MLB · resolved market
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x855146bf93506f272fff6cfab515cda030a43166b751d6233c88110efb6a6e65
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $161,894
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $167,014
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $161,894 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Over | 45c | 50,057$22,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,525.63 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Under | 55c | 50,000$27,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,500.4 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09b5…7e72backed Under | 58c | 27,580$15,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,583.66 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Over | 43c | 20,215$8,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,766.4 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Under | 58c | 20,000$11,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,399.99 | 283 | 50.9%144 W · 139 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 56c | 17,257$9,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,510.84 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Over | 42c | 16,741$7,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,031.18 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Over | 42c | 6,971$2,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,927.94 | 322 | 51.6%166 W · 156 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Over | 42c | 6,360$2,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,671.2 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 42c | 6,235$2,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,618.9 | 321 | 52%167 W · 154 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Over | 42c | 5,708$2,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,397.36 | 235 | 38.3%90 W · 145 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 42c | 5,698$2,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,397.36 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Under | 61c | 4,548$2,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,754 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 58c | 4,464$2,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,895.35 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…1fcabacked Over | 42c | 2,735$1,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,148.69 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 57c | 2,600$1,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124.12 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 10c | 2,528$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.41 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Over | 41c | 2,017$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.95 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 43c | 2,000$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 57c | 1,899$1,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.84 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 57c | 1,860$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.8 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 32c | 1,850$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.75 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.1 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Over | 42c | 1,380$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.37 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 56c | 1,368$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.72 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 58c | 1,166$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.8 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 43c | 1,159$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.2 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 45c | 1,050$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.5 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 39c | 1,014$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.84 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Under | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 44c | 898.24$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.23 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda39…c640backed Over | 42c | 825$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.5 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +28%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 43c | 789.63$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.54 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Over | 44c | 759.43$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.15 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 31c | 606.19$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.07 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Over | 43c | 483.62$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.49 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 45c | 463.04$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.37 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 44c | 421.99$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.68 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 42c | 420.67$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.85 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Over | 42c | 400$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 57c | 391.35$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.28 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 43c | 307.25$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.05 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 58c | 260.3$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.2 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…62cdbacked Over | 42c | 182.36$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.59 | 795 | 43%342 W · 453 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4efc…2d8dbacked Over | 42c | 177.19$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…3824backed Under | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff7…bf32backed Over | 42c | 171.24$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.92 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 56c | 136.29$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.97 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86ee…511fbacked Under | 56c | 133.93$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.93 | 243 | 50.6%123 W · 120 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 64c | 117.47$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.29 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Over | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed Over | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…b388backed Over | 42c | 99.2$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.66 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed Under | 57c | 99.19$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.65 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0c…14cebacked Over | 43c | 92.55$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.8 | 145 | 55.9%81 W · 64 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6210…4fb1backed Under | 56c | 89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.16 | 147 | 59.9%88 W · 59 L | +14.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Over | 48c | 83$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.84 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Under | 56c | 74.93$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.97 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 36c | 65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…42dfbacked Under | 56c | 61.2$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.93 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94b9…2592backed Over | 43c | 59.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1440…1a39backed Over | 32c | 56.44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Over | 43c | 53.84$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.23 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x286c…f34ebacked Under | 59c | 50.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.55 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a80…2dadbacked Under | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Under | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07c0…5dd2backed Under | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 184 | 58.2%107 W · 77 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…aa3cbacked Over | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 149 | 46.3%69 W · 80 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Over | 36c | 46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 43c | 43.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.61 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over | 43c | 43.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.51 | 452 | 46.2%209 W · 243 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 46c | 42.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 53c | 41.54$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.52 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 42c | 40.02$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…bfefbacked Over | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 313 | 43.5%136 W · 177 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x193a…2b55backed Under | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 234 | 55.1%129 W · 105 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2110…d4fbbacked Over | 48c | 34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 209 | 62.7%131 W · 78 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe20…cb9dbacked Under | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f72…669bbacked Under | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Over | 43c | 30.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 271 | 46.9%127 W · 144 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Under | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 556 | 43.9%244 W · 312 L | -38.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa05a…4635backed Over | 43c | 29.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 830 | 53%440 W · 390 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Under | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 465 | 57.2%266 W · 199 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66c0…5fc2backed Under | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 252 | 56.7%143 W · 109 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff29…f008backed Under | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -7.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Under | 56c | 24.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 515 | 55.7%287 W · 228 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Over | 42c | 24.72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae40…9edabacked Under | 56c | 21.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb208…e0b2backed Under | 59c | 20.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Under | 56c | 18.32$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 405 | 54.8%222 W · 183 L | +17.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5this page
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego PadresPhiladelphia Phillies won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 10.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 2.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 3.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 4.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 5.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 6.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-3.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-3.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego PadresNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.