MLB · resolved market
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20648354392bfbc60f7bb662d395947658d4aee1b7b920b4a7a324132f900c25
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Washington Nationalsof Washington Nationals, San Francisco Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,198,947
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,211,832
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,198,947 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 623 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Washington Nationals | 42c | 412,032$173,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238,978.74 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb91a…3987backed San Francisco Giants | 58c | 238,103$138,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138,099.68 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +15.2wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed San Francisco Giants | 58c | 100,000$58,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,000 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4be1…aa70backed San Francisco Giants | 62c | 82,805$51,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,454.84 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Washington Nationals | 46c | 56,184$25,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,282.03 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Washington Nationals | 39c | 45,068$17,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,349.73 | 4,368 | 47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L | -79.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed San Francisco Giants | 60c | 37,408$22,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,572.47 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…e403backed San Francisco Giants | 60c | 32,539$19,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,397.3 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Washington Nationals | 38c | 24,528$9,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,207.44 | 1,414 | 49.5%700 W · 714 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc507…52dcbacked San Francisco Giants | 58c | 24,000$13,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,919.98 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f0…2768backed Washington Nationals | 40c | 22,624$9,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,537.44 | 149 | 43.6%65 W · 84 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed San Francisco Giants | 58c | 22,307$12,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,938.09 | 1,586 | 48.5%770 W · 816 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5762…90eebacked San Francisco Giants | 58c | 22,259$12,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,853.12 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Washington Nationals | 58c | 21,229$12,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,840.71 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed San Francisco Giants | 59c | 18,808$11,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,122.17 | 441 | 54.2%239 W · 202 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed San Francisco Giants | 4c | 18,078$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.5 | 3,219 | 51.2%1,649 W · 1,570 L | +148.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Washington Nationals | 43c | 17,014$7,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,697.95 | 1,681 | 50.1%842 W · 839 L | -22.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Washington Nationals | 41c | 16,686$6,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,849.82 | 3,041 | 48%1,461 W · 1,580 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Washington Nationals | 42c | 15,000$6,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,699.93 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed San Francisco Giants | 58c | 13,799$8,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,004.57 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04cf…9f77backed San Francisco Giants | 58c | 12,320$7,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,175.66 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Washington Nationals | 42c | 12,269$5,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,115.87 | 277 | 53.1%147 W · 130 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked San Francisco Giants | 56c | 11,235$6,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,291.92 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Washington Nationals | 41c | 10,148$4,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,987.53 | 133 | 40.6%54 W · 79 L | -14.4wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xced2…d98abacked San Francisco Giants | 59c | 10,000$5,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,900 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Washington Nationals | 42c | 9,508$4,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,497.63 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked San Francisco Giants | 58c | 9,000$5,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,220 | 1,153 | 49.2%567 W · 586 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed San Francisco Giants | 56c | 8,873$5,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,003.19 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed San Francisco Giants | 58c | 8,621$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 983 | 49.8%490 W · 493 L | -18.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06fa…455cbacked Washington Nationals | 50c | 8,314$4,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,133.86 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked San Francisco Giants | 59c | 8,000$4,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,720 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed San Francisco Giants | 66c | 8,000$5,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,279.85 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Washington Nationals | 34c | 7,481$2,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,908.87 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Washington Nationals | 43c | 7,166$3,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,084.82 | 900 | 53.6%482 W · 418 L | +24.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed San Francisco Giants | 45c | 6,922$3,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,123.94 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed San Francisco Giants | 59c | 6,100$3,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,597.8 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed San Francisco Giants | 59c | 6,099$3,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,569.42 | 662 | 50.2%332 W · 330 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Washington Nationals | 55c | 6,001$3,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,681.25 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1032…c372backed Washington Nationals | 27c | 5,352$1,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,883.23 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked San Francisco Giants | 58c | 5,261$3,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,051.38 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Washington Nationals | 43c | 5,098$2,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,902.47 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Washington Nationals | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,900 | 1,078 | 48.1%518 W · 560 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37d3…709abacked San Francisco Giants | 20c | 4,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 82 | 20.7%17 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Washington Nationals | 43c | 4,186$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,386.05 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Washington Nationals | 38c | 4,058$1,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,519.8 | 2,149 | 50.2%1,079 W · 1,070 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…65cebacked Washington Nationals | 44c | 4,040$1,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,260.08 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed San Francisco Giants | 59c | 3,559$2,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,088.71 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c7…d601backed Washington Nationals | 40c | 3,285$1,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,961.97 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed San Francisco Giants | 57c | 3,133$1,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,771.93 | 