MLB · resolved market
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d40a76fee6bf50629b2ec03db9e336a87e1e86cf1cc4c58c2f5678e5d6f434f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philadelphia Philliesof Philadelphia Phillies, San Diego Padres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,554,140
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,646,601
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,554,140 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 598 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked San Diego Padres | 44c | 299,999$132,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131,999.75 | 210 | 40%84 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed San Diego Padres | 45c | 118,005$53,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,136.01 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 80,000$44,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,000 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 77,669$42,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,950.97 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed San Diego Padres | 48c | 77,325$36,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,887.04 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 73,162$40,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,191.38 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 66,000$39,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,759.96 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 65,000$35,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,250 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed San Diego Padres | 47c | 51,759$24,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,538.57 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 44,444$24,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,555.36 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb188…8d5bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 42,151$20,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,162.29 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +85.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 39,658$21,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,948.08 | 135 | 34.1%46 W · 89 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed San Diego Padres | 45c | 36,855$16,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,584.88 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2643…39aebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 57c | 36,750$20,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,802.5 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09b5…7e72backed Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 36,407$20,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,019.04 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 32,603$18,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,345.18 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed San Diego Padres | 41c | 27,242$11,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,237.18 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked San Diego Padres | 41c | 24,390$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed San Diego Padres | 41c | 24,390$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 19,317$10,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,112.64 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13ff…16a3backed San Diego Padres | 18c | 18,500$3,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,330 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 18,000$10,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,379.99 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 57c | 16,021$9,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,957.32 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 14,286$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,285.71 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Philadelphia Phillies | 57c | 13,369$7,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,753.82 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0a…a9bebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 12,807$5,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,043.87 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…3e13backed San Diego Padres | 45c | 12,311$5,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,535.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Philadelphia Phillies | 57c | 12,281$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,280.7 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 12,058$5,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,148.7 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed San Diego Padres | 45c | 11,111$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 238 | 46.6%111 W · 127 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 66c | 10,798$7,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,659.16 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 10,205$5,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,447.81 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,500 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed San Diego Padres | 44c | 9,500$4,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,180 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Philadelphia Phillies | 57c | 8,882$5,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,797.04 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac39…95c7backed San Diego Padres | 46c | 8,766$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 57c | 8,617$4,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,715.94 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 8,270$4,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,689.59 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x462d…ce9bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 8,036$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,535.71 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked San Diego Padres | 43c | 7,320$3,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,147.45 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed San Diego Padres | 41c | 7,317$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 6,722$3,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,064.25 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 6,700$3,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,927.68 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 6,199$3,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,596.69 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed San Diego Padres | 44c | 5,682$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed San Diego Padres | 44c | 5,682$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed San Diego Padres | 41c | 5,484$2,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,248.3 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a94…8f9dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 5,471$3,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,243.11 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 57c | 5,350$3,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,301.84 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed San Diego Padres | 43c | 4,838$2,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,103.8 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 4,790$2,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920.2 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed San Diego Padres | 52c | 4,603$2,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,413.45 | 1,083 | 56.3%610 W · 473 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 4,500$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked San Diego Padres | 32c | 4,299$1,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,381.25 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fd…89debacked Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 4,210$2,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,894.35 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 57cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x211d…3ab7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 4,158$1,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,202.43 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked San Diego Padres | 43c | 4,000$1,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,720 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 4,000$2,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb676…3303backed San Diego Padres | 53c | 3,781$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 3,614$2,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,472.16 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked San Diego Padres | 56c | 3,600$2,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,015.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf284…b9f9backed San Diego Padres | 49c | 3,564$1,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,736.4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…079fbacked San Diego Padres | 52c | 3,448$1,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,806.39 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x56ce…590abacked San Diego Padres | 53c | 3,128$1,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,657.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Philadelphia Phillies | 57c | 3,015$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,305.65 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed San Diego Padres | 36c | 3,006$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,086.97 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 3,000$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.99 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8857…4b5bbacked San Diego Padres | 50c | 2,988$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 64c | 2,834$1,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016.67 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e86…cb8fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 2,805$1,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,346.28 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b73…8688backed San Diego Padres | 54c | 2,778$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 2,750$1,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,217.5 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed San Diego Padres | 43c | 2,699$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160.57 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 2,630$1,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971.29 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked San Diego Padres | 52c | 2,627$1,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,358.31 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed San Diego Padres | 40c | 2,619$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,043.73 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed San Diego Padres | 50c | 2,603$1,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,295.48 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 2,600$1,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,144 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed San Diego Padres | 43c | 2,500$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 2,305$1,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.2 | 449 | 53.7%241 W · 208 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 65c | 2,304$1,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.56 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…65cebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 2,296$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.92 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa106…5abbbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 2,266$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175.7 | 197 | 52.3%103 W · 94 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd79…f471backed San Diego Padres | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 2,180$1,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.3 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…0517backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 2,173$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,185.57 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabd0…e262backed Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 2,145$1,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.45 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.08 | 162 | 48.8%79 W · 83 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 146 | 47.3%69 W · 77 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 233 | 57.9%135 W · 98 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e65…694fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 1,890$1,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.27 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…22edbacked San Diego Padres | 51c | 1,810$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 518 | 49.4%256 W · 262 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 1,800$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed San Diego Padres | 42c | 1,800$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0e…8f37backed San Diego Padres | 45c | 1,794$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.31 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf518…07bcbacked San Diego Padres | 45c | 1,786$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.79 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -7.4wins | -0.23per pick | 42cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce9…9c2dbacked San Diego Padres | 2c | 1,750$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 65 | 23.1%15 W · 50 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +98.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…9e14backed San Diego Padres | 44c | 1,700$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padresthis page
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 10.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 2.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 3.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 4.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 5.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 6.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-3.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-3.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego PadresNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.