 264 | 47%124 W · 140 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Connecticut Sun | 51c | 3,897$1,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,977.1 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -66%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff12…09f9backed PortlandFire | 77c | 3,214$2,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.87 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 71cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Connecticut Sun | 0c | 3,100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 96 | 0%0 W · 96 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed PortlandFire | 69c | 3,000$2,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.92 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33d3…bf38backed PortlandFire | 64c | 2,955$1,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Connecticut Sun | 32c | 2,779$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.02 | 351 | 26.2%92 W · 259 L | -21.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Connecticut Sun | 31c | 2,554$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.97 | 376 | 53.7%202 W · 174 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9f…9b0fbacked PortlandFire | 54c | 2,500$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed PortlandFire | 30c | 2,272$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,589.41 | 315 | 43.2%136 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Connecticut Sun | 20c | 2,075$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.67 | 397 | 50.1%199 W · 198 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…9945backed PortlandFire | 67c | 2,051$1,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.2 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed PortlandFire | 68c | 1,613$1,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.23 | 227 | 48.5%110 W · 117 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c7…d601backed PortlandFire | 63c | 1,587$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked PortlandFire | 74c | 1,534$1,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.77 | 238 | 67.2%160 W · 78 L | +10.8wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed PortlandFire | 39c | 1,519$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.74 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed PortlandFire | 50c | 1,450$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.91 | 121 | 45.5%55 W · 66 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…65cebacked PortlandFire | 70c | 1,429$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.57 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed PortlandFire | 67c | 1,421$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Connecticut Sun | 50c | 1,402$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.61 | 155 | 46.5%72 W · 83 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Connecticut Sun | 25c | 1,348$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.35 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96a9…e073backed PortlandFire | 69c | 1,300$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed PortlandFire | 70c | 1,189$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.84 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1491…11d3backed Connecticut Sun | 52c | 1,116$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.67 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Connecticut Sun | 27c | 1,087$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.97 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed PortlandFire | 56c | 1,063$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.3 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -5.4wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed PortlandFire | 70c | 1,063$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.99 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -8.9wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x779a…b689backed PortlandFire | 70c | 1,012$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303 | 72 | 59.7%43 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x360b…982fbacked PortlandFire | 69c | 1,003$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.88 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0167…d002backed Connecticut Sun | 32c | 998.69$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.91 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +6.4wins | +0.21per pick | 32cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed PortlandFire | 53c | 957.89$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.89 | 231 | 49.4%114 W · 117 L | -14.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Connecticut Sun | 51c | 934.7$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.44 | 108 | 58.3%63 W · 45 L | +10.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed PortlandFire | 69c | 879.87$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.79 | 913 | 49.3%450 W · 463 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Connecticut Sun | 24c | 879.61$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.11 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -79.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Connecticut Sun | 33c | 839.81$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.19 | 249 | 52.6%131 W · 118 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed PortlandFire | 65c | 812.85$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.74 | 197 | 57.9%114 W · 83 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed PortlandFire | 72c | 810.08$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.92 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1da…441ebacked PortlandFire | 73c | 803.1$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed PortlandFire | 75c | 780.22$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.63 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…dbbbbacked PortlandFire | 69c | 700$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Connecticut Sun | 28c | 647.93$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.28 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32e3…3a5cbacked PortlandFire | 70c | 630$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.5 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb8…3058backed PortlandFire | 77c | 614.61$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.34 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 67cpaid | -35%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked PortlandFire | 75c | 578$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.71 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8d…01debacked PortlandFire | 68c | 573.38$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57fe…13c1backed PortlandFire | 71c | 565.26$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.07 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed PortlandFire | 74c | 540.54$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.54 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -13.5wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -25%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Connecticut Sun | 30c | 505.5$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.55 | 149 | 42.3%63 W · 86 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x308d…3519backed Connecticut Sun | 33c | 468.69$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…f09ebacked PortlandFire | 69c | 448.26$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Connecticut Sun | 31c | 445$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.95 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Connecticut Sun | 35c | 442.44$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.07 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fba…26dcbacked PortlandFire | 68c | 440.99$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.12 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6afc…5d32backed PortlandFire | 80c | 439.95$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.95 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 71cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdae6…7d39backed Connecticut Sun | 19c | 432.77$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.16 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked PortlandFire | 71c | 422.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.54 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b2f…cb55backed PortlandFire | 75c | 401.81$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe843…0699backed PortlandFire | 25c | 400$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Connecticut Sun | 37c | 389.5$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.12 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +101.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…a90dbacked Connecticut Sun | 30c | 386.41$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.92 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed PortlandFire | 70c | 369.45$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.89 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed PortlandFire | 68c | 368.34$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.87 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1440…1a39backed Connecticut Sun | 32c | 368.34$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.87 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x959a…7b64backed Connecticut Sun | 19c | 365.87$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.16 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked PortlandFire | 73c | 339.51$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.77 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -11.1wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6060…31c4backed Connecticut Sun | 36c | 336.36$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0602…a12ebacked PortlandFire | 59c | 336.2$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78bc…5616backed Connecticut Sun | 21c | 329$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.73 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1980…3340backed PortlandFire | 76c | 328$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.2 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Connecticut Sun | 33c | 327.48$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.97 | 613 | 42.4%260 W · 353 L | -31.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Connecticut Sun | 14c | 321.98$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.73 | 91 | 29.7%27 W · 64 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Connecticut Sun | 33c | 319.53$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.73 | 193 | 32.1%62 W · 131 L | -13.4wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Connecticut Sun | 10c | 308.31$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.83 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked PortlandFire | 71c | 304.95$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.75 | 520 | 52.9%275 W · 245 L | +19.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce5e…c0fabacked PortlandFire | 66c | 300.31$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.11 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe65b…271bbacked PortlandFire | 69c | 300$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e0a…629dbacked Connecticut Sun | 22c | 300$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked PortlandFire | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -10.5wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Connecticut Sun vs. PortlandFirethis page
- Connecticut Sun vs. PortlandFire: O/U 159.5Under won
- Connecticut Sun vs. PortlandFire: O/U 166.5Under won
- Connecticut Sun vs. PortlandFire: O/U 167.5Under won
- Connecticut Sun vs. PortlandFire: O/U 169.5Under won
- Connecticut Sun vs. PortlandFire: O/U 170.5Under won
- Spread: PortlandFire (-4.5)PortlandFire won
- Spread: PortlandFire (-6.5)PortlandFire won
- Spread: PortlandFire (-7.5)PortlandFire won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.