970 | 44.9%436 W · 534 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…9945backed San Francisco Giants | 45c | 3,119$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 64 | 67.2%43 W · 21 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed San Francisco Giants | 58c | 3,000$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,740 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Washington Nationals | 41c | 3,000$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,770 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked San Francisco Giants | 58c | 2,813$1,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,627.16 | 1,527 | 51.1%780 W · 747 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked San Francisco Giants | 71c | 2,793$1,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,994.28 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x459e…7dd1backed Washington Nationals | 48c | 2,490$1,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,291.22 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed San Francisco Giants | 52c | 2,415$1,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.23 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b9…e9d1backed Washington Nationals | 16c | 2,390$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,007.34 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Washington Nationals | 42c | 2,281$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,323.01 | 620 | 43.1%267 W · 353 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Washington Nationals | 56c | 2,239$1,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.85 | 1,520 | 59.1%899 W · 621 L | +78.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked San Francisco Giants | 59c | 2,227$1,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,311.76 | 484 | 46.7%226 W · 258 L | -33.7wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Washington Nationals | 41c | 2,222$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,310.98 | 1,358 | 50.8%690 W · 668 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed San Francisco Giants | 56c | 2,198$1,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,235.19 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed San Francisco Giants | 31c | 2,173$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.13 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaba5…4e0ebacked Washington Nationals | 50c | 2,129$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,057.28 | 174 | 60.9%106 W · 68 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…f20ebacked San Francisco Giants | 58c | 2,062$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,196.01 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.25per pick | 52cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f86…ef4ebacked San Francisco Giants | 58c | 2,049$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189.98 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +6.8wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed San Francisco Giants | 35c | 2,026$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.84 | 94 | 48.9%46 W · 48 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e08…9779backed San Francisco Giants | 65c | 2,018$1,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,310 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed San Francisco Giants | 9c | 1,965$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.07 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked San Francisco Giants | 58c | 1,900$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102 | 1,922 | 53.4%1,027 W · 895 L | +28.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Washington Nationals | 43c | 1,822$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.3 | 2,375 | 47.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed San Francisco Giants | 48c | 1,763$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.51 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Washington Nationals | 48c | 1,686$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.16 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Washington Nationals | 21c | 1,605$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,265.62 | 405 | 43.5%176 W · 229 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a07…1d4dbacked Washington Nationals | 45c | 1,504$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.2 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed San Francisco Giants | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x387f…2095backed San Francisco Giants | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Washington Nationals | 45c | 1,486$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.02 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c20…66a9backed San Francisco Giants | 59c | 1,378$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3af…b7a6backed San Francisco Giants | 29c | 1,159$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.11 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7c…7a19backed San Francisco Giants | 55c | 1,103$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.17 | 117 | 49.6%58 W · 59 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0075…5f10backed San Francisco Giants | 57c | 1,099$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.71 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +6.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed San Francisco Giants | 57c | 1,065$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.04 | 710 | 44.5%316 W · 394 L | -23.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Washington Nationals | 42c | 1,021$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.35 | 384 | 44.3%170 W · 214 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7381…d95dbacked San Francisco Giants | 59c | 1,017$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked San Francisco Giants | 19c | 1,000$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.51 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Washington Nationals | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 1,845 | 50.7%936 W · 909 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked San Francisco Giants | 59c | 979$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.61 | 712 | 53.4%380 W · 332 L | +12.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed San Francisco Giants | 59c | 973.48$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.68 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed San Francisco Giants | 30c | 909.16$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.47 | 320 | 58.4%187 W · 133 L | +26.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…67fdbacked San Francisco Giants | 59c | 899.78$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.98 | 377 | 48.8%184 W · 193 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x085c…99e3backed San Francisco Giants | 59c | 888.68$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.43 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed San Francisco Giants | 58c | 877.19$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.77 | 570 | 53.3%304 W · 266 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c5…034dbacked San Francisco Giants | 57c | 822.98$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.77 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked San Francisco Giants | 59c | 800$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed San Francisco Giants | 59c | 800$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472 | 398 | 46.5%185 W · 213 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Washington Nationals | 38c | 792.93$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.3 | 1,139 | 42.7%486 W · 653 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a0…3accbacked San Francisco Giants | 58c | 756.3$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.67 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9542…4295backed Washington Nationals | 33c | 700$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1da…441ebacked San Francisco Giants | 63c | 699.97$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.99 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giantsthis page
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-2.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 10.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 11.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 4.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 5.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 6.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 9.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.