WNBA · resolved market
Spread: PortlandFire (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x880ac036d5d83ecaa55d45c1196cabc8be40ea85a34ca7ba6609082fb40ec613
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PortlandFireof PortlandFire, Connecticut Sun
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,615
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,382
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,615 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93ab…9723backed PortlandFire | 52c | 10,409$5,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,996.4 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed PortlandFire | 53c | 9,434$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,433.96 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…a1c5backed Connecticut Sun | 48c | 6,090$2,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,923.25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked PortlandFire | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,879.99 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa6…6c6cbacked PortlandFire | 54c | 6,000$3,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,759.95 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -5.5wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Connecticut Sun | 47c | 6,000$2,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,819.92 | 274 | 49.6%136 W · 138 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Connecticut Sun | 49c | 4,898$2,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,405.84 | 227 | 48.5%110 W · 117 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Connecticut Sun | 47c | 4,602$2,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,163.02 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Connecticut Sun | 47c | 4,236$1,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,983.15 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed PortlandFire | 49c | 4,234$2,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,159.16 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +4.9wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Connecticut Sun | 63c | 4,084$2,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,572.38 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Connecticut Sun | 48c | 3,958$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 88 | 59.1%52 W · 36 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked PortlandFire | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7286…d5d0backed PortlandFire | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.98 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Connecticut Sun | 49c | 3,000$1,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,482.42 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Connecticut Sun | 48c | 2,708$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Connecticut Sun | 51c | 2,519$1,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,278.64 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Connecticut Sun | 51c | 2,519$1,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,278.64 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked PortlandFire | 50c | 2,031$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.57 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed PortlandFire | 49c | 1,804$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.83 | 144 | 52.8%76 W · 68 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked PortlandFire | 53c | 1,694$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.34 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Connecticut Sun | 48c | 1,428$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.44 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed PortlandFire | 54c | 1,300$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Connecticut Sun | 48c | 1,271$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.09 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Connecticut Sun | 48c | 1,058$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.33 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Connecticut Sun | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Connecticut Sun | 48c | 956.81$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.27 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32f1…c96ebacked PortlandFire | 54c | 799.97$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.99 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Connecticut Sun | 46c | 757.96$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.66 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked PortlandFire | 56c | 709.26$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.46 | 229 | 67.7%155 W · 74 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Connecticut Sun | 30c | 675.47$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.03 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed PortlandFire | 52c | 670.3$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.81 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x797f…f08abacked PortlandFire | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 59cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed PortlandFire | 51c | 519.83$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.36 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked PortlandFire | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…c1f5backed PortlandFire | 53c | 433$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.51 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Connecticut Sun | 47c | 364.85$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.25 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3673…2d13backed Connecticut Sun | 48c | 360$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.8 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Connecticut Sun | 48c | 314.27$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.85 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Connecticut Sun | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Connecticut Sun | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb076…2f98backed PortlandFire | 53c | 247.47$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.31 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Connecticut Sun | 50c | 240.5$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.47 | 131 | 43.5%57 W · 74 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked PortlandFire | 37c | 218.78$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.83 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Connecticut Sun | 40c | 216.49$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.76 | 378 | 50%189 W · 189 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Connecticut Sun | 48c | 210$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x286c…f34ebacked Connecticut Sun | 48c | 172.12$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.62 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed PortlandFire | 52c | 160$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.8 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked PortlandFire | 53c | 141.51$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.51 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Connecticut Sun | 47c | 140$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.8 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -7.1wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9a05…7a7bbacked PortlandFire | 50c | 133.88$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.88 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +130.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1edb…a60bbacked Connecticut Sun | 51c | 127.45$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed Connecticut Sun | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed PortlandFire | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Connecticut Sun | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb223…3772backed PortlandFire | 50c | 98.96$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.46 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +115.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c6…1c37backed PortlandFire | 53c | 95.03$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…0b46backed PortlandFire | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Connecticut Sun | 48c | 93.75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8e…22c3backed Connecticut Sun | 48c | 83.58$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf095…58c6backed PortlandFire | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +45%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Connecticut Sun | 46c | 76.44$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d46…b09bbacked PortlandFire | 53c | 68.39$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.14 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x052f…5ef8backed PortlandFire | 66c | 65.4$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.43 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d15…8026backed PortlandFire | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +94%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed PortlandFire | 52c | 53.4$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.63 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Connecticut Sun | 47c | 52.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed PortlandFire | 54c | 52$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.1 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x508d…3961backed Connecticut Sun | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…6471backed PortlandFire | 52c | 44.29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.26 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a0…5911backed Connecticut Sun | 51c | 44.2$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -6.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb97d…5456backed Connecticut Sun | 50c | 43.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Connecticut Sun | 47c | 42.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.07 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a81…9070backed PortlandFire | 53c | 42$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908b…e1a6backed Connecticut Sun | 50c | 40.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd6…1733backed Connecticut Sun | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2342…12d6backed PortlandFire | 53c | 38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.86 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94b9…2592backed PortlandFire | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44be…76b1backed Connecticut Sun | 67c | 37.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.42per pick | 59cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…6b86backed PortlandFire | 50c | 35.06$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.53 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Connecticut Sun | 47c | 31.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f76…3c44backed Connecticut Sun | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9896…c430backed PortlandFire | 53c | 31.08$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.61 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -5.1wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5d02…8c5dbacked Connecticut Sun | 65c | 30.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.39per pick | 56cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Connecticut Sun | 48c | 30.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf0…ce7cbacked Connecticut Sun | 50c | 30.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Connecticut Sun | 48c | 30.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed PortlandFire | 49c | 29.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.14 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5419…cfc0backed Connecticut Sun | 51c | 29.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Connecticut Sun | 47c | 26.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86a0…bb4ebacked Connecticut Sun | 50c | 23.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1440…1a39backed Connecticut Sun | 48c | 22.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8116…815ebacked PortlandFire | 53c | 20.79$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: PortlandFire (-6.5)this page
- Connecticut Sun vs. PortlandFirePortlandFire won
- Connecticut Sun vs. PortlandFire: O/U 159.5Under won
- Connecticut Sun vs. PortlandFire: O/U 166.5Under won
- Connecticut Sun vs. PortlandFire: O/U 167.5Under won
- Connecticut Sun vs. PortlandFire: O/U 169.5Under won
- Connecticut Sun vs. PortlandFire: O/U 170.5Under won
- Spread: PortlandFire (-4.5)PortlandFire won
- Spread: PortlandFire (-7.5)PortlandFire won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